It's election day, and there's still time to get a VPN before Election Day. Today's episode is all about what to do if you haven't gotten a VPN yet, and why you should do so. Plus, a look at where we stand in the polls as the votes begin to come in, and an assessment of the final night of the race. And a reminder that the polls don't have to be wrong in order for Donald Trump to win this election, and that's a good thing. Ben Shapiro is on The Ben Shapiro Show, wherever you get your news and information, and wherever you listen to your favorite podcast. Subscribe, Like, and Share to keep up to date with what's going on in the world of politics, economics, and everything else going on right now. Thanks to our sponsor, Caff Monster Energy Drink, and our sponsor Candid Co, who are giving us a FREE Starter Kit! Use code "SHIP" at checkout to save $75 on your first purchase! You'll get 20% off your first pack of the Starter Kit when you place an order of $99 or more! Use the promo code SHIP at checkout at expressvpn.ee/BenShapiro and get $10 off your purchase when you enter the offer ends on Nov. 4th. Shout out to Ben Shapiro's new book, "Why haven't You Got a VPN Yet? at expressVpn? on the day of the election? This episode is a must-listenjoyable episode of the Ben Shapiro show! It's all about all things election day! Thanks, Ben Shapiro! . - Ben Shapiro. - The Ben and Ben Shapiro - Why haven't you got a VPN? - What's your VPN yet? . . . Ben Shapiro: Why haven t you gotten one yet? - What are you getting a VPN?? using code SHIPPED yet? ? What else should you have a VPN?! Ben's favorite thing to do with your VPN? - why haven t gotten one? & much more? ? - use code SHAPER? -- use code CHAD'S VENGEORGERELLA? , use code and a FREE PRODONE? and more? -- ENJOYING THE EPISODE OF THE DECISION?
00:00:00.000Kamala Harris releases a video betraying the actual Marxist philosophy of the New Democratic Party while Joe Biden shouts gibberish, Anthony Fauci touts Biden while Trump rips him, and we assess the final state of the race.
00:00:26.000We're going to get to everything election-related, get to the final rundown, where we stand in the polls, because tomorrow the votes start, and tomorrow night, It's all over.
00:00:34.000And then it's just a matter of vote counting.
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00:01:56.000All righty, so tomorrow the voting begins.
00:01:59.000So let's assess the state of the race.
00:02:01.000According to FiveThirtyEight, this is Nate Silver.
00:02:03.000And if you don't like data, skip the next 10 minutes, okay?
00:02:06.000Because we're going to talk a little bit of data here.
00:02:07.000I know there are a lot of folks on the right who want to ignore the data because they assume that the data is bad.
00:02:12.000Well, I'm not somebody who operates in the absence of evidence.
00:02:15.000So we will see how the data stacks up.
00:02:17.000If it turns out that the polling is all wrong, every one of these pollsters needs to learn to code, like right now, because there are a lot of polls being done.
00:03:41.000There's pretty much no shot at him winning the popular vote at this point, but it is possible that he picks up North Carolina, he wins Florida, he wins Arizona, and then he picks up one more state, right?
00:03:50.000He picks up Pennsylvania, or he picks up Wisconsin, or he picks up Michigan, right?
00:03:53.000Most likely, those is Pennsylvania, and Democrats are very nervous about Pennsylvania, as we'll talk about in a second.
00:04:00.000And the polls do not have to be wrong for that possibility to materialize.
00:04:04.000In fact, if there is a surge of Trump voters on Election Day, right, there's a lot of focus right now on early voting.
00:04:09.000Focusing on early voting is almost always a mistake.
00:04:10.000When you see people, analysts who are looking at the early voting numbers, the reason that's a mistake is because in 2016, they assumed that because so many people were voting for Hillary early, that meant that Hillary was going to win.
00:04:21.000That that was just a bunch of new voters who were voting early.
00:04:23.000It turns out that early voting might just be cannibalizing the vote from Election Day.
00:04:54.000The Republican search scenario is exactly the map that I was talking about, where Trump wins North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Arizona, and he wins Ohio and Pennsylvania as well, as well as Iowa, right?
00:05:04.000This is the most likely Trump victory map, the one that we are looking at right now.
00:05:10.000This is where Trump wins 279 electoral votes and Biden wins 259, and it's a very close election, even though Biden wins the popular vote overwhelmingly, right?
00:05:17.000This is the best case scenario, I think, for Trump.
00:05:20.000The second possible scenario is that Joe Biden wins, but he wins narrowly, right?
00:05:24.000That Biden flips Pennsylvania right there.
00:05:29.000And if Biden wins Pennsylvania, then that is enough to shift the vote to Joe Biden, right?
00:05:35.000Basically, everything comes down to Pennsylvania.
00:05:37.000Now, the big problem, of course, is that Pennsylvania is gonna be counting votes for days after the election.
00:05:40.000So if this thing comes down to Pennsylvania, election night, it's not gonna end for days on end.
00:05:45.000The states that report the fastest, Florida reports pretty fast, North Carolina starts to report, but it takes a while for North Carolina to come in.
00:05:52.000Your first indicator as to how the night's going to go is probably going to be Florida.
00:05:56.000So if Florida comes in fast and it comes in for Trump, then Democrats are going to get very, very nervous.
00:06:00.000If Florida comes in blue, the election is all but over at that point, like right off the bat.
00:06:03.000So Florida is going to be your first indicator as to where things lie.
00:06:07.000Okay, so scenario number one is Trump ekes out a narrow victory.
00:06:10.000Scenario number two is Biden ekes out a narrow victory.
00:06:12.000Scenario number three is that Biden just blows him out, right?
00:06:16.000Biden is up in a massive way nationally in a way that Hillary Clinton was not.
00:06:19.000Hillary Clinton was up three to five points nationally.
00:06:21.000She ended up winning by about three points nationally.
00:06:24.000In the popular vote, of course, and then she ended up losing extremely narrowly in those blue firewall states and then pretty broadly in places like Iowa and Ohio.
00:06:33.000It is possible that Joe Biden bucks the trend here and Biden pulls it out in North Carolina.
00:06:52.000So that is not particularly unforeseeable, but you could end up with a scenario in which Biden wins everything, right?
00:06:59.000Right now, if there were no toss-up states, if you look at the real clear politics, no toss-up map, Then what you would see is Biden winning a fairly broad electoral college victory.
00:07:09.000He'd win 335 electoral votes if the election were to hold up to the RealClearPolitics polling average, including pulling out Florida and Georgia and Arizona.
00:07:29.000Those are the three scenarios and none of them are impossible.
00:07:32.000So Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight has a piece today titled, I'm here to remind you that Trump can still win.
00:07:37.000Right now, sort of the analysts are suggesting that he has a 10% shot at winning, but he says a 10% shot is not a 0% shot.
00:07:45.000Nate Silver says, the reason that President Trump's chances in our forecast are about 10% and not zero, as in 2016, Trump could potentially benefit from the electoral college.
00:07:53.000Projected margins in the tipping point states are considerably tighter than the margins in the national popular vote.
00:07:57.000More specifically, Joe Biden's lead in Pennsylvania, the most likely tipping point state, is solid but not spectacular, about five points in our polling average.
00:08:04.000Without Pennsylvania, Biden does have some paths to victory, but there's no one alternative state he can feel especially secure about.
00:08:10.000So basically what Nate Silver is saying is that if Biden were to lose Pennsylvania, basically Trump wins the election.
00:08:14.000While a lot of theories about why Trump can win about those shy Trump voters are probably wrong, systematic polling errors do occur.
00:08:20.000It's hard to predict them ahead of time or to anticipate the reasons in advance.
00:08:24.000There's some chance, says Nate Silver, that Trump could win illegitimately.
00:08:27.000To a large extent, these scenarios are beyond the scope of our forecast.
00:08:30.000We'll get to that in a second, because for all the talk about how Trump supporters are readying for violence and all this, there's really only one group in the country that's readying for violence, and the media are fostering it.
00:08:38.000The media are fostering a notion that voter suppression is taking over the country, that Republicans are trying to throw out legally cast ballots, and that is just really not true.
00:08:47.000There's not evidence of widespread voter suppression.
00:08:49.000We're going to have record voting this year.
00:08:51.000Voter turnout in Georgia, in Texas, in Florida is at all-time highs.
00:08:57.000There's some chance of a recount, according to FiveThirtyEight, about 4%, or an Electoral College tie, around 0.5%.
00:09:05.000And Nate Silver concludes, People have a tendency to go from 90% shot means that there's a 10% shot Trump wins to 90% shot means there's a 100% chance that Biden wins.
00:09:10.000silver is giving Biden a 90% chance, we aren't giving anybody anything.
00:09:15.000In other words, if Biden leads by about nine points nationally and eight points in Wisconsin and five points in Pennsylvania and two points in Florida, how does that translate into the probability of victory?
00:09:23.000People have a tendency to go from 90% shot means that there's a 10% shot Trump wins, to 90% shot means there's 100% chance that Biden wins.
00:09:31.000And that obviously is untrue right now.
00:09:34.000The bottom line is that if Biden were to win by two to three points in the national popular vote, then there is a better than average chance, a 57% shot that Trump actually wins the electoral college.
00:09:45.000Biden needs to win by somewhere between three and five points in order for him to win the national election.
00:09:50.000So we'll see how all of that turns out.
00:09:52.000High voter turnout, the kind of typical conventional wisdom suggests that's bad for Republicans.
00:09:57.000The evidence there is pretty mixed, as pollster Kirsten Soltis-Anderson has said before.
00:10:01.000Okay, we'll get to more of the election analysis in just one second.
00:10:04.000First, let's talk about safety and security.
00:10:07.000So, there are a thousand reasons why protecting your home matters to you.
00:11:11.000As of approximately 7pm Eastern Time on Saturday, more than 90 million Americans had already voted in the 2020 presidential election, according to the University of Florida U.S. Elections Project, according to Frank Kamp at Daily Wire.
00:11:22.000That's a combined 57.6 million mail-in ballots returned and 33.4 million in-person early votes cast.
00:11:29.000Several states have come close to matching their 2016 total turnout.
00:11:32.000Two states have already exceeded those totals.
00:11:34.000Voters in Texas have already cast nearly 10 million ballots.
00:11:36.000Voters in Hawaii have cast 484,000 votes.
00:11:39.000That is 110% of their 2016 vote totals, respectively.
00:11:43.000There are other states that are already almost at their total vote total.
00:11:46.000This would be like Montana, Washington, Georgia, New Mexico.
00:11:49.000They're all above 90% North Carolina as well.
00:11:51.000Some states appear to be holding back.
00:11:53.000Maybe a lot of people are waiting for Election Day.
00:11:55.000Pennsylvania has only hit 38.4% of their 2016 total.
00:12:05.000Looking at the polls in the battleground states, it appears to be an increasingly tight race, though incumbent Donald Trump lags slightly behind in key areas.
00:12:11.000So, that is where things stand right now.
00:12:15.000Right now, if you had to sort of ballpark out which states you keep the closest eye on based on the RealClearPolitics polling average, it would be North Carolina and Florida would be your early indicators of where the election stands.
00:12:26.000If Trump loses either one of those early, then it's gonna be a bad night for Trump, probably.
00:12:30.000Pennsylvania, obviously, is the key swing state at this point because Trump still needs to pick up Pennsylvania.
00:12:36.000Now, there's been a lot of talk about Trump declaring premature victory.
00:12:40.000Speaking to reporters on Sunday evening, Trump denied he would declare victory prematurely.
00:12:46.000Basically, a lot of Democrats are worried that Trump is going to come out the night of the election because in-person election voting is likely to skew Trump and say, I won the election.
00:12:53.000And then the Democrat won't concede, and then there will be chaos.
00:12:56.000Trump has basically said he's not going to do this.
00:12:59.000Trump's also added, I think it's a terrible thing when ballots can be collected after an election.
00:13:02.000I think it's a terrible thing when states are allowed to tabulate ballots for a long period of time after the election is over.
00:13:08.000I mean, honestly, I don't think that he's completely wrong about that.
00:13:11.000I mean, we should generally know the election results the night of the election or as fast as humanly possible.
00:13:15.000It is also true that while we do tabulate ballots for, in some cases, weeks after the election, that's why the original vote totals never look like the final vote totals, the idea of being able to receive ballots after the election, which is what you're talking about in Pennsylvania, is really not great.
00:13:31.000Trump is likely to appear ahead in Pennsylvania on election night, but mail-in ballots are likely to come in the following days.
00:13:38.000So, mail-in ballots counted after Election Day as set forth in state-by-state rules are as legitimate as in-person votes recorded November 3rd.
00:13:45.000Many states won't be done counting mail ballots by Tuesday night according to Axios in Pennsylvania.
00:13:49.000State law prevents election officials from counting mail-in ballots before Election Day.
00:13:53.000Night of counts may, in fact, be deceptive.
00:13:56.000So, that is sort of where things stand.
00:13:58.000Apparently, the Trump team Says that they are doing better than they expected in Texas, Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona, and Wisconsin as well.
00:14:07.000There's one poll that is scaring the devil out of Democrats right now, and that is a poll in Iowa.
00:14:11.000So Trump did win Iowa going away last time, but Biden was very competitive in Iowa.
00:14:15.000Now there's a new Des Moines Register MediaCom Iowa poll.
00:14:19.000It's conducted by Selzer and Company, which is the most respected firm in the state.
00:14:23.000It finds Trump leading Biden in Iowa by seven points.
00:14:26.000The two candidates were tied at 47% back in September.
00:14:29.000This is according to Hank Berry in writing for Daily Wire.
00:14:32.000The Des Moines Register noted it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
00:14:38.000However, while men are more likely to support Trump and women to support Biden, the gender gap has narrowed.
00:14:42.000Independents have returned to supporting the president, a group that he won in 2016.
00:14:47.000So that looks like more Joe Biden is fading than that Trump is gaining.
00:14:53.000So, this has led Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahilly to comment, So we're gonna find out whether that is true or not, how much of a shy Trump vote there is.
00:14:59.000what we refer to as the shy Trump voter.
00:15:02.000There's a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president, they're not interested in sharing their opinions so readily on the telephone.
00:15:07.000We've seen people beat up, harassed, doxxed, have their houses torn up because they express political opinions that are not in line with the politically correct establishment.
00:15:15.000So we're gonna find out whether that is true or not, how much of a shy Trump vote there is.
00:15:19.000Also, the gap is closing a little bit in Wisconsin as well.
00:15:23.000There's an Atlas Intel poll conducted between October 29th and 30th that found President Trump now leading Joe Biden 49.6% to 48.5%.
00:15:30.000That Atlas Intel poll found that Trump garnered 17% of the black vote and 41% of the Hispanic vote in Wisconsin.
00:15:38.000Other polls recently conducted show Trump still trailing Biden in Wisconsin.
00:15:44.000If Trump wins Wisconsin, obviously he wins the election as well.
00:15:46.000He needs to win one of the following three, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania.
00:15:49.000He does not need to win two of the three or three of the three, assuming he holds all of the other states that he was holding.
00:15:55.000So the election, you can feel the Democrats want to celebrate prematurely, but they better be careful because they did this with Hillary and it didn't work out particularly well for them.
00:16:03.000Again, Florida is the one to keep your early eye on because the votes come in very, very fast and they are tabulated as they come in.
00:16:10.000So that variable voter turnout, initial estimates seem to indicate the Republicans in Miami-Dade County are turning out to vote at a higher rates than Democrats.
00:16:18.000About 63% of the 428,000 registered Republicans voting so far compared to 56% of the 634,000 registered Democrats.
00:16:27.000In Broward County, around 61% of Democrats have voted so far.
00:16:31.00056% of registered Republicans are as well.
00:16:34.000Biden America Votes, which is a pro-Biden organization, obviously said, we've got to stop the bleeding.
00:16:39.00059% of registered voters have already cast their vote in advance of Tuesday's election, according to Ian Hayworth at Daily Wire.
00:16:46.000So again, bottom line, too close for comfort.
00:16:51.000You'd rather be in Biden's shoes than be in Trump's shoes on election night at this point, given the polls.
00:16:55.000But this thing is not over, and it means that voter turnout the day of is going to have to be very, very good for Trump.
00:17:02.000OK, so what are the final pitches for the various campaigns?
00:17:05.000Well, you know, we've got the usual old men beating each other up with clubs routine.
00:17:08.000We've got the grumpy old men routine going on.
00:17:10.000You have President Trump beating up Biden and Biden suggesting that he wants to physically beat up Trump and they suggest they want to fight each other, which I mean, for the record, honestly, I would have enjoyed a lot more than this actual campaign, which has been just a bleep show from beginning to end.
00:17:22.000Here was Trump and Biden going at it in the final day of the election.
00:17:26.000Do you remember like a year ago, year and a half ago, I said, I'd like to take him to the back of the barn.
00:18:20.000So we have a gibberish-speaking, nearly senile old Democrat versus Donald Trump, a man from whom words flow at an unprecedented rate of bizarrity.
00:18:31.000That's not even a word, but I've made it up just for President Trump.
00:18:34.000Anyway, here was Joe Biden over the weekend mocking Trump's hair.
00:19:31.000If you are one of these, I'm saving conservatism, never Trump folks who've decided that the way to save conservatism is by electing Biden-Harris.
00:19:40.000All I can say is that, at this point, you're a useful idiot.
00:19:42.000It's one thing to sit out the election and say, I don't like either of these candidates.
00:19:45.000But to actively vote for Biden-Harris, knowing what they are promulgating, is... If you think you're saving conservatism, it's because you're a useful moron.
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00:20:58.000Okay, so President Trump's final closing pitch on Joe Biden is that Joe Biden has spent his entire career doing nothing but helping out his family, which, effectively speaking, is kind of true, right?
00:21:07.000The only major piece of legislation that Joe Biden was responsible for, he has now run directly away from.
00:21:12.000That, of course, would be the Crime Bill of 1994.
00:21:14.000Here was Trump going after Biden in the closing hours of the election.
00:21:17.000For decades, Joe Biden let other countries rip you off, rip off our country, and cheat America blind.
00:21:24.000And there was a group, they would just, they would let him do anything.
00:21:27.000Biden has been there for five decades, and the only people who benefited from his policies were himself and his family, frankly.
00:21:37.000He shows up every four years and then goes back to Washington and caters to special interests.
00:21:54.000That is that is this entire election cycle.
00:21:56.000And Joe Biden is just the default not Trump guy.
00:21:59.000Which means that if he is indistinguishable from the pumpkin sitting behind him on a haystack during his campaigns, that's not terrible for him.
00:22:07.000It is a reminder that he's not going to be president for very long.
00:22:10.000Anybody who thinks that this guy, he's 78 years old, that he's going to be around for eight years and that he's going to be a bulwark against the hard left, they got to be high.
00:22:35.000So one of your big problems with Trump is that he's inarticulate and says things that you don't understand.
00:22:41.000So you're going to make president a person who doesn't speak English anymore, who once spoke English as his first language, but no longer speaks English.
00:22:50.000Meanwhile, Who actually is going to fill the cabinet?
00:22:53.000So Elizabeth Warren apparently has been lobbying very hard for the Treasury Secretary position.
00:22:58.000You have Bernie Sanders lobbying very hard for Secretary of Labor.
00:23:01.000So we could have like a full-on socialist cabinet under Joe Biden, which would be very exciting stuff.
00:23:05.000Here's Amy Klobuchar, who is just eating her heart out that Joe Biden did not pick her, right?
00:23:19.000Saying she has no idea who will be in the cabinet, which is definitely something that makes me much more comfortable having a senile old man who is going to make sure that we mobilize behind a true... And also that we fix... Here is Amy Klobuchar.
00:23:37.000Right now, Joe Biden is focused on uniting this country, and our party has stayed united.
00:23:41.000But what I think is really important to realize, he has brought in people like John Kasich, former governor, Republican governor of Ohio.
00:23:48.000Cindy McCain campaigning for him across the country.
00:23:50.000Yeah, but he's not going to be in the cabinet.
00:23:51.000I'm talking about Elizabeth Warren as Treasury Secretary, or Bernie Sanders.
00:23:56.000I have no idea who he's going to pick for the cabinet.
00:23:59.000What I do know is the way he has run this campaign, the way he has said he's going to be the president, not just for the people that vote for him, but the people that vote against him, that's how he's going to govern.
00:24:08.000No, that is not how he's going to govern.
00:24:10.000Now, how do we know that that's not how he is going to govern?
00:24:12.000Well, first of all, He labels his opponents just bad people, right?
00:24:16.000The real pitch for Democrats is that the people who vote against Joe Biden are bad people.
00:24:20.000So when Biden is capable of pushing words through his face, he sometimes says things like Trump supporters are ugly.
00:24:28.000So here he was in Minnesota over the weekend suggesting that horn honking Trump supporters are ugly people.
00:24:37.000This isn't a political statement like those ugly folks over there beeping a horn.
00:24:43.000This is a patriotic duty for God's sake.
00:24:46.000None of those old people beeping horns that are getting in a...
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00:25:55.000So speaking of food tasting and life insurance, you actually do need life insurance.
00:26:00.000If you are a person who is a responsible human being and you have dependents, you need to make sure that your family is protected in case, God forbid, something should happen to you, like you get elected president and then your vice president is ambitious.
00:26:10.000You need to make sure you have life insurance.
00:26:12.000But how do you obtain excellent life insurance?
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00:27:00.000All of this brings us to the video of the weekend, because this is the Democratic Party.
00:27:03.000So the Democratic Party has been hiding their agenda behind the Potemkin village that is Joe Biden.
00:27:11.000For those who don't know what a Potemkin village is, if you've ever seen the end of Blazing Saddles, where they construct an entire fake town just for the posse to ride into, Joe Biden is the fake town.
00:27:19.000Joe Biden is just a series of facades, and one nudge, and the facade falls over, and there is Kamala Harris laughing like the Joker.
00:27:26.000Okay, so Kamala Harris put out a video over the weekend that is an explicit endorsement of communism.
00:28:15.000Kamala Harris in this video suggests that the only way that you can ensure that no inequity has taken place is if everybody ends up in the same place, which is called communism.
00:28:27.000So here she is explicitly endorsing communism the day before the election.
00:28:29.000This is wild stuff from Kamala Harris, who likely will end up as president if Joe Biden is elected.
00:28:33.000So there's a big difference between equality and equity.
00:28:38.000Equality suggests, oh, everyone should get the same amount.
00:28:42.000The problem with that, not everybody's starting out from the same place.
00:28:46.000So if we're all getting the same amount, but you started out back there and I started out over here, we could get the same amount, but you're still going to be that far back behind me.
00:28:56.000It's about giving people the resources and the support they need so that everyone can be on equal footing and then compete on equal footing.
00:29:07.000Equitable treatment means we all end up at the same place.
00:29:11.000Equitable treatment means we all end up at the same place is an insane statement.
00:29:17.000Okay, equitable treatment means we all end up in the same place means that the way that she is judging whether fairness has taken place is by the end result.
00:29:27.000He says that if there's any group disparity, if blacks and whites end up with a disparate income level, if there's an income gap between blacks and whites, that means that some inequity has been done to black people.
00:30:15.000Now, you can make the argument that if somebody has been historically discriminated against, that trying to help them out, give them some extra benefits, like a helping hand in order so that they can get closer to that start line, right?
00:30:25.000This is something that Lyndon Baines Johnson suggested in the 1960s, that that would be a good thing.
00:30:29.000The problem is that when the government decides that they are responsible for cosmic justice, as Thomas Sowell has said, when the government decides that it is their job to ensure that everybody ends up in the same place at the end of the day, well, you end up with this dramatic inequity.
00:30:42.000You end up with dramatic unfairness, cruelty, malice.
00:30:46.000You end up having to suppress the success of some in order to benefit others who are not making the same decisions.
00:30:51.000Because again, decision-making in a free country is the chief factor in how your life is going to go.
00:30:57.000So this assumes, of course, that the system is built to keep people down.
00:31:00.000The system is rigged to keep people down.
00:31:02.000And the only way that true equality and therefore equity exists is if you rig the system in order to help some at the expense of others.
00:31:28.000The government does not have the capacity to ensure that everybody ends up in an equal outcome.
00:31:33.000All the government has the capacity to do is ensure that everyone's equal rights are protected.
00:31:37.000That's all the government has the capacity to do.
00:31:39.000The government does not have the capacity to do anything else.
00:31:41.000Once it starts picking winners and losers, it can just as easily pick somebody who doesn't deserve something as it can pick somebody who does deserve something.
00:31:49.000It can just as easily violate somebody's rights on behalf of somebody else as it can the reverse.
00:32:09.000That final slide of it, the final image in which it's two people standing at the top of the mountain because now one person has been artificially boosted so that they can grab the bottom of that rope and then climb up the mountain.
00:32:22.000But the final statement there, which is that equality of outcome is the goal, All right.
00:32:29.000Because it turns out the only way you can ensure equality of outcome is to get rid of equal rights, is to get rid of individual rights.
00:32:34.000You have to treat people as widgets or moldable by the social systems in which they live.
00:32:38.000It ignores that people have natural differences.
00:32:41.000It ignores that people make different decisions.
00:32:43.000It ignores that there's differences between how people are brought up.
00:32:46.000There's differences in environment, in home environment.
00:32:49.000I mean, it just ignores all realities on the ground in favor of this weird and disgusting Plato's Republic vision of a utopian society in which the government molds everybody from birth in order to achieve equal outcome.
00:33:05.000A lot of people, by the way, who read Plato's Republic, this is the sort of Straussian read, is that a lot of people who read Plato's Republic think that Plato's Republic, which talks basically about a communist utopia, is meant parodically because Plato was smart enough to recognize how stupid that would be and that it absolutely would not work.
00:33:22.000Joe Biden, all of this is him just soft-selling you on what Kamala Harris is hard-selling you on.
00:33:27.000So if you love that, this is why I said, if you're voting for Joe Biden in order to stop Donald Trump because you think that Joe Biden is going to save the country, or you think you're saving conservatism because Trump is just such a bad guy, so vile, so vulgar that you need to vote to oust him, and then you're putting Joe Biden and Kamala Harris in charge, if you're saving conservatism by electing out-and-out Marxists, Good luck to you.
00:33:50.000Okay, in just a second, we're gonna get to the intervention of celebrities in the campaign, because that's exciting stuff.
00:33:55.000Plus, some Trump-Biden clashes around the country.
00:33:58.000We'll talk about the possibility of violence, which seems to be getting worse as we near the election.
00:34:02.000First, let us talk about the fact that if you are low on energy, let's say that you have children who wake you up at all hours of the night.
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00:34:46.000Our producers, they guzzle them like they are going out of business.
00:35:27.000First, 2020, as you may have noticed, this year has been garbage.
00:35:30.000And one of the reasons it's been garbage is because all of the festering wounds that were kind of bubbling underneath the skin in America just boiled out into the open.
00:35:39.000And those festering wounds are not going away.
00:35:41.000If Joe Biden wins or if Donald Trump wins, there's a deep philosophical conflict of visions in the United States.
00:35:46.000I describe it in my book, How to Destroy America in Three Easy Steps.
00:35:48.000One of the questions I get most often from people listening to the show is, I have friends, I have family, I have kids, and they don't know enough about American philosophy or about why people are trying to rip it down.
00:35:58.000How to Destroy America in Three Easy Steps is that book.
00:36:00.000It's relevant before the election, it's relevant on election day, it is relevant beyond the election.
00:36:04.000If you want to understand the conflict of visions that is happening right now in the country, you need to read How to Destroy America in Three Easy Steps.
00:36:09.000You should buy it for your high schooler, you should buy it for your college student, you should buy it for friends and family, because the fact is that if we hope to change the philosophical direction of the country and revivify our fealty to the Founding principles of the country.
00:36:26.000Also, in case you missed it, we had another great episode of the Sunday Special yesterday with author, columnist, documentarian Shelby Steele.
00:37:56.000Make sure you check us out at dailywire.com and use that promo code election for a special deal.
00:38:01.000You're listening to the largest, fastest growing conservative podcast and radio show in the nation.
00:38:04.000So as everybody ramps up for election day, there's a narrative that has gone out across the land from the media.
00:38:15.000And that narrative, of course, is that the Trump supporters are the ones who are going to get violent.
00:38:19.000This is something that the Democrats have been pushing for a while, even though the amount of violence that is driving from Trump supporters when it comes to political violence across the country, we just watch cities burn.
00:38:29.000And the media tried to proclaim that it was white nationalists and Trump supporters who are doing the burning, which, of course, is very, very silly.
00:38:35.000In the lead up to the election, we have seen that Businesses all over blue areas are boarding up.
00:38:41.000This is one of my favorite things about the media, is their perfect willingness to ignore the absolutely obvious around them.
00:38:47.000So Wolf Blitzer, over the weekend, he tweeted out a picture of businesses being boarded up in Washington, D.C., of CNN.
00:38:54.000He tweeted out, I never thought I would see so many buildings here in the nation's capital boarded up on the eve of a presidential election in anticipation of possible unrest.
00:39:07.000I wonder why they're boarding up businesses in, you know, every blue area.
00:39:11.000You think they're doing that because they're afraid of Trump supporters?
00:39:13.000Or could it be that the media, which have steadfastly refused to acknowledge that left-wing violence has been plaguing the country throughout the year, Maybe it's those people.
00:39:22.000Maybe the fact is Trump supporters are not going to riot if Trump loses, but Biden supporters are absolutely going to riot if Donald Trump wins.
00:39:29.000And shockingly, the same media, who seem so bewildered by people boarding up their businesses, have been happily covering and praising the folks over at Black Lives Matter for the entire year.
00:39:38.000I hope all of your children get raped and killed!
00:39:40.000of Black Lives Matter protesters abusing cops in New York City.
00:39:43.000Some of them are not wearing masks, by the way, but the good news is that the virus is woke so it doesn't matter at all.
00:39:47.000As we know, the woke virus does not affect people as long as they wear a Black Lives Matter t-shirt and spit on cops.
00:39:51.000I hope all of your children get raped and killed.
00:40:00.000I hope that all of your children get raped and killed.
00:40:03.000Don't worry, they're boarding up businesses because Trump supporters might be really bad.
00:40:06.000As proof that Trump supporters are really bad, Democrats have trotted out video of a bunch of Trump-trained caravan supporters, a bunch of trucks in Texas, surrounding a Biden bus on an interstate, apparently, according to The local newspaper, the Texas Tribune, they said the FBI is looking into a Friday incident in which a group of Trump supporters driving trucks and waving Trump flags surrounded and followed a Biden campaign bus as it drove up I-35 in Hayes County, according to a law enforcement official.
00:40:35.000The Washington Post reported Biden staffers called 911 to get a police escort to their next location.
00:40:40.000And they suggested that this was a, you know, ugly, terrible Trump supporters who are trying to slow down the bus and run it off the road.
00:40:49.000Actually, what the vehicles kind of show is that the vehicles, the tape seems to show the vehicles surrounding the bus.
00:41:33.000I have serious doubts that that is in fact the case.
00:41:36.000There were clashes in Beverly Hills as well.
00:41:39.000According to Fox News, the Beverly Hills PD declared an unlawful assembly Saturday after fights broke out between Trump supporters and counter-protesters.
00:41:45.000The USA Freedom Rally was planned for 3 p.m.
00:41:47.000Pacific and featured multiple Republican California congressional candidates.
00:41:51.000A group of protesters mostly clad in black marched from Roxbury Park to the site of the USA Freedom Rally.
00:41:56.000Lieutenant Max Subin of BHPD told Fox News a couple of members got into a violence attack on a pro-Trump member.
00:42:00.000So it was Antifa that attacked the Trump assembly.
00:43:14.000Well, if you want to hear more from them, Lady Gaga cut a video telling you to vote, which is what I needed.
00:43:18.000I need Lady Gaga pretending to be a down-home girl, not, you know, a giant Hollywood starlet who wears weird crap all the time.
00:43:27.000Here she was, throwing away a perfectly good can of beer while telling people to vote, standing next to a truck.
00:43:32.000Which I guess this is what people who are in Hollywood and they are from New York think of what people in the middle of the country look like.
00:43:40.000I don't know that people in the middle of the country throw away perfectly good cans of beer or dress like they're cosplaying a hunting outfit.
00:43:48.000That is that is solid stuff here from Lady Gaga.
00:45:42.000You mean like Harvey Weinstein land over there?
00:45:44.000In fact, We don't think he's much of a man at all.
00:45:50.000I'm glad that we had all of these people sound off.
00:45:52.000Now, here's the point that I'm making.
00:45:53.000Listen, we can make fun of celebrities all day, and believe me, I would love to, because they are some of the dumbest people in the world when it comes to this stuff.
00:46:00.000Now, I am not an expert on cinematography or lighting, and they are not experts on politics in any way, shape, or form.
00:46:04.000But the point that I would like to make here is that there's been a complete merger now between media and celebrity, like a complete merger, right?
00:46:12.000Jeff Daniels will be featured on MSNBC as like a regular guest.
00:46:15.000Alyssa Milano is featured on CNN regularly.
00:46:18.000And my favorite thing about the media, who are really the, when we talk about the silent majority in this country, and people say, oh, maybe there's a silent majority for Trump, there's a very non-silent minority in the media who are pretending they are objective.
00:46:59.000Well, over the weekend, I thought this was actually kind of telling.
00:47:02.000So Kirstie Alley, who is a celebrity, right?
00:47:04.000Which means she's entitled to her opinion like anybody else.
00:47:07.000She happens to be closer to my side of the aisle on a lot of issues, but I don't think she's an expert on politics in any real way.
00:47:12.000So Kirstie Alley tweeted out something about how Democrats want more lockdowns.
00:47:16.000CNN's communications team tweeted out, Kirstie, you are welcome to change the channel, just like countless viewers did every time Veronica's Closet came on TV.
00:47:24.000But don't downplay the loss of nearly 230,000 American lives.
00:47:33.000Really, I mean, that's CNN's comms team responding directly to Kirstie Alley.
00:47:37.000Don't pretend to me these are serious people.
00:47:39.000Don't pretend these are serious arbiters of the truth.
00:47:41.000Speaking of non-serious arbiters of the truth, here's Brian Stelter over the weekend, a very reliable source, reliably sourcing his journalisming.
00:47:48.000Here he was talking about how this election is a referendum on fantasy and conspiracy theory.
00:47:53.000Tell me more, CNN reliable sources guy.
00:47:58.000Who monitors the Fox News channel every waking hour, but can't spend like 30 seconds, 30 seconds checking his own channel for bias or foolishness.
00:48:07.000Here is Brian Stelter suggesting that if Donald Trump wins, it's a victory for fantasy and conspiracy theory, as opposed to, you know, a victory for CNN, which would be technically a referendum on fantasy and conspiracy theory.
00:48:18.000The coming days are a test of American democracy.
00:48:23.000The world is watching, live, through this network and others.
00:48:27.000America passes this test by staying tied, tethered, secured to the truth.
00:48:33.000America may fail this test if lying politicians and propagandists drown out what's true and replace it with what they want to be true.
00:48:41.000Failure means succumbing to fantasy and conspiracy theory and hate and division.
00:48:46.000And there's already too, too much of that.
00:48:51.000I'm sorry, but the hypocrisy here is beyond words.
00:48:54.000And Brian Stelter sounds exactly like every other celebrity in Hollywood when he says these things.
00:48:58.000Right, it's all about ending hate, says CNN, which promoted for solidly like a week the Covington Catholic non-scandal.
00:49:07.000Right, CNN, which spent its time declaring that Brett Kavanaugh was probably a gang rapist.
00:49:12.000CNN, which trots out people like Brian Stelter to dismiss any sort of questions about Andrew Cuomo and Chris Cuomo and Bias at the Network.
00:49:22.000Don't pretend I'm supposed to respect these people as objective journalists, because they are not.
00:49:26.000We are living in a world of fantasy and conspiracy theory when you pretend that CNN is objective journalism.
00:49:34.000And speaking of fantasy and conspiracy theory, notice something.
00:49:37.000Democrats right now, they keep talking about how Republicans, they have this conspiracy theory about voter fraud, there's gonna be tons of voter fraud.
00:49:42.000Now, listen, I don't think there's a lot of evidence that there's widespread voter fraud.
00:49:46.000We've had evidence in particular districts.
00:49:48.000There was an evidence, actually, of voter fraud being used in a North Carolina district by a Republican.
00:49:51.000We've had evidence of voter fraud in Minnesota.
00:49:53.000We've had evidence of voter fraud in Washington state.
00:50:09.000I don't see evidence of that at this point.
00:50:12.000But the same people who are saying we shouldn't worry about voter fraud on the left are saying we should deeply worry about voter suppression.
00:50:17.000So the same media telling you that we are, you know, that this is a referendum on truth and fantasy.
00:50:23.000They're suggesting that we are going to, that if Donald Trump wins, it can only be due to voter suppression.
00:50:28.000They're pressing this narrative like nothing.
00:50:30.000They're pressing this narrative every single moment of the day.
00:50:35.000The same media that... Why in the world are they boarding up all the windows in Washington, D.C., while ignoring Antifa and Black Lives Matter?
00:50:41.000Why exactly are they boarding up all the windows in Washington, D.C.?
00:50:44.000I mean, also at the same time, saying that if Trump wins, it can only be through voter suppression?
00:50:51.000I think I know why they're boarding up all the windows in Washington, D.C., my people.
00:51:12.000Voter suppression is like when Saddam Hussein gasses the Kurds.
00:51:14.000Voter suppression is like when there's an actual poll tax designed to disenfranchise people.
00:51:19.000Voter suppression is not when you have to wait in line for a thing.
00:51:23.000That is called waiting in line for a thing.
00:51:24.000Here's Ayanna Pressley pushing voter suppression is a theory and CNN nodding right along.
00:51:30.000We still find ourselves in the civil rights movement.
00:51:33.000And right now we have the opportunity to write the next chapter in our civil rights history.
00:51:38.000You know, what were fire hoses and dogs are today is what happened in my district.
00:51:43.000Arson and drop boxes is voter suppression, intimidation with long lines.
00:51:50.000So it is just more of the same, but it is also why we must be more emboldened than ever before when our democracy, our livelihood and our very lives are all on the ballot.
00:52:27.000But they've had a moment, a moment, a glimmer of hope.
00:52:31.000But if Trump wins, then it has to be because of voter suppression and fire hoses and dogs.
00:52:36.000I mean, the fact that there's no pushback by Don Lemon there on Ayanna Pressley tells you what you need to know about the media democratic complex aided and assisted by the folks in Hollywood.
00:52:45.000Okay, so there is also another aspect to the pitch when it comes to Donald Trump being very, very bad.
00:52:50.000The final closing pitch for Democrats and why Donald Trump is very, very bad is because Donald Trump is a miasmatic evil force across the land responsible for COVID.
00:52:59.000There's an almost biblical view that Democrats in the media have of COVID, which is that America deserves this.
00:53:05.000That because we elected Donald Trump, we deserve this.
00:53:07.000They have the same view, by the way, of the wildfires in California.
00:53:10.000Joe Biden has said similar stuff about global warming.
00:53:12.000Like, if we get rid of Donald Trump, global warming will stop.
00:53:24.000But the basic philosophy here is that Donald Trump is a miasmatic evil force lying over the land, and that the only way to relieve that miasmatic evil force is to get rid of him.
00:53:35.000And we have been struck with the plague.
00:54:30.000When Trump, not about the efficacy of masks, not about the deadliness of the disease, but when Trump suggests that this is a choice between a vaccine and a lockdown and that lockdowns are bad policy, he's not wrong about this.
00:54:43.000There are a variety of policy choices that are on the table.
00:54:47.000And Trump's actually being more realistic about this than Democrats in the media are.
00:54:51.000But for Democrats in the media, understand that it doesn't matter what policy is chosen.
00:54:55.000The only policy that they care about in terms of getting rid of COVID is getting rid of Trump.
00:54:59.000There is an almost religious belief, an almost faith-based belief, that if Donald Trump exits office, if he is thrown out of office on November 3rd, that COVID will immediately wane across the country because the adults will be in charge.
00:56:33.000And he's speaking out publicly, like in the days before the election, about how much he dislikes Trump.
00:56:37.000Listen to the way that he poses this, Anthony Fauci.
00:56:39.000This is according to the Washington Post.
00:56:41.000President Donald Trump's repeated assertions, the United States is rounding the turn on the novel coronavirus, have increasingly alarmed the government's top health experts, who say the country is heading into a long and potentially deadly winter with an unprepared government unwilling to make tough choices.
00:57:28.000In fact, as it turns out, the best guarantee of having a massive second wave is to have a very small first wave.
00:57:34.000The harder you lock down, and I've been saying this for months, the harder you lock down in the first place, the worse it's going to be when you release the lockdown.
00:57:39.000This is what you are seeing all over Europe.
00:57:41.000Fauci said the United States needed to make an abrupt change in public health practices and behaviors.
00:57:45.000He said the country could surpass 100,000 new coronavirus cases a day and predicted rising deaths in the coming weeks.
00:57:52.000He spoke as the nation set a new daily record Friday with more than 98,000 cases.
00:57:55.000As hospitalizations increase, deaths are also ticking up, with more than 1,000 reported Wednesday and Thursday.
00:58:00.000Fauci's blunt warnings come as Trump has rallied in states and cities experiencing record surges in infections and hospitalizations in a last-ditch effort to convince voters he has successfully managed the pandemic.
00:58:10.000Fauci said that, and here's where you get to the part that matters, Fauci said former VP Joe Biden's campaign is quote, taking it seriously from a public health perspective.
00:58:18.000Trump, Fauci said, is looking at it from a different perspective.
00:58:21.000He said that perspective was the economy and reopening the country.
00:58:25.000Okay, well, it turns out that you have to actually take into account both of those things, right?
00:58:29.000You can't ignore the economy and reopening the country by looking at it only from a quote-unquote public health perspective.
00:58:35.000There are public health consequences to locking people down for years on end.
00:58:39.000There are public health consequences to shutting down the schools.
00:58:41.000There are public health consequences to the kind of policies that Joe Biden is promising at this point.
00:58:46.000But of course, Fauci is now lending his support to the idea that only Biden is taking this stuff super seriously.
00:58:52.000And then Trump, of course, falls directly into the trap of saying maybe he's going to fire Anthony Fauci.
00:58:57.000Now, the reality is that Anthony Fauci should have a very specific role inside the government.
00:59:02.000His role inside the government should be to talk about the dangers of the virus.
00:59:05.000OK, but he was immediately put out front.
00:59:14.000Because the policy guy is supposed to be the person you elect.
00:59:17.000Nor is it a solution to say, as Joe Biden does, that you're just going to shut everything down.
00:59:22.000Nonetheless, Trump being drawn into a late-minute battle with Fauci is exactly what Democrats have wanted since March.
00:59:27.000Here is Trump at a rally, suggesting he's going to fire Fauci after the election, which is a bad closing pitch considering Fauci is more popular than the president by polling data.
00:59:54.000OK, remember, Joe Biden's actual state of policy is no different than Donald Trump's, except he says masks and lockdowns more.
00:59:59.000OK, but the media have bought into this.
01:00:03.000So here is Chris Wallace over the weekend suggesting, hasn't Trump failed at containing the virus?
01:00:08.000Well, hasn't everyone failed at containing the virus?
01:00:11.000I'm sorry we couldn't transform the United States into a small island nation like New Zealand.
01:00:15.000I'm sorry that a country of 4 million people in a less- in a- in a lightly-trafficked area of the world is not the same as a country of 330 million people in one of the most heavily-trafficked areas of the world on planet Earth.
01:01:06.000And by the way, again, if you look at the states that are experiencing upsurges right now, they are all the states that did not experience an upsurge in the first place.
01:01:12.000So basically, once it burns through an area, it's burned through the area.
01:01:16.000I've been saying that for months, and it seems to continue to be the case.
01:01:19.000If you look on a county-by-county basis, the places hardest hit the first time are the least hard hit the second time.
01:01:24.000So what kind of policy are you recommending that's going to be good?
01:05:02.000His new policy is he's going to mandatorily test everyone entering New York for COVID.
01:05:08.000Now, number one, there are serious problems with doing mass testing in this way because you end up with an awful lot of false positives and an awful lot of false negatives.
01:05:16.000Beyond that, it has been longtime FDA policy that mandatory testing of the healthy is generally bad policy.
01:05:24.000Nonetheless, here was Andrew Cuomo declaring that he's basically shutting down a state, not to Connecticut and New Jersey, by the way, but to everybody else because he's handled it so brilliantly.
01:05:30.000So he is going to try and turn New York into an island nation.
01:05:36.000If you are coming to the state of New York, Within three days of arriving in New York, you must have tested negative and have proof of a test within three days upon your arrival in New York that says you're negative.
01:06:01.000Once you arrive in New York, you must quarantine for three days Yeah, that's not gonna work.
01:06:11.000And there's several reasons it's not gonna work.
01:06:13.000One, not everybody's gonna do the test.
01:06:17.000Two, the incubation period on COVID is two to five days.
01:06:19.000negative, then God bless, you're released from quarantine.
01:06:25.000Yeah, that's not gonna work. And there are several reasons it's not gonna work. One, not everybody is gonna do the test. Two, the incubation period on COVID is two to five days, not three. Seriously, if he's gonna do this, he actually has to quarantine everybody for like a It doesn't work if you quarantine... Let's say that you were exposed to COVID, and then you traveled, and you waited three days, and then you tested negative.
01:07:10.000It's a bunch of hogwash, but it's part of a broader narrative, and the broader narrative is everything is Trump's fault.
01:07:15.000Again, it goes back to that religious belief that if we get rid of Trump, all problems are solved.
01:07:19.000Well, I think that people are going to find out very quickly that if Joe Biden is elected, not all problems are solved.
01:07:25.000Here's actually my prediction of what happens with COVID if Joe Biden is elected.
01:07:28.000If Joe Biden is elected, what you're going to watch is a continuation of caseload across the winter, because that's going to happen no matter what anybody does or no matter what anybody says.
01:07:36.000Because people are going to go indoors.
01:07:37.000It's going to be cold in the Northeast.
01:07:39.000It's all the areas of the country that are coldest right now that are getting hit.
01:07:42.000So, during the winter, there's going to be that second wave that everybody talked about.
01:07:45.000In most cases, it actually constitutes a first wave because in many areas that were already hard hit, they're not going to get a big second wave.
01:07:52.000So, you're not going to see a huge second wave in Arizona or in Florida or in Texas.
01:07:57.000You are going to see a big wave in the states who are currently seeing a big wave.
01:08:02.000And there'll be increased deaths because even though we have gotten better at treating this in hospitals, it is still true that along with increased caseload comes increased death.
01:08:10.000By January, it's already going to be going down.
01:08:13.000Because just like this is what happened in March, right?
01:08:15.000It went up in March, it went up in April.
01:08:17.000By May, it was already starting to come down.
01:08:42.000Okay, put that—seriously, seal it, put it in the time capsule.
01:08:45.000We'll uncover it on January 31st of next year if Joe Biden wins victory, and we'll see if I was right.
01:08:51.000Because all of this has to create, it's all about the political myth and the deeper political myth.
01:08:55.000Okay, what that really ties into is the deeper political myth that Democrats have been purveying for generations, which is that government is the solution to all your problems.
01:09:02.000Government cannot solve every problem.
01:09:06.000And government can't solve the problems of inequality of outcome.
01:09:11.000But if you're a true believer in the state, if you're a true believer in Marxism, if you're a true believer in the idea that the state controls all aspects of life, this is where you end up.
01:09:19.000And that's really what the election is about.
01:09:22.000The election is about whether you get to control your life or whether these guys are going to control your life.
01:09:25.000If you want to make it about a battle of personalities and that's what you decide to do, All right.