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00:01:18.000Welcome to the election night super stream.
00:01:21.000We've got an election on tonight here in Arizona, and we're so excited to be the ones to bring it to you live as results come in in real time.
00:01:32.000Polls are closed as of 32 minutes ago and 50 seconds.
00:01:38.000We got Tyler Boyer, COO of Turning Point Action, the architect of the machine that we're building here in this great state of 48, State 48.
00:01:47.000And we got the wonderful, the amazing, the stupendous.
00:01:53.000Yeah, you're getting the adjectives tonight.
00:03:25.000So, Tyler, we did one of these this morning.
00:03:30.000For those who missed it, those who are just tuning in, getting election results tonight, give us a sense of the timeline and the main things that you're watching for.
00:04:06.000And he's been cleaning the voter rolls, which is helpful because then that limits the insane stuff that's been going on in the background with Dems, just like kind of harvesting ballots and chucking a bunch of allegedly envelopes into the box at the last minute.
00:04:22.000But the second thing is a law got passed this last year in Arizona that makes it so that they can actually tabulate your ballot at the polling place on election day.
00:04:33.000So instead of shipping it in trucks to like a tabulation center?
00:05:04.000The envelope that you signed, and then they feed into the machine and count it right there on the polling place.
00:05:09.000That is so much better than what happened a few years ago.
00:05:12.000Four years ago, if you remember, in November, and I just posted about this, they had changed the laws or they changed the rules, the operating procedures, where you had to wait to print a ballot on site, and the printers all malfunctioned and went down.
00:05:28.000Some speculate that that was on purpose to hurt Republicans on election day.
00:05:33.000But regardless if it was malfeasance or if it was intentional malfeasance, It hurt Republicans.
00:05:39.000And the legislature came in, the Republican legislature came in and said, we're going to pass a law that's going to be really hard for the Democrats to say no to, which is that you can tabulate your mail in vote there at the polling place.
00:06:20.000So, what was going to happen is that the results you're going to see are the early votes that have been tabulated by every county that reports on time.
00:06:30.000Now, some counties have been notorious for not reporting super quickly.
00:07:18.000And so, again, typically you don't see these kind of things on primary night.
00:07:23.000It would be nice to just see results pretty quick at eight.
00:07:26.000And then we should have, we'll quickly go through all of the races that we're tracking.
00:07:31.000Some we'll cover now before we hit eight o'clock.
00:07:33.000So you have a good idea of who won, who didn't, what are the races to watch.
00:07:38.000And then we'll stick by the microphone and hopefully we'll have some more results and see some more tabulation coming in and then what to watch for the rest of the night, even after we're off live.
00:07:50.000Jack, I want to throw to you really quick and work you in here.
00:07:54.000So, you know this firsthand because you were around when Charlie was endorsing Andy Biggs, when he got behind him when we threw rallies for him, when he talked about him on a show.
00:08:06.000But just from somebody who's not a resident of State 48, explain what you observed, why this is special tonight for us.
00:08:15.000I mean, we are all gathered here because Arizona matters in so many different ways.
00:08:19.000But what did Andy Biggs in that endorsement in this state of Arizona, the state he made his home, what did it mean to him, and what could you see from?
00:08:29.000You know, it's seeing that, but it's also, you know, being with Charlie, even in the last four years, because it's been four years now since the primary election of 2022, when I actually was sitting there in Arizona, right in that room where you guys are on that particular night.
00:08:49.000And you can hear it in Charlie's voice.
00:08:52.000You can hear it when, you know, we're playing the clips of him endorsing Andy just as we were going to start the live stream here.
00:08:59.000And it just hit me like a ton of bricks.
00:09:01.000You can hear how personal this was for him.
00:09:04.000That line that Charlie said, and I know that every single one of you guys had the exact same feeling when he said this line when he said, Arizona is the state that I'm raising my children in.
00:09:41.000We used to, he and I used to go back and forth because I used to say, well, you know, Pennsylvania was the state that delivered us the 2024 election.
00:09:47.000And he would say, yeah, Jack, but, but Arizona was the one where we had the biggest difference.
00:09:52.000Arizona was the one where we had the biggest win, where we had the biggest change out of the, you know, the 2020 states that had their little, had their little, had their little kerfuffle around 3 a.m.
00:10:03.000And I just knew how many, how much blood, sweat, and tears.
00:10:12.000He was all in for Andy Biggs more than I've ever seen him in for anyone else.
00:10:16.000And the idea was quite simple Charlie Kirk wanted Andy Biggs to be his governor, to be his family's governor, to be the guy who was literally working with the president to shut down the border, to make Arizona safe, not just for all Arizonans, but for Charlie's own family.
00:10:36.000He said it exactly like that himself on stage.
00:10:41.000I just knew that this was the real deal when Charlie came in for Andy Biggs.
00:10:46.000And you could see it on air, you could see it off air.
00:10:49.000And I think he really thought that working with Turning Point Action specifically, that Arizona should and ought to be, by the way, a red state by getting out those low prop voters the way that we started in 2024, that Arizona would go on to not just have that six point delta like it did in 2024, but raise it up to a 10 point delta.
00:11:12.000And make Arizona the red state that it is and has always been.
00:11:52.000What started here in Arizona back 10 years ago is still continuing because if it's just about getting Trump elected as the president, don't get me wrong, praise God Almighty it happened, and it doesn't materialize in our own home, then that's just a short-lived moment.
00:12:07.000But we're here about building a movement.
00:12:09.000And that is why we are here today and why we at Turning Point so decisively are going all in for a true conservative.
00:12:16.000Because it's time for us to not just make America great again, but make Arizona great again and make Andy Biggs the next governor of this great state.
00:12:57.000I think 3,000 people showed up for that rally.
00:12:59.000I mean, just so that everybody understands, nobody shows up for, you can't get 3,000 people for a lot of presidential rallies during the presidential cycle.
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00:16:20.000I want to play one other clip before we get to some of the other endorsements, some of the other races that we're looking at tonight.
00:16:26.000This is one clip because, and I think it's important, especially in Arizona, and I want everybody to understand the massive transformation that has happened in this state.
00:16:36.000And I'm not attacking, we need all conservatives together.
00:16:39.000I'm just saying, from the, if you will, the flake McCain era of this state to where the prevailing wisdom was that you do not want a true conservative.
00:16:49.000To run in these races, you can't elect an actual conservative like Andy Biggs.
00:16:54.000Charlie addressed that because he understood that this state had been fundamentally transformed not only by Trump and the MAGA era, but by the work that Turning Point Action has done to get out conservative voters in this state and get them mobilized.
00:17:12.000If you run a more moderate candidate, the counties like Cochise and Yuma, the counties that are very, very conservative, They tend to have an underrepresentation.
00:18:53.000But, totally different state where the turnout is that the conservatives are generally pretty jazzed.
00:18:59.000They turn out for their local elections really well.
00:19:02.000And the moderates sometimes will sit at home.
00:19:05.000In Arizona, you have a situation where you can see on the map, you look at the map, the places that we have struggled the most with with turning out voters, and it's just what Charlie just talked about, is your rural counties.
00:19:17.000Your deep red, super conservative rural counties where they showed up for Donald Trump in big numbers and record numbers.
00:19:24.000Mojave County did a boomerang in 2024.
00:19:29.000Mojave County, if anyone's ever been to Mojave County, that is your northwestern part, Kingman.
00:21:22.000The polling is showing that he's going to defeat David Schweikart, probably in David Schweikart's home district, by more than double digits.
00:21:31.000And so, this will be the first time in a long time, two things.
00:21:35.000One is that we have a conservative that's well known across the state, that's trusted, that's going to run, that's going to tap into that Carrie Lake energy, that's going to tap into the Donald Trump energy, but also has just a little bit more established persona.
00:21:50.000So, to sum this up, though, the second thing that's really important is that.
00:21:54.000You also have a guy in Andy Biggs who has run with and ahead of the president in his own district the last three elections.
00:22:04.000So, this is really important because most people struggle to turn out the same type of excitement that the president does.
00:22:16.000Andy Biggs is one of the only people that I can point to that excited people equal to, if not at the same level, as the president for the last three cycles that the president ran in.
00:22:30.000Well, first of all, I want to say thank you to Dylan, who sent a super rumble rant, I guess they call it.
00:22:36.000And he said, I see more people are voting early in Tennessee, he said, compared to 2018 or 2022, which I love that Dylan is watching us from Tennessee.
00:22:48.000Voter habits are going to change as our side gets used to this month long stuff.
00:22:53.000But I wanted to highlight, especially, just illustrate what you're saying about the enthusiasm issue, which is Donald Trump won.
00:23:01.000In 24, with about 1.7 million votes in this state, Kamala Harris lost by quite a bit, getting 1.55 million.
00:23:10.000So it loses by 150,000 votes, gets over 1.55 million.
00:23:14.000In 2022, Hobbs wins with 1.2 million, 1.25.
00:23:20.000And so, all of that, what you say about that enthusiasm, if you can just avoid losing 500,000 votes, almost a third of your votes from the presidential year, you basically win this race.
00:23:34.000It's crazy what the gap is in turnout.
00:23:36.000There's some other things to pay attention to in this election.
00:23:38.000So, again, we're going to be talking a lot more about this, but they're in this election, which is a little bit different than others in the past.
00:23:46.000There is going to be a Green Party candidate running against the Democrats.
00:24:16.000So, we're going to lose 500 viewers now.
00:24:18.000Hugh Little is running as what they call no labels.
00:24:23.000So, if you remember, there was a party that filed in Arizona called No Labels.
00:24:29.000And the Democrats hate no labels because the Democrats' polling shows time and time again that no labels candidates pull from the Democrat Party.
00:25:18.000The polling shows that the president's approval rating amongst Republicans is 90 92 percent pretty solid.
00:25:24.000And then there's some waffly, and then there's like five percent that hate him.
00:25:28.000Those people, when they have an option to vote for someone other than just the Democrat, that's a positive.
00:25:34.000And in this election, that will exist.
00:25:36.000The problem for the Democrats is that they're people that are abandoning the Democrats actually like the president, right?
00:25:45.000So the five percent to eight percent of Democrats that Are voting for Republicans, Hispanic males, we're seeing a lot of black males, I mean, males in general, right?
00:25:55.000They're not going to vote necessarily for Hugh Little.
00:25:59.000They might vote for the no labels, but the likelihood is that they're going to vote for Andy Biggs.
00:26:05.000So we're actually teeing up for a really nice situation as long as we push people that direction, right?
00:26:10.000As long as we talk about it, that our people will probably, when they slough off, not go to the Democrats, they'll go to Hugh Little and their side will go to Andy.
00:26:22.000Now, The question is, what kind of percentage is that?
00:26:24.000If it's 2% go Green Party, 2% or 3% go Hugh Little, 2% or 3% go to Andy from their side, and ours, I mean, ours are not going to go Green Party.
00:26:35.000Ours are going to go, let's say, 3% or 4%.
00:26:37.000We can potentially lose 4% or 5% to the Independent.
00:26:42.000Let me just sum this up for everybody who's joining this broadcast just new.
00:26:47.000We're watching as election results from the Arizona primary here come in.
00:27:57.000Another thing, Katie Hobbs is called by mainstream newspapers and publications the most vulnerable Democrat incumbent governor in the country.
00:28:09.000And that's above the Democrat governor in Kansas right now.
00:30:21.000Yeah, no, I mean, this was, you're writing it out.
00:30:24.000Look, for many years, I would say that I always put it like this that MAGA has sort of existed or operated almost like Tyler was just walking us through the Green parties, the no labels, libertarians that they want to end up running.
00:30:38.000But MAGA almost operated as a third party within the Republican Party.
00:30:43.000And primary elections are where you saw this displayed most frequently.
00:30:47.000And Arizona was a perfect example of a state like that, where You know, you might not get someone over the line in the primary.
00:30:55.000You might have this hard or, or, you know, have a hard fought primary.
00:30:59.000And then, of course, in the general, those people, you know, who are on the other side of that, whether it was the MAGA side, whether it's the establishment side, wouldn't come out to support the candidate that was on the top of the ballot.
00:31:10.000And what I'm hoping, what I'm certainly hoping is that, you know, people can kind of put that behind them and get behind a guy like Andy Biggs, who, yeah, he's a MAGA guy.
00:31:30.000He's someone who's absolutely given his entire lifetime career to the state.
00:31:34.000And really, someone I, you know, just again, looking at it from afar, it seems to be someone that's done a lot of work with all of the different various entities within Arizona politics.
00:31:48.000Colorado is at it again, trying to silence free speech because that's what they do in Colorado.
00:31:53.000A state law forces businesses to refer to some customers with inaccurate pronouns, even if using them would violate the business owner's religious beliefs or conscience.
00:32:05.000But as Colorado has proved time and again, it has little concern for the First Amendment.
00:32:10.000At Alliance Defending Freedom, they're challenging the law on behalf of a Christian bookstore and a sports apparel company.
00:32:16.000But a court recently ruled against them, which is a huge, huge problem.
00:32:20.000With ADF's help, they've appealed, and they'll continue fighting to ensure Colorado doesn't get away with this attempt to skirt the First Amendment.
00:32:28.000Your gift today helps protect free speech in cases like this all over the country.
00:32:33.000And for a limited time, your gift to the ADF, the Alliance Defending Freedom, great lawyers, great team.
00:32:38.000It's going to be doubled by a special matching grant while funds last.
00:37:08.000And especially with turning point supported candidates here.
00:37:12.000I'm pulling up these other ones that they're tracking on here.
00:37:18.000I mean, there is a lot of interesting races that are down ballot as well.
00:37:26.000So, Zudi Jaster, we didn't talk about Dr. Jaster.
00:37:28.000He actually didn't have a contested primary in CD4, but he's going to be going up against Greg Stanton, who is the former mayor of Phoenix.
00:37:39.000But there were pretty decent results in the primary that came out of that place.
00:37:45.000In the race for Attorney General, Warren Peterson has basically sealed this thing up, too.
00:37:51.000The results are looking pretty darn similar to the Secretary of State's race.
00:37:55.000He's got about 57% of the vote compared to Rodney Glassman.
00:38:00.000So, congratulations to our friend, Warren Peterson, who has been, we've known him for quite some time.
00:38:08.000Further down the ballot, school superintendent.
00:38:11.000Yee, it looks like, is winning by about 12%.
00:39:41.000To give us something to talk about, so it's looking like Shah, Amish, Am In one of the only true swing House seats that we're going to have this cycle.
00:41:03.000So, anyways, but going back to Shaw, Shaw was not supported by the DCCC.
00:41:10.000The DCCC actually stuck their neck out and endorsed Marlene Galen Woods.
00:41:15.000Marlene, who I've been posting about pretty relentlessly for the last 24 hours, is a failed actress who married a guy named Grant Woods, who's the former Republican Attorney General of Arizona during the McCain era.
00:41:29.000He was really great, close with McCain.
00:41:31.000And he passed away kind of at a young age a few years ago.
00:42:59.000And if you lose Arizona permanently, it's way harder for the GOP to get presidential wins.
00:43:05.000And he wanted to turn the tide on that.
00:43:08.000I want to play just a really quick clip as you gather your thoughts here.
00:43:12.000Obviously, you know, Charlie's not here with us, but this was really, really important to Erica as well.
00:43:21.000And I want to play a clip from her from that rally back in May 31st, 2025, SOT 6.
00:43:29.000I also was proud to be able to say that as a family, we are supporting Andy Biggs for the next governor of Arizona.
00:43:45.000And I say that because us moms, especially in Arizona, we deserve that.
00:43:50.000We deserve a governor who is going to protect our children, our family rights, but also protect our kids from being pawns in a crazy culture and political game that we're facing right now.
00:45:38.000And by the way, we're two weeks early, too.
00:45:39.000So the election got bumped up two weeks this year.
00:45:43.000Arizona, again, has had this awful situation where we had a really late primary.
00:45:48.000And some of this also lends to we didn't have as great of a turnout, I don't think, because people are still on vacation, finishing up summer vacations before school gets back into session.
00:45:58.000Arizona starts school at the end of July.
00:46:00.000In most places across the state because of summers here, they actually start the year earlier in Arizona.
00:46:19.000We have older folks, seniors, snowbirds who are registered to vote in Arizona who are still in Wisconsin, who are still in Montana, who are still in.
00:46:30.000The beach houses in California that are still at.
00:46:34.000In Illinois or wherever they hail from Michigan.
00:46:37.000So you have a ton of people right now that are not in the state, which should terrify the Democrats because we probably had a solid one to 200.
00:47:12.000That was an unwavering commitment to his faith, his love for his family, and his genuine desire to encourage others to live with courage and conviction.
00:47:21.000Charlie believed that following Christ wasn't something you compartmentalize.
00:47:24.000He didn't put it in a box, he lived it out loud.
00:47:27.000It shaped how he lived, how he served, how he treated people every single day.
00:47:32.000Charlie Kirk, American Martyr, captures that heart.
00:47:35.000This documentary isn't just simply about remembering Charlie, it's an invitation.
00:47:39.000For each of us to ask what kind of legacy we're building and whether we're willing to stand firm in our own faith when it's tested.
00:47:47.000I hope that you'll watch it with your family and have those conversations together.
00:48:39.000MAGA took over the conservative movement.
00:48:44.000It was a huge fight here more than most states because of the entrenched system, political operatives, and just voting memory of the population here.
00:48:54.000And so it was a huge, huge civil war on the conservative side.
00:48:57.000This signals that the conservatives have won the day.
00:49:01.000This signals that Charlie's predictions were right that if you get somebody who's conservative, you're going to have a coalition, you're going to coalesce the party together.
00:49:10.000So we were watching for this, and the results are showing exactly what we expected, probably a little bit more.
00:49:17.000Right, I mean, when you're getting 63, 66, 65 types of margins, I mean, that's showing even further along than you maybe thought.
00:49:28.000Here's my question, and Tyler, you know Arizona primaries better than me, but man, at you know, I've been covering them for a couple years now with uh, you know, with doing these live streams, I'm not used to seeing numbers being run up this much.
00:49:54.000Yeah, I mean, I'm just going to just say this is, I mean, Charlie coming out and, yeah, with this, putting his total gusto behind Andy from the get go should be studied if that's how you win a primary.
00:50:12.000You have the most influential voices that are focused on grassroots efforts, right?
00:50:19.000It can't be just anybody, it's got to be grassroots.
00:50:21.000But Charlie doing that shifted this primary dramatically from the get go.
00:50:26.000And it really shut things down in a positive way.
00:50:31.000You cannot win elections where everybody fights and fights and fights and fights and fights until September of the election year and then try to come together and piece things back together real quickly and then win in November.
00:50:47.000New Hampshire has one of the latest primaries in the country.
00:50:51.000And try to piece back together the Republican Party is part of the reason why we're losing statewide elections like governor and for Senate.
00:50:59.000And for some of these special, really important congressional races.
00:51:04.000Well, you know, I think back to Carrie Lake, right?
00:52:10.000He hasn't been able to do any of that because it's impossible for him to because he's got to protect the president's agenda right now with getting votes passed.
00:52:17.000So, this man has been working his butt off in D.C. as one of the most conservative congressmen we've had in the last 10 years down there.
00:52:25.000And he's been back in Arizona defeating.
00:55:30.000I mean, a total rock star through and through.
00:55:34.000By the way, show this, show the live shot.
00:55:37.000I just want to give the audience a sneak peek because we must be getting close to having Biggs take the stage and give his victory speech here.
00:55:46.000So we're monitoring that and we are going to throw to that live as soon as he takes the podium.
00:56:13.000When you are in a primary, is that customary for the incumbent party or the, in this case, Katie Hobbs, to issue a statement?
00:56:24.000We'll see what she's going to do, right?
00:56:25.000So, I mean, I certainly can't recall it.
00:56:28.000I think if they do, it'll just be like the voters have chosen this horrible person who is terrible and who's going to ruin the fascist Trump supporter.
00:56:39.000I don't recall any tradition of them offering a polite statement.
00:57:00.000And as important as it is in the primary, and all of these wins are in the primary, I think Tyler's right that it's good that this is happening in the middle of the summer.
00:57:10.000We're pretty much at that midpoint of summer right now.
00:57:48.000And it just goes to show that this is why organizations like Turning Point Action that get into races early on, that get on the ground as early as January, February in these districts, need to do so, building those organizational infrastructures out so that you can build relationships with people, build relationships on the ground, have physical infrastructure in certain states so that you don't get caught in that normal cycle, so that all the pieces are in place for when the sprint happens,
00:58:16.000for when the energy's on, the media starts to get more intense, then you've got.
00:58:19.000The R's versus the D's, which we know the D's are going to be coming.
00:58:23.000They are not going to let Arizona just be given away without a fight.
00:58:27.000They are not going to let the Arizona governor's mansion be given away without a fight.
00:58:32.000Katie Hobbs is not going anywhere without a fight.
00:58:35.000That means you've got to have all boots on the ground, 10 toes on the ground in Arizona.
00:58:40.000And Arizona is very lucky, very, very lucky and blessed to have an organization like Turning Point Action right there on the ground, headquartered.
00:58:52.000I believe this state would have been basically Colorado already without Turning Point.
00:58:57.000Without Turning Point action, without the work of Charlie and Tyler and the team to really fortify the base, encourage everybody that we could win, especially after 2020.
00:59:08.000I mean, the party was demoralized after 2020.
00:59:11.000You lose an election by 10,000 votes to Joe Biden.
01:02:46.000And TikTok has always strived to build the kind of place that thrives on respectful connection.
01:02:51.000Where curiosity fuels connection and we can share what's on our minds and learn from each other.
01:02:56.000When ideas meet respect, good things happen.
01:02:58.000On TikTok, you can find a mechanic explaining the why behind a problem most of us wouldn't even know how to name, or a father sharing a lifetime of knowledge with his viewers, viewers who listen, discuss, and then they respond.
01:03:09.000TikTok turns connection into community through small acts of understanding.
01:03:13.000You can feel it in the comments, in the thank you from a stranger halfway across the world.
01:03:17.000TikTok is a place where respect opens the door for discussion and discussion helps us build something real.
01:03:52.000She said, Andy Biggs has spent his career selling out Arizona families for billionaires, special interests, and even convicted sex offenders.
01:04:07.000The more Arizonans learn about Biggs, the more they'll realize he's one big problem they can't afford.
01:04:14.000Tyler, you have been studying very closely some of the controversies, the scandals plaguing Katie Hobbs.
01:04:23.000Why don't you just like give our audience a tester, a taster rather, of what she's been doing?
01:04:29.000Katie Hobbs right now is under criminal investigation for pay to play schemes as governor, to put that in perspective.
01:04:38.000So she is in big trouble with the moderate base electorate, the independent electorate, the people that should be hot under the collar.
01:04:48.000I mean, if you listen to this woman speak, she right now, right now, Arizona has probably the most important negotiation that has to happen right now over the next coming months and years over the Colorado River water agreement.
01:05:05.000So all the states that are part of the compact for the Colorado River, which we know California is draining.
01:05:14.000They're taking really an unfair share, runs all along the side of Arizona.
01:05:18.000We're super dependent in the desert, obviously, on the Colorado River for the water that comes from that.
01:05:25.000She is the one negotiating on behalf of this state.
01:05:30.000Arizonans have to look in the mirror and say, who do I want to have negotiating at the table to determine if we can live here, continue to live here in the state of Arizona?
01:05:43.000And, like, we're talking about how that affects housing prices, businesses being able to grow, all of those.
01:05:48.000Business to be able to even operate here.
01:05:52.000Do we want child, baby voice Katie Hobbs, who clearly can't even negotiate herself out of, you know, into a good deal on Facebook Marketplace?
01:06:03.000Or do you want Andy Biggs at that table to be able to work with the Trump administration, by the way?
01:06:10.000Who's going to be better to work with the Trump administration?
01:06:21.000First of all, just the gall to be like, oh, he protects convicted sex offenders.
01:06:25.000I want someone to put Hobbs on the spot and be like, what's your opinion of Tim Walz?
01:06:31.000Did you say Tim Walz was great in the election because he fought to prevent the deportation of a literal child rapist from a foreign country?
01:06:38.000I would love to put her on the spot with that.
01:06:40.000Second, we have numbers from Mojave County.
01:06:42.000Can you guess how much Big Man Biggs is leading in Mojave County?
01:07:18.000So right now, you've got 400,000 votes in the governor's race.
01:07:23.000I mean, if we can go over and just look at some of these other contested races for the Democrats, just scrolling down, just scrolling down.
01:10:32.000For a contested primary that had two sitting congressmen, two sitting congressmen, real candidates who made a real effort, it's a tremendous testament to.
01:10:42.000I think both Charlie's legacy, Charlie's brand, Charlie's political instincts, all of those things coming together.
01:15:14.000So, the story here that could be missed by the untrained eye is that, oh, it looks like results are lagging a little bit behind 2022's primary.
01:17:08.000We used to have, we would poll behind in the generic, and then when it came to the general, our people would show up, their people would not.
01:17:28.000Look, this is exactly what Charlie figured out going back to that 2022 Arizona race.
01:17:35.000And we all remember that night, you know, coming in.
01:17:38.000And I would say that the 2024 victory wouldn't have happened without the 2022 loss, because that's when Charlie decided, looking at how things had changed in the Trump era, that we need to rethink the way that we do politics.
01:17:55.000And that was all about what Tyler, of course, Put in action and what Charlie put in action as well the idea that it's got to be low prop voters.
01:18:04.000So go to those people who maybe, you know, I made this point.
01:18:08.000This is why Trump is holding UFC events again.
01:18:11.000This is why he's doing the race, you know, the Grand Prix coming up in August.
01:18:15.000This is why you're going to see more things like that out of Freedom 250 and out of the GOP writ large.
01:18:22.000That's why you're going to see events where they're co locating the political with the popular mass movement.
01:18:31.000Because those are the low prop voters going on the podcast.
01:18:34.000Alex Brusiewicz, you know, setting up that entire lane for the president in 2024.
01:18:39.000You see JD Vance is now starting to hit the podcast circuit again.
01:18:42.000This all is the point of getting out these voters because this used to be a group of voters that didn't exist for the president.
01:18:51.000They exist sort of in this, they're in like a liminal space.
01:18:54.000And I'm sure Blake and I could have a very interesting metaphysical conversation about all this, where they're sort of adjacent to politics, but they don't really get involved in politics.
01:19:03.000Unless either Trump's on the ballot or someone comes out and directly asks for their vote.
01:19:10.000That's what makes up the margin in leaps and bounds.
01:19:30.000And Tyler, you looked at the numbers, so I know you know this.
01:19:32.000That's how they're actually winning so well.
01:19:35.000In so many of these primaries around the country, because they've kind of copied the work in many ways that Turning Point Action is doing, but doing so from the far left to turn out their base voters.
01:19:47.000And in doing so, are able to knock off incumbent after incumbent, especially in places where they don't see it coming.
01:19:52.000That's a machine that absolutely is going to be one that we're up against come this November.
01:21:25.000Let's see how much he can drag it out.
01:21:26.000Because, yeah, I mean, Ruben Gallego, not making any specific allegations when I say this, but Ruben Gallego is the Eric Swalwell of Arizona.
01:22:17.000If you bring these things up with them, and there's ways to casually bring this up so it's not being too annoying to them, you can find out, and you'll find out there are a shocking number of people out there who don't vote, aren't registered, don't pay attention to that stuff, even though they should be 10 out of 10 Republican voters.
01:22:37.000They agree with us on the issues, but they've never been into that whole voting thing.
01:22:41.000There are way too many people like that.
01:22:52.000I think he's going to, he has his own party that he's doing right now.
01:22:55.000I'm sure they're celebrating splendidly over there, but hopefully we'll see him over at the Andy Biggs thing here just in a few minutes.
01:23:02.000We'll be wrapping up here in just a few.
01:23:04.000Carrie Lake, again, just cheering on Arizona from where she's at.
01:23:09.000I mean, it just brings tears to my eyes.
01:23:12.000I mean, how unfair the election was in 2022 to Carrie Lake, what they did to her, the lack of money that was spent here in Arizona.
01:23:22.000This is an interesting tie in, actually.
01:23:24.000I want to play another Charlie clip if it's good timing for this, because Charlie points out something that a lot of the casual political observers are going to miss.
01:23:34.000And it's a really, really important insight.
01:23:36.000It's a little bit longer clip, but we have the time.
01:23:43.000We are right on the verge of one of the most exciting moments in Arizona history where we could take back the state for good and turn it into a Florida.
01:23:51.000The voter registration numbers show that, the quality of candidates show that.
01:23:55.000We're raising a serious amount of money for ballot chasing and voter reg and all of that.
01:24:11.000Well, when you have a U.S. Senate seat, you get tens of millions, sometimes hundreds of millions of out of state money that cares a lot about Arizona, and then it has downstream positive effects for other Democrats.
01:24:24.000So, for example, Mark Kelly in 2022, if Mark Kelly would not have been on the ballot in 2022, even with all the other issues, Carrie Lake probably would have beat Katie Hobbs.
01:24:35.000But Mark Kelly poured $120 million into his Senate race, which then got out more Democrats.
01:24:41.000And it was very hard terrain for us to navigate.
01:24:44.000In 2026, here in Arizona, we do not have a U.S. Senate seat.
01:24:48.000A lot of the money across the country will dry up and will not come to Arizona.
01:24:53.000There'll be some money, but it will instead go to Georgia.
01:25:15.000I mean, Charlie's exactly right, which is, and this is what we've been talking about all year long.
01:25:19.000This is the first time in 10 years because of John McCain's death.
01:25:24.000When Senator McCain passed away, it triggered a special election, which caused us, where we had that one sigh, one break that we didn't get in Arizona, to have basically 10 years of nonstop.
01:25:38.000Money being funneled into the state from outside the Democratic Senatorial Committee, the DCCC, trying to fight for CD1 and CD6, all the PAC money, their version of what we call SLF, the Senate Leadership Fund on our side.
01:25:57.000All the NGOs, when I'm spacing on the name of it.
01:26:00.000All their NGOs, all their outside groups, all their ballot chasing.
01:26:03.000In 2022, Mark Kelly had an entire C4 funded called Mission for Arizona that had.
01:26:11.000Hundreds and hundreds of full time people on the ground here chasing ballots.
01:26:15.000One of those women actually works for us now.
01:26:18.000A lady, a young lady who worked for Mark Kelly in 2022, feels so bad, converted to our side, and is actually working for Turning Point chasing votes.
01:26:33.000So you had 100 plus million dollars that were spent in the course of just a few short election cycles.
01:26:42.000That type of impact, Arizona's never seen it because most elections in Arizona, a couple million bucks was spent on a governor's race, a couple million bucks was spent on a Senate race.
01:26:51.000And then all of a sudden, within one or two election cycles, it's like 10, 15, 20 times more money is spent on these races.
01:27:01.000The amount, the kind of impact that has, the way I frame it for people is it's like when you get really fat really quick or really skinny really quick, right?
01:27:11.000The kind of impact that that has on your body is really bad.
01:27:42.000Kerry Lake barely lost by 17,000 votes.
01:27:45.000And that was with half the polling places shutting down and election manipulation happening that was lagging from COVID and everything else.
01:27:54.000You had all this money poured into the state.
01:27:56.000And Republicans have still kept up, and we won in 2014.
01:28:00.000This state feels like a conservative state.
01:28:03.000We are just when you go around Ubers, all that stuff, go to a bar, go to a restaurant, you'll feel the state is the spirit of the state is right of center.
01:28:11.000Jack, final thoughts to you as we take in the rest of this night.
01:28:43.000They didn't want to have that sense of victory because you want to do that not just for your local market, but you want to do that for your national market so that everybody kind of tunes in to see all right, this guy just won.
01:28:56.000We want to get a, for many people to their first look at him, this is going to go up.
01:29:01.000Governor's races in the entire country, most contested.
01:29:05.000You're going to see a huge fight brewing.
01:30:51.000We have to fortify Arizona for all those that are listening that are not in Arizona and you're going, Why does this matter?
01:30:57.000Arizona, where Arizona goes, the country goes in 2028.
01:31:01.000If we do not win Arizona, if we do not get a DeSantis like governor here in Arizona, it makes it that much more difficult to win in 2028 in Arizona.