The Megyn Kelly Show - GOP Midterm Warning Signs, Violent Riots in France, Oregon Shooting Hero Identified： AM Update 10⧸19

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00:00:30.000 Good morning, everyone. I'm Megan Kelly. It's Monday, October 19th, 2026, and this is your

00:00:38.180 AM update. The advantage in this decision desk poll here for Democrats is nine points.

00:00:44.160 New polling reveals major warning signs for Republicans just ahead of the midterms.

00:00:48.720 We all tonight feel angry. We feel shame as well seeing the disasters that have unfolded

00:00:55.520 in our streets. France confronting widespread looting after violent riots leave historic

00:01:00.800 landmarks in ruins and thousands under arrest. An Air Force service member killed in a repelling

00:01:07.440 accident before a college football game in Texas. And new details about the deadly school shooting

00:01:13.180 in Oregon, including the heroic actions of a father and two teachers who fought to save

00:01:18.720 children from the gunman. All that and more coming up in just a moment on your AM Update.

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00:02:24.460 New polling showing Republicans facing serious headwinds in the final stretch before the midterm

00:02:29.740 elections as Democrats expand their advantage in polls for the battle to control Congress.

00:02:35.840 A new Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll finds President Trump's approval rating has fallen to

00:02:41.120 just 33 percent. That is the lowest of either of his terms in office. Democrats now holding an

00:02:47.660 eight-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, up from just three points in July.

00:02:53.500 The economy emerging as a major vulnerability for Republicans, with only 28 percent of Americans

00:02:58.980 approving of the president's handling of it. A separate NBC News decision desk poll revealing

00:03:04.880 similar warning signs, Chief Data Analyst Steve Kornacki explains.

00:03:09.980 The big picture question here, Trump's approval rating, our decision desk poll. Again, this is

00:03:13.520 registered voters here. A bit of a wider net than you see in other polls out there right now,

00:03:17.840 but 39 percent here. The approval rating. And again, this continues to be the story. Asking

00:03:22.620 the approve of Trump on inflation here, only 31 percent, 34 percent in the run.

00:03:29.420 Also seeing this, the generic ballot here. Which party would you like to see control Congress?

00:03:34.460 The advantage in this decision desk poll here for Democrats is nine points there.

00:03:39.420 Getting toward the high side for Democrats, very alarming for Republicans. And again,

00:03:43.400 what's driving this? You're asking folks, your financial situation, compare it to a year ago.

00:03:48.100 How is it? 44% saying worse now than a year ago. By the way, among independents,

00:03:54.420 outright majority, 53% say worse now than a year ago. Democrats also enjoying an enthusiasm

00:04:01.280 advantage, leading by 12 points among voters who say they will definitely cast a ballot in November.

00:04:07.260 Despite those numbers, House Speaker Mike Johnson, yesterday on Fox News,

00:04:10.700 insisting Republicans can defy historical trends and retain control of Congress.

00:04:16.180 I'm going to the swing districts.

00:04:18.100 I'm going to the places that the pundits and the pollsters say we're going to lose.

00:04:22.300 They are wrong.

00:04:23.520 We have incredible turnout.

00:04:25.500 And our voters just need to ignore all the noise and go vote.

00:04:28.920 Do your civic duty.

00:04:30.220 That's why that enthusiasm is picked up right now.

00:04:32.340 They understand this is a contrast election between common sense and crazy.

00:04:36.920 And the American people are not signing up for crazy.

00:04:40.180 That's why we're going to win. The speaker's optimism coming as Republicans look to avoid

00:04:44.500 the losses that have traditionally plagued the president's party during midterm elections.

00:04:49.640 CNN's Harry Enten yesterday offering a more encouraging assessment for Republicans,

00:04:54.200 pointing to previous elections when the party outperformed its polling numbers.

00:04:58.940 So let's just say, in fact, we get this average error rate and it goes and the Republicans

00:05:03.700 outperform their polls yet again. The 2026 Senate map, if in fact Republicans outperform

00:05:09.860 the averages by 3.75 points. Look at this. Republicans would get 52 seats. Democrats would

00:05:16.000 get 48. Republicans would easily maintain control of the U.S. House. They'd win up here in Maine.

00:05:20.860 They'd win in Michigan. They'd win down here in Texas. They'd win in Kansas. They'd win in Iowa.

00:05:26.360 And they'd also win, they'd win in Alaska as well. So the bottom line is this. We have a few weeks to

00:05:32.540 go left in this campaign. The polling has been tight. It's, Democrats are able to get the polls

00:05:38.040 to match results. Hey, they get a majority. But I think we've seen this story a little bit before,

00:05:42.680 and that is why this Senate map is still way too close to call Republicans very much in the

00:05:47.740 ballgame. Michigan, among the most contentious battlegrounds where Republican Mike Rogers is

00:05:52.780 facing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, a Muslim, in a race that could help determine control of the

00:05:58.220 Senate. A moment going viral over the weekend when an audience member asked El-Sayed about

00:06:03.540 the Muslim Brotherhood during a campaign event in a heavily Republican part of the state.

00:06:33.540 that somehow I wouldn't disavow, or that I'll have some higher order allegiance than the 0.85

00:06:39.440 Constitution. Correct? The confrontation comes amid growing scrutiny of El-Sayed's alleged

00:06:45.660 family connections to the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist movement founded in Egypt whose

00:06:50.320 offshoots include extremist organizations. According to the Washington Post, resurfaced

00:06:55.360 social media posts from El-Sayed's half-sister claim that their biological mother was involved

00:07:01.280 in the organization during the 1970s and suggest a broader family history with the group.

00:07:07.300 El-Sayed has denied any personal involvement or knowledge of those alleged connections,

00:07:12.380 accusing Republicans of targeting his Muslim faith. His Republican opponent, Mike Rogers,

00:07:17.380 argues the concerns go beyond religion, questioning El-Sayed's ideology and alleging

00:07:22.580 financial ties to organizations that support the Muslim Brotherhood. Here's Rogers yesterday on CNN.

00:07:28.700 he didn't disavow it he goes on this word salad trying to get around the fact he did he did say

00:07:34.300 he said sure yeah that's not true dana listen i'm not i don't know why the press is so eager for him

00:07:40.700 to protect this congressman and it is it's an ideology my argument is is that ideology something

00:07:46.260 we should worry about i think it is why it's an ideology he can't get away from it his money

00:07:52.340 It comes from a group called CARE, the Council for American Islamic Relations, that supports the Muslim Brotherhood.

00:08:01.800 He has money coming from these groups. 0.89

00:08:04.280 And if you listen to that, he didn't disavow it.

00:08:06.960 He didn't say no.

00:08:08.300 According to prediction market Kalshi, El-Sayed's still holding onto a 69% chance of winning, compared with just 31% for Rogers as of last night.

00:08:18.120 There was a time in August where Rogers pulled to within 11% of El-Sayed, but traders driving

00:08:24.380 El-Sayed's chances back up in more recent weeks. Our sponsor, Calci, reflects what traders

00:08:30.020 actually believe. It's real-time odds on the midterm elections. Give it a try by using code

00:08:35.320 MEGAN KELLY or click the link in our description. New users get 25 bucks free when they trade 25

00:08:41.440 bucks. France confronting some of its worst civil unrest in years as widespread rioting

00:08:48.780 leaves historic landmarks and ruins and cities facing enormous destruction. More than half a

00:08:54.780 million people taking to the streets Saturday, according to the Interior Ministry, as demonstrations

00:08:59.780 across the country erupted into violence. Masked rioters setting cars and buildings on fire,

00:09:06.040 smashing storefronts, looting businesses, and attacking police officers in scenes reminiscent

00:09:10.840 of the George Floyd riots in 2020 here in the U.S. By Sunday, authorities reporting more than

00:09:17.160 2,000 arrests and injuries to more than 600 officers. One demonstrator dying after suffering

00:09:23.680 a cardiac arrest during the unrest in Paris, according to Reuters. Roughly 1,500 businesses

00:09:29.680 reportedly damaged or looted across France as officials began tallying the cost of the

00:09:34.900 destruction. Among the most devastating scenes, the destruction of a 143-year-old town hall in

00:09:41.480 the city of Limoges. Rioters setting the historic building on fire Saturday, flames tearing through

00:09:47.760 its roof and leaving much of the landmark in ruins. In Marseille, masked demonstrators forcing

00:09:53.860 their way into city hall, vandalizing the building and toppling a bust of Marianne, a symbol of the

00:09:59.720 French Republic. The scenes leaving residents stunned, one local in Paris speaking yesterday

00:10:05.100 to France 24. As I was arriving home, the people, the youths, mostly teenagers, were still inside

00:10:12.760 the shops, taking what was left, if anything. Fires on the streets were still ongoing. People

00:10:19.420 were in shock. I was in shock. Some people were in tears. People were trying to protect their own

00:10:24.820 shops, but there was not much they could do. It was really, really devastating.

00:10:29.440 The French government now blaming organized far-left groups for the violence.

00:10:33.720 Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu addressing the destruction Saturday.

00:10:38.600 All day long, fellow citizens faced a violent, far-left, a highly organized network that sought

00:10:45.660 to attack property, people, and the institutions of the republic. Clearly, the centers of power

00:10:51.820 in Paris were targeted, the Élysée Palace, Matignon, and the National Assembly. So this

00:10:57.880 is clearly a political maneuver that accepts violence, and as I said earlier, and I'll say

00:11:02.780 it again, we will not be intimidated. The unrest beginning last month, when high school students

00:11:08.660 took to the streets over deteriorating school conditions and teacher shortages. The movement

00:11:13.540 expanding throughout October, drawing labor unions, farmers, and other groups protesting

00:11:18.480 rising living costs and President Emmanuel Macron's government. The demonstrations

00:11:23.480 attracting a more radical element as well, including far-left political organizations

00:11:28.120 accused of exploiting the growing unrest. Investigative journalist Azra Nomani earlier

00:11:33.620 this month on Fox News revealing the extent of those groups' involvement.

00:11:38.380 What was actually happening on the streets was that 15 of the groups, like you mentioned,

00:11:43.660 are only student groups and youth groups, but then the rest of these 50 groups that I've identified

00:11:49.400 behind the protests are adult groups, and most of them are communists, socialists, and far-left

00:11:55.880 groups. Of that 50, two of them are really strong Islamist groups. So you have this nexus of the

00:12:02.840 red, which is the far-left and the socialists and communists, with the green, which is the 0.57

00:12:07.020 Muslim and Islamist groups. President Trump posting to Truth Social Sunday, quote, France

00:12:12.340 is burning. The immigration of people from an entirely different world, people with hatred in 0.99

00:12:17.260 their hearts, has shattered that once great country. Close your borders and take control 1.00

00:12:22.420 before it is too late. President Emmanuel Macron addressing his nation last night,

00:12:28.160 condemning the destruction and demanding accountability for those responsible.

00:12:32.620 We all tonight feel angry. We feel shame as well seeing the disasters that have unfolded in our

00:12:40.180 streets. We have undying support for our law enforcement agencies because they did their

00:12:47.140 utmost to stave off the worst. Those people who looted need to pay back for their crimes. Those

00:12:54.040 people who attacked government buildings need to pay for their crimes.

00:13:01.160 Coming up, a deadly accident ahead of a college football game in Texas during a pre-game

00:13:06.780 military demonstration, and a school shooting in Oregon leaving four people dead as new accounts

00:13:13.260 reveal how a father and two teachers risked their lives to protect students.

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00:14:25.140 an air force service member has died after a horrifying repelling accident at a college

00:14:35.280 football game in san antonio texas the air force confirming the airman died at a local hospital

00:14:41.200 saturday night after falling from the rafters of the alamo dome during a pre-game military

00:14:46.900 demonstration ahead of the university of texas at san antonio's matchup against navy the event

00:14:53.200 was part of UTSA's annual Salute to Armed Forces and Veterans game, four military service members

00:14:59.800 scheduled to repel from the stadium ceiling onto the football field. Video circulating on social

00:15:05.880 media showing one of the airmen descending the rope at an extraordinary rate of speed,

00:15:10.640 appearing unable to slow himself before slamming feet first into the turf near midfield.

00:15:17.260 Emergency personnel rushing onto the field, treating the airmen for several minutes before

00:15:21.840 carrying him away on a stretcher and transporting him to a nearby hospital.

00:15:26.680 According to a statement from Nellis Air Force Base located in Nevada, the service member was

00:15:31.780 assigned to the 6th Combat Training Squadron, Detachment 2, a unit responsible for training

00:15:36.840 specialized airmen who coordinate airstrikes and artillery support alongside Army and Marine

00:15:42.660 forces. Their training includes rappelling and descending from helicopters into combat

00:15:47.840 environments. The Air Force has not released the airman's identity as of last night and says an

00:15:52.980 investigation into the fatal accident is underway. The man hailed as a hero for stopping a deadly

00:16:00.240 elementary school shooting in Oregon identified as 36-year-old Caleb Giamonco, a local carpenter

00:16:06.780 and father of two daughters who attend the school. According to Bend Police Chief Mike Krantz,

00:16:12.380 the violence began shortly before 1 p.m. Thursday when a passing driver spotted a teenager throwing

00:16:17.980 a shotgun over a fence before climbing onto the grounds of Silver Rail Elementary School in Bend.

00:16:24.900 The driver confronting the teenager who opened fire on his truck, striking it at least three

00:16:29.660 times. The witness escaped unharmed and called 911. Giamanco observed the confrontation,

00:16:36.140 pulling into the school parking lot as the teenager fired through the glass doors to gain

00:16:40.020 entry. The father grabbing his .40 caliber handgun from his vehicle, then following the shooter into

00:16:46.120 the building. Inside, the gunman entering a special education classroom, opening fire on

00:16:51.840 the students and teachers. One teacher attempting to stop the attack by throwing her cell phone at

00:16:57.180 the gunman, then tackling him and fighting for control of the shotgun. As the two struggled,

00:17:02.560 Giamonco entered the classroom firing several shots, killing the attacker. The teacher who

00:17:08.060 confronted the gunman surviving without injury. Police credit both her intervention and Giamanco's

00:17:14.280 actions with preventing further bloodshed. Giamanco's mother, Kenda Freeman, speaking

00:17:19.300 Saturday to CBS News Sacramento about the emotional phone call she received from her son

00:17:24.460 moments later. He said, Mom, I just shot and killed somebody. And I said, Caleb, tell me about

00:17:30.160 it. And he said, a man went into my daughter's school and shot kids. And he said, and I looked

00:17:37.640 dead in point blank, and I shot and killed him, Mom. 0.95

00:17:40.300 Candace says today, Caleb is traumatized. 0.74

00:17:43.860 I told him he saved a lot of lives, and he said, Mom, I couldn't save them all.

00:17:49.040 He's having a hard time with it.

00:17:50.420 Again, you know, the idea of not being able to save them all, right?

00:17:54.580 So when he closes his eyes and the things that he thinks about,

00:17:57.700 what could I have done differently?

00:17:59.700 How could I have done it better?

00:18:01.820 President Trump on Friday reacting to Giammanco's heroism.

00:18:05.860 Had you been free from the school shooting in Oregon?

00:18:08.200 I was. I was.

00:18:10.200 Well, I'll tell you what.

00:18:11.640 There was a great hero, and it could have been as bad as it was.

00:18:16.180 We had a great hero that went in and did the business.

00:18:18.900 He took care of business.

00:18:21.140 And thank God we had him.

00:18:22.420 Otherwise, it would have been much worse.

00:18:24.400 It's a terrible thing, but thank goodness for a man that had a gun and knew how to use it.

00:18:30.600 The attack claiming the lives of three boys, ages 5, 8, and 11. The youngest identified as Rome

00:18:37.660 Summer, while the families of the other two boys have asked that their names remain private.

00:18:42.720 25-year-old Megan Lambert also killed, a first-year teacher whose family says working at Silver Rail

00:18:48.880 was her dream job. In a statement released through police, her family remembering her as compassionate,

00:18:55.740 fiercely protective of children with special needs, and someone who always stood up for the

00:18:59.900 underdog. Two others were also wounded, including seven-year-old Sailor Graham, who uses a wheelchair.

00:19:07.620 According to the New York Times, special ed teacher Becky Drury threw herself over the little girl to

00:19:12.820 shield her from the gunfire. Both were struck, Graham suffering a gunshot wound to her face,

00:19:18.740 and Drury suffering injuries to her arm and hand. Graham was airlifted to a children's hospital in

00:19:24.440 Portland where she was listed in serious but stable condition. The 54-year-old teacher survived.

00:19:30.900 Her injury is described by police as serious but not life-threatening. Police say the 16-year-old

00:19:36.280 shooter previously attended Silver Rail Elementary, including special ed classes, although he was no

00:19:42.100 longer enrolled in the district at the time of the attack. His mother speaking briefly to CNN

00:19:47.120 Friday saying her son had been a good boy and she had seen no warning signs of violence. We'll see.

00:19:54.440 Asked whether she had a message for the families of the victims, the mother expressed regret that

00:19:58.780 she had not been able to prevent the tragedy. According to CNN, a senior law enforcement

00:20:03.540 official confirmed that the weapon, a 12-gauge pump-action shotgun, had been purchased by the

00:20:09.700 shooter's mother. Local investigators and the FBI now examining the teenager's electronic devices,

00:20:16.060 searching for evidence that could help establish a motive.

00:20:18.640 pope leo the 14th returning to the vatican yesterday after thoracic surgery six days ago

00:20:25.900 to address a diagnosis of lung cancer in the lower lobe of his right lung the holy father

00:20:31.660 expressing gratitude to the hospital staff promising to get back to his regular activities

00:20:36.860 and soon the operation was successful the doctors still assessing whether additional treatment will

00:20:42.880 be necessary. The Pope reflecting on the day's gospel and offering a blessing. Meanwhile,

00:20:48.980 stateside, Pope Leo's big brother, Louis Prevost of Florida, joining Fox News yesterday to talk

00:20:54.520 about his famous brother saying he's having a fast recovery. Peter Doocy ending things on a light

00:21:01.140 note. I know that around the time your brother became the Pope, you talked about how you would

00:21:06.820 always treat him like your little brother. Now that he has been the Pope for more than a year,

00:21:11.580 does it still feel like he is your little brother yes that'll never change um when we when we get on 0.97

00:21:20.160 the phone or talk we we give each other crap you know it's just we tell jokes some are off color 1.00

00:21:26.320 but um how do you give the pope crap well you you tell him he's being stupid 1.00

00:21:31.760 you just you just talk to him you know yeah there you go well uh i know that this has been 1.00

00:21:39.980 We just have fun.

00:21:41.720 Well, and that's great to hear.

00:21:43.300 I know this has been a tough time for the family.

00:21:48.480 And that'll do it for your AM update.

00:21:50.420 I'm Megan Kelly.

00:21:51.140 Join me back here for the MK Show, live on SiriusXM's The Megan Kelly Channel,

00:21:55.080 111 at noon east, on youtube.com slash megankelly, and on all podcast platforms.

00:22:04.120 How does Edward Jones do money differently?

00:22:07.980 Our financial advisor would listen to us

00:22:10.240 and actually really get to the meat and potatoes

00:22:12.700 of what our lifestyle is and what we believe in.

00:22:16.820 Knowing our financial advisor was always there.

00:22:20.740 We could call him with anything, at any time.

00:22:23.660 We do money differently by providing advice

00:22:26.620 that actually fits you.

The Megyn Kelly Show - October 19, 2026

GOP Midterm Warning Signs, Violent Riots in France, Oregon Shooting Hero Identified： AM Update 10⧸19

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