00:02:45.380And so the most likely outcome of all of this is either a unity government or a new election.
00:02:51.400I think that both sides, the Bibi side and the opposition side, neither one of them are likely to reach the 61 vote majority necessary to have a fully functional government.
00:03:00.300And so you could theoretically have minority government where Gadi Eisenkot has like 50 seats.0.80
00:03:05.140And then the Arabs from outside the government don't bring it down with a no confidence vote, but they don't sit inside the government.0.81
00:03:12.160There are other members of Eisenkot's coalition who don't want to do that.
00:03:14.300And so the kind of great hope, I think, on all sides is for what's called the unity government, where Netanyahu and his opposition are in the same government, and they basically have a rotating prime ministership.
00:03:25.140This would be convenient because two years from now, the presidency of Israel comes open.
00:03:29.720That's kind of a ceremonial position, like the Queen of England.
00:03:32.340And that means that Bibi would kick from the prime ministership into the presidency, and then Eisenkot would take over at that point.
00:03:38.960And you'd end up with a pretty durable majority, probably 75 seats, 80 seats in the Knesset.
00:03:43.440That's kind of what everybody's hoping, but it'll take a while to get there.
00:08:20.580In the history of the English language, there have been certain figures who have radically expanded our use of it.
00:08:25.980And predominantly, I'm thinking here of Shakespeare, who entered a bunch of phrases into the parlance that we are still using today.
00:08:34.560I am bemused by the fact that the people who used to expand the English language were some of the brightest and most well-read and well-spoken people on the planet at the time.
00:08:45.540And now we have been reduced to this unwee-laden 22-year-old who nearly dies of drug overdoses in the clubs.
00:08:52.860and this is where we are getting our uh this is where we are getting our linguistic upgrades i
00:08:57.500know it's it's it's terrible it's terrible in every way oh my god also i have to say like this
00:09:04.460is not to take a to take a a maximizing would be the word and to just shorten it to maxing yeah
00:09:12.740and then to proclaim that this is a new word is the dumbest form of change in the english language
00:14:12.520I think you might as well just feed them poison now because I think that's going to poison their minds and poison their lives and poison their sex lives.0.71
00:14:19.800So that, to me, is where the kind of danger that I'm looking at.
00:14:23.300I don't think it's going to take over a nuclear, you know, facility and blow us all through.
00:14:28.060No, I had this fear right when AI and like deep fakes and everything were coming out.
00:14:32.420Everyone was talking about how terrible it was that some actress, you know, Jennifer Lawrence or whatever, was going to have all this fake porn made of her.
00:14:40.260And I remember, this was years ago, I said, no, no, the real fear is that like that girl in your math class is going to have all this porn made of her.
00:14:46.420But what about the concern that AI is going to get really, really good.
00:14:50.800it's going to be able to defeat all of our security software. It's going to hack everybody's
00:14:54.480bank account. It's going to get everybody's information. And there's no way to control it.
00:14:59.140Some of the AI oligarchs have been warning about that. Is that not a real threat?
00:15:03.980Yeah. No, that's a real threat. But I think that one of the things that the same AI oligarchs are
00:15:08.820gaming for is the possibility of that threat, not by restricting the development of AI,
00:15:12.320but by developing countermeasures for that sort of stuff. I mean, weaponry has advanced for all
00:15:17.400of human history. And then there's been counterweaponry that's been created in order to
00:15:21.440legitimately stop all of that from happening. And so this isn't a gigantic secret. I mean,
00:15:26.040people have been talking about the idea that essentially the AI is going to be able to break
00:15:30.820crypto, that it's going to be able to decode and decrypt everything on the internet, and all your
00:15:35.220passwords are going to become obsolete for a while. So I'd be a little shocked if nobody had
00:15:39.260planned a sort of defensive mechanism against all of that. It doesn't mean that there aren't
00:15:43.580going to be dangerous to it. But I think, again, the sort of catastrophic doomerism about all of
00:15:48.220this is a little bizarre. And I think it's a tendent on any major shift in the economy. I
00:15:54.400think people are looking for sort of reasons that are not just, I'm afraid for my job as to why you
00:15:59.220should be scared of this, because it sounds a little bit, you know, namby-pamby to be scared
00:16:02.200for your job because of AI. But it sounds a lot more altruistic to say that I'm afraid that all
00:16:05.640of humanity is going to be destroyed and the nuclear codes are going to be broken. But I think
00:16:09.260there's legitimate concern for people who are in white collar jobs, that their job could be lost in
00:16:15.140the near future, that there'll be job transitions and they'll have to figure out something new to
00:16:19.340do. But again, the thing that I keep thinking about is how I use AI and how I think other
00:16:24.480people use AI. It is a tool. It is not a thing doing something to me. I'm not being acted upon
00:16:29.600by AI. I am acting upon the AI. I am the agent in this particular mode. Now, I know they say that
00:16:35.220eventually they'll become independent agents. But I would assume that there are fail-safes that are
00:16:39.380put in place so that the independence of the agent isn't capable of just overrunning the
00:16:43.600entire system. Now, again, I'm not saying there's no risk to it, but it seems to me that right now,
00:16:47.840the vast majority of people are not using AI to develop biological weapons against one another.0.96
00:16:52.000It seems like they're mostly using it to, at worst, create horrible pornography or dumb memes0.98
00:16:57.600on the internet. And I think that like every other tool, I think the real danger of AI actually is
00:17:02.820that is going to exacerbate a lot of the already present conflict over widening trajectories
00:17:08.380economically. I think that's the thing that is going to have real societal impact because
00:17:12.840there's this idea from the tech bros that the democratization of intelligence, right? That's
00:17:17.340all AI is. Everyone will just be super smart now, right? You're a 100 IQ guy. AI is infinite IQ.
00:17:22.460Therefore, you plus AI is infinite IQ. I don't think that any tool in human history has ever
00:17:27.060worked this way. I think that people who are smart tend to use tools better than people who
00:17:31.500are not quite as smart. People who are adept tend to use tools in ways that people who are not adept
00:17:35.620don't tend to use those tools. And so if you think of AI as a tool, then it will probably broaden
00:17:40.380some of the inequalities you see in sort of the natural performance of human beings in ways
00:17:43.940that are upsetting to the apple cart. I also, I just have to caution some of you.
00:17:50.040So, well, Drew, just one quick point, because the audience should be aware of this. You have to take
00:17:54.400Ben's commentary with a grain of salt, because Ben is himself an AI, you know, who was constructed
00:17:58.960in the laboratory for facts and logic. So obviously, you know, brain is all.
00:18:05.280Yeah, no, I think there's a structural argument we should make too, which is that0.97
00:18:08.900the media, I mean, if ladies decide this season, they're going to wear their hemline1.00
00:18:13.360an inch higher or lower, you get endless articles of panic about what this is going to do to the1.00
00:18:19.200moral status of the country or feminism or whatever it is. It seems to be the way the0.99
00:18:23.940media, panic seems to be the language that the media speaks. So when you have something that
00:18:28.880is like this is going to be a larger change, you can kind of expect this panic disaster
00:20:03.620So when you go through all this, the tally of promises, things have not worked out the way we might have expected.
00:20:14.220Although, I must say, I did expect it.
00:20:16.400And let's be honest, does anybody really think this guy in the White House right now is spending all that time thinking about these issues?
00:20:28.400I mean, I don't know if you've noticed, but he seems very focused on home renovations.
00:20:36.400He should be on HGTV, the guy's building a ballroom that's bigger than the White House.
00:20:47.400It's paved over the Rose Garden, put a helicopter pad on the South Lawn, and there's gold everywhere.
00:24:54.120And we've done a little bit of part three, and that's about it.0.97
00:24:58.880You know, I look at the president in Michigan, and there are a couple of things that occur to me.0.99
00:25:03.660One is he's just an enormous douchebag.0.89
00:25:05.600I mean, every time he goes out on the stump and he starts dropping the G's in his words because he's trying to get across to the common man, he drops into this bizarre kind of southern dialect.0.97
00:25:17.940And I'm sorry, ripping on the Cheesecake Factory, I keep kosher, but I was under the impression that ripping on the Cheesecake Factory may be just ripping on the broad taste of the American people.
00:25:25.800I'm not aware of a lot of people who are very, very anti-Cheesecake Factory.
00:25:29.300And also, I wasn't aware that the Cheesecake Factory is hideously decorated.
00:25:32.480It seems completely out of touch, frankly.
00:25:35.600He's never been to the Cheesecake Factory.
00:25:36.940He goes and eats at the French Laundry.
00:25:38.240This is not where Barack Obama has ever been.
00:25:40.460But there's something else happening there too,
00:25:42.000which is notice where he's campaigning.
00:27:29.140of clownery. Yeah, look, here's what I'll say. First of all, I feel very bullish on Maine.
00:27:34.760Susan Collins, the latest Trafalgar poll, and I believe Robert Cahaley and those guys do some of
00:27:38.680the best polling in the country. And Robert has heard of half a point. If Troy Jackson's not
00:27:44.840leading by about four going into election day, he's going to lose. I feel very bullish about that.
00:27:49.780I feel very bullish about Iowa. I also feel very bullish about New Hampshire. And here's why,
00:27:55.780Again, the national media doesn't want to tell you this, so I will. New Hampshire is an election day state. What I mean by that is there is no such thing as early voting in New Hampshire. They have excuse absentee like we used to have in Virginia, where you can vote absentee, but you have to have a real legitimate reason.
00:28:11.980And so for that reason, it's a pure get out the vote kind of state. Kelly Ayotte is running about 10 points ahead. She's the incumbent governor, Republican governor, by the way, in New Hampshire. And I do think that that's going to benefit John Sunino.
00:28:27.800So I will tell you, there's a lot of these races where I feel good.
00:28:32.660I think there's going to be a lot it's going to be a lot closer in a lot of states.
00:28:35.300Absolutely. But people are not looking at the basic fundamentals of who's returning a ballot, when they're returning them.
00:28:41.920Those are things that I've spent years doing.
00:28:43.880And what happens, to be honest with you, is you turn on a lot of these cable stations and say Republican strategist with some dude who's never strategized with anybody.
00:28:52.060A couple other quick points on the Cheesecake Factory.
00:28:55.160I was thinking about this as Ben was talking.
00:28:57.100Think about where cheesecake factories are, right?
00:28:59.320A lot of times you think about who the audience is.
00:29:01.640So in this area, there's one in D.C., downtown D.C., and there's one in Bethesda.
00:32:28.580And so I don't know this is going to happen, and I'm not predicting it.
00:32:31.780But if it were about to happen, we wouldn't know it.
00:32:35.040I think if it does, I cannot wait to read.
00:32:38.280I mean, I know we all know, all four of us know what the headlines will say.
00:32:41.120Like Republicans hold not as much as they could have, though, but somehow it'll be the most negative story about like these guys can make winning sound so bad in the national media.
00:32:53.620But I guarantee you, like I said, I think the House is very precarious.
00:32:57.600I go through this every like tonight on my show.
00:33:00.240I do all the Senate races tomorrow night.
00:33:02.600I do all the House races at the governors last night.
00:33:04.820The House is definitely a little bit precarious.
00:33:09.380But I will say the Senate, I do feel more and more bullish every day because I look at the data on this.
00:33:14.380And I think if we pull this out, they're going to still say he came up short for some reason or we won Texas, but it wasn't what it should have been.
00:33:21.860We won Iowa, but it wasn't what it should have been.
00:33:23.800They'll find a way to make it negative.
00:33:46.520I mean, I've been doing this for 30 years, right?
00:33:49.140And when you get to this point in a campaign, you're tracking.
00:33:52.000So that means you don't do like a poll of a thousand, but every night you're running
00:33:55.820about a 200 sample and you're kind of seeing what's moving the needle in the final day
00:33:59.420so you can switch in and out your ads.
00:34:02.260What was fascinating is despite the national media and everybody being outraged and every
00:34:07.040Republican whining and wetting their pants and saying, he's got to take this ad down and it's
00:34:11.280disgusting. They doubled down on the ad and they cut it to a 30 second ad and went further.0.55
00:34:16.180What that tells me is that their tracking shows that whatever demographic they're looking to move
00:34:20.380is working. So I don't know that he pulls this thing out, but for everybody who said it was a
00:34:25.220horrible ad, you don't with eight days to go, seven days to go now, double down on something
00:34:30.480that's not working just to spite the national media, right? So I do believe that this thing
00:34:36.040may be close. Look, he's down. His RCP average is somewhere just shy of 45 right now, that being
00:34:43.200Vivek. So he is down a little. I do think Ohio comes home though. And that's what, when you look
00:34:49.940at the model, it's always ends this way. And the early vote starts with the Dems. Bernie Moreno
00:34:55.540had the same thing happen to him in the last cycle. JD got over the finish line with 52.5.
00:35:00.640Like it's, it just, that's how Ohio goes. The Dems get their early vote out. They bank their
00:35:05.720high propensity voters and then republicans are game day voters and they show up if they can make
00:35:10.640that turnout operation work the way it should i i think he does this may be close like a 51 49 race
00:35:18.060but i think vivek can pull this out i certainly hope you're right gentlemen do you agree
00:35:22.880i mean i think that yeah i mean i listen i think that vivek has been running you know a very very
00:35:31.300tight race this entire time. Ohio's been surprisingly tight, despite the fact that Mike
00:35:36.940DeWine walked away with it, because the truth is that Ohio is it is bright red for certain types
00:35:42.720of Republicans, but it's not kind of bright red across the board in the way that, say, Tennessee
00:35:45.740is bright red across the board. So it's been kind of fascinating to watch that race. My big comment
00:35:50.940that got a lot of flack about the Vivek ad is that, well, I don't like the ad. I think that,
00:35:56.080you know, obviously, Amy Acton's personal childhood story is pretty, pretty rough. And all the
00:36:00.540questions about the mom seem to be well justified. And the sort of crocodile tears that many of the
00:36:06.520people in the media are shutting about this ad are totally, they're just disproportionate to
00:36:11.820the sort of reaction they would have to any other political ad. I mean, President Trump is right
00:36:15.600that if somebody had cut this ad featuring one of his siblings, which, you know, Mary Trump literally
00:36:19.720campaigned against him, or if there had been a gigantic, say, wave of Kennedys coming out against
00:36:24.620RFK and making similar accusations, even with a similar childhood story, I think the media would
00:36:29.740have basically done nothing about it and and actually you saw this happen the same week the
00:36:34.200same week that this the vague ad came out that the entire media was going insane over there was this
00:36:39.060attempted hit on lindsey graham who is dead who's a dead person using male hookers from the young
00:36:45.420turks and they put this out and pretty much the entire democratic establishment either just kept
00:36:49.600silent and said nothing about it or kind of chortled about it or champion the thing and it
00:36:54.780wasn't even an attack on lindsey who is dead it was an attack on lindsey graham's sister it was
00:36:59.560an attack on darlene who's running for senate in south carolina and and again the same people who
00:37:04.080were just appalled and aghast at the vague ad for its deep and abiding immorality had nothing to say
00:37:09.160about this and so i think two things can be true once as always i don't like the vague ad i think
00:37:12.700that it's i think that i wish that he had run an ad about her dishonesty without using her mom um
00:37:17.400but at the same time like that on the the sort of second order outrage which became the narrative
00:37:22.900right it was really about how outrageous the no one has ever done it oh it's so terrible i'm not
00:37:27.120going to take that from the same people who are sitting along and cheering at smears thrown against
00:37:32.540the corpse of Lindsey Graham months after he was capable of answering them because he's dead,
00:37:37.260designed to sink his sister in a South Carolina race. I mean, that's the part that's absurd to me.
00:37:41.580My conspiracy theory that I'm entertaining now after watching the Young Turks doc,0.65
00:37:46.660I think there's a chance that Lindsey Graham might not have been a homosexual. And I know0.73
00:37:51.620that's shocking and it's going to offend everyone on both sides of the aisle. I don't, the guy was
00:37:55.620in public life forever. I get he was unmarried. He had, you know, he was, had some dandy-ish
00:38:00.420propensities, but I don't know. I think that's the best they got is a handful of male hookers1.00
00:38:05.360after the guy was dead. First of all, you know what a hooker is, right? They do anything for0.98
00:38:09.440money. So I actually was not persuaded by that. I don't think it, it didn't knock Darlene Graham
00:38:14.380at all. I don't think it even really laid much of a glove on Lindsey Graham. Most people thought
00:38:18.700he was gay anyway, and they didn't really care all that much. I don't know. I'm with you, Ben.
00:38:23.120And I just feel like in the Ohio race, yeah, okay, you can hate the ad, you can like the ad, you can think it was justified, you can think whatever.
00:38:29.220You know, the race is about government, right?
00:38:31.600It's about like the common good and policies and the people of Ohio.
00:38:38.000You can either elect the COVID czar who does have a massively dysfunctional personal life and lies a lot and refuses to debate.
00:38:46.240And you can, okay, you can vote for her even if she had bad things and sad experiences in her life and all sorts of trauma.
00:38:51.780You can either vote for her or you can vote for the guy who is normal, wants to protect your civil liberties, wants to let you keep your property, wants to defend the American nation.
00:39:01.920I don't know. This is not a hard choice for me.
00:39:04.220I actually think it's even deeper than that.
00:39:06.780But I will say I take it further than this whole discussion, which is nobody on the left seems to care about the names they throw around about Trump and his supporters.0.65
00:39:15.240So, you know, racist, monogynist, everyone's Hitler, Nazi, etc.
00:39:20.300And yet no one seems to think that's beyond the pale.0.99
00:39:23.220But Vivek runs an ad that says she's a liar.
00:39:25.420And oh, my gosh, everybody needs to denounce this.
00:39:29.100Number two, to your point, like the number one issue in all of these races is the economy.
00:39:34.440And you're running to be the chief executive of Ohio.
00:39:36.940Vivek Ramaswamy's resume and work experience blows her away.
00:39:41.520So what I would rather have seen him done is to say, listen, I know how to create jobs.
00:39:46.720I know how to run businesses effectively and profitably.
00:39:49.540I can bring those skills. She is a complete nut job. And this is what she'll do to Ohio.1.00
00:39:54.660I think that's a much more compelling ad at the end. So again, whether you like the ad or not,
00:40:00.720I just go down to in the last seven days, what's actually going to move the needle.
00:40:06.240And I got to believe that issue after issue, poll after poll, data point after data point that I see
00:40:11.160says that right now people are like, who is going to make my life better and more affordable?
00:40:16.100Now, Sean, before I let you go, we'll move on from 26 to 28. You just recently sat down with
00:40:22.460our friend, the Vice President of the United States, a man I greatly admire and who clearly
00:40:27.380is eyeing the White House, even though he did say publicly that he would defer any speculation on
00:40:33.800whether or not he will run until after the midterms. And I think he's sincere about that
00:40:38.120because if the Democrats get totally blown out of the water and then it's just a subpoena fest for
00:40:42.840the next two years. JD is a very young man. He could wait a cycle or two cycles and actually
00:40:47.860it might make sense for him to wait. Nevertheless, he's the heir apparent right now.
00:40:52.520What would you take away from the interview? How do you think things are looking for 28?
00:40:57.440Look, it's his to give up. And what I mean by that is he's chair of the finance committee at
00:41:02.540the RNC. So he's built up these unbelievable donor connections and networks that would be
00:41:07.480just unparalleled to any other candidate. He's got at least the infrastructure, the campaign
00:41:13.720of Donald Trump. Again, it's like starting on the 50-yard line against everybody else. It's just
00:41:20.600not fair. So if he runs, it's his to have. I actually thought the more intriguing question
00:41:25.120that I asked him was, if given the choice between Donald Trump endorsing you, which would be the
00:41:29.400equivalent of a coronation, or you winning a primary where everyone got to run against you,
00:41:34.460which would you choose? And I said to him, just be hypothetical about this. Don't make it about
00:41:38.460J.D. Vance. What's the better thing for the party? And he said, well, you know, I don't know.
00:41:43.340And I said, well, look, I think of it as a coronation the way it did with Harris.
00:41:47.560I don't know that that's you need to have the grassroots of the people feel like you earned
00:41:52.060it, that you're their choice. If Donald Trump says you're the guy, it's got you. You become
00:41:57.020the guy. And then I don't think it helps you or any nominee for that matter. And I think that,
00:42:02.120frankly, Donald Trump would like to see a little bit of Apprentice style primary season, someone
00:42:07.060earning that. I will be honest with you, Michael, I saw one of Ben's recent videos. I thought you
00:42:12.320were going to bring up the big Dancing with the Stars controversy. And that's why I was brought
00:42:15.760on because Ben was asked about this in a video the other day. He really wasn't sure. And I thought,
00:42:20.680okay, I'm here to shed some light on the massive controversy that has surrounded Dancing with the
00:42:25.500Stars the last couple of weeks. But tonight is going to be the return of Valtromosky to the
00:42:30.920dance floor i know that this is something you guys will bring up mr clavin's gonna weigh in
00:42:35.700on this i'm sure but uh i'm just telling you this is uh something that i wish the daily wire would
00:42:41.560have spent a little bit more time on my producers are literally cheering for you mentioning this in
00:42:45.660the other room i'm sure they are well i watched the video ben driving me insane yeah look one of
00:42:52.040the pizza look as a former quarter finalist i believe that i could have added a lot of perspective
00:42:56.900and insight into what a lift is in ballroom dancing and whether or not that qualified.
00:43:02.740So feel free to text me next time and just say, hey, I need to figure this out.
00:43:07.580Yeah, Sean, but I guess this is probably more important than 26 or 28.
00:43:11.180Do you have any predictions on how many pas de bourree we'll see in this season of Dancing
00:43:16.140with the Stars or how many, I don't know, dips or splits?
00:43:21.340Well, the dips are going to happen all the time, Michael, as you may know.
00:43:24.140But when we get to the freestyle, which is towards the end, the semifinals and finals, that's when dancers really can show their true self, which is why I think I was eliminated well before that.
00:43:36.140Everyone knew that I had no rhythm or any creative talents.
00:43:50.760Now, if you want to keep up on this very, very important news, Dancing with the Star is Chief among it, we've got one week until the election.
00:43:59.260You need to check out DailyWire.com for our election hub, where you can see absurdly detailed data on the polls and predictions for every single midterm race.
00:44:07.700Even better, you can get into the action yourself.
00:47:37.740So, yeah, I would be saying, if there's a Kalshi market, no on Scott Jennings.1.00
00:47:42.420I would probably say no on Scott Jennings.
00:47:43.940I don't know where you're at on this, Drew.
00:47:45.560Well, I want you to know that I did pitch Michael Knowles to my sources within the administration who mostly clean toilets and empty ashes, but still you were roundly rejected as being just a little bit too fascist.
00:48:01.700I feared I wasn't fascist enough. All right. Now I've got to rethink my old strategy.
00:48:07.140but, uh, Scott Jennings, I think is, is having too much fun doing what he's doing.
00:48:12.000It's, it's a tough job. I mean, you know, Sean used to be six foot four and, uh, you know,
00:48:17.200it just takes you, it takes it out of you, you know? So I think, I think that Scott would be
00:48:20.980a fool to do it. I think Anna Kelly too, that's gotta be the obvious one.0.99
00:48:26.760Yeah. I would say Anna Kelly is starting to become, look, I don't think they're in any hurry.
00:48:30.940I'll say that. I think Steven Chung's who's the constructor has been kind of running the entire
00:48:35.760shop. They've got a strong bench of deputies and assistant press secretaries. I got to tell you,
00:48:43.220I wouldn't be surprised to see somebody outside the box on this. And what I mean by that is
00:48:48.560there's somebody who has played a significant role on television before, something like that,
00:48:55.060a Tony Snow type. Obviously, odds are that they end up having been from Fox News. The one thing
00:49:01.000I'll say just on a personal level is everybody focuses on the briefing. Here's what it's going
00:49:05.820to take. That's 20% of the job, right? There is 80% of that job that is coordination, being in key
00:49:11.980meetings about policy rollouts and policy impacts, sitting down with agencies and department heads
00:49:17.980about specific issues that are dealing with them, coordination, managing the staff. And I think
00:49:24.320sometimes we see just the focus on, okay, what is it going to take to go out and do the briefing?
00:49:29.100And if you don't understand the stakeholders, Congress, obviously the White House Press Corps, outside stakeholders, the other departments and agencies, I think it's going to be hard to succeed.
00:49:39.060If you think about, you know, even the first term, it was largely people who had an understanding of those different aspects of the job.
00:49:46.800And I would hope that they learn from the last.
00:53:10.120It'll be just knocked down, drag out brutal.
00:53:12.680So this is it's sort of a weird proxy question for who's going to control the Senate after after November.
00:53:18.640I think the Republicans are going to control the Senate.
00:53:20.660So I would probably be on the before July 20, July 1st, 20, 27 bandwagon.
00:53:24.560But this is a binary question. If they if they control the Senate before July 1, I think is right.
00:53:29.160If they don't control the Senate, then never.
00:53:31.580I think that for the next 50 years, Sam Alito's on the bench.
00:53:35.800I don't know. I agree with most of your assessment.
00:53:38.460I do wonder if if the Republicans were to lose the Senate, Alito is very, very cognizant of his legacy.
00:53:46.920And the question that you have to ask yourself is, OK, it would be two years to get the Senate back.
00:53:50.920And then you're gambling that Republicans keep the White House so that you would get a nominee that would be in your liking.
00:53:58.600I have a decent feeling that if Republicans were to lose the Senate.
00:54:02.600And again, I don't think that's going to happen. I would take the before before, I guess, the end of the year, because I think Alito says I need to make sure somebody is nominated in the lame duck section that I feel confident will replace me.
00:54:16.660Oh, the Democrats will stop that. The Democrats will just do McConnell. No way. The Democrats will stop that.
00:54:22.220I don't think that John Thune has the I know John Thune is a McConnell, you know, protege, but I'm not sure John Thune has the gas to do what Mitch McConnell would do in that situation.
00:54:34.320The guy strikes me as a potted plant. He hasn't been able to move on anything.
00:54:38.240I just don't know if he could actually get a new nominee over the over.
00:54:43.780No, I think he would. I mean, I think that's that's that's a little unfair to Thune. I mean, in the sense that one of the big wins of the Trump administration has been the continued verification of just judges across the federal judiciary like that.
00:54:55.120That is a thing that has continued to pace across the first year and a half of the two years of the Trump administration, part two.
00:55:00.640So the real question, and I think this is the one for Sean, is let's say that that Alito were to step down in twenty seven.
00:55:06.560I think the Democrats would hold that seat open all the way until twenty twenty nine.
00:55:09.440I think that they have given me a comment with Merrick Garland.
00:55:13.780Right. So so here that this is why I believe the following. If Republicans maintain the majority, he stays. He feels good. He can make his at least got two years and will reflect on whatever he wants.
00:55:26.160If he doesn't feel confident, if Republicans were to lose and he knows I can't, there won't
00:55:31.220be a replacement while I can guarantee a Republican president would nominate somebody, I think
00:55:35.320there's going to be a lot of pressure to get him done.
00:55:37.120And I don't think that it doesn't matter.
00:55:38.640In my opinion, Thune's going to feel more pressure than anything to get somebody over
00:55:42.180the finish line before the lame duck session in January, 2027.
00:55:46.080So Alito would be pressured, would make a decision.
00:55:49.080They'd nominate somebody and say, we got to jam this guy through, kind of like Amy Coney