The Mikhaila Peterson Podcast - June 11, 2026


A Harvard Neuroscientist Says We’re Medicating Normal Human Behavior | Dr. Adam Omary EP 237


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 22 minutes

Words per minute

161.52

Word count

13,283

Sentence count

459

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

7

sentences flagged

Hate speech

18

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Marcus Aurelius, he's an emperor 2,000 years ago, and he writes about, I don't want to get out of
00:00:04.880 bed. I'm worried about gluttony because I have like literally all the best food in the world
00:00:09.460 brought to me on a platter. So he has extreme first world problems. And what we're seeing now,
00:00:14.580 this crisis of meaning is basically emperor world problems at scale because we're wealthier than any
00:00:20.400 other time in human history. Adam Omari, welcome back to my podcast. Glad to be back. As harmful
00:00:25.580 as they've been, 30% of American college students are on psych meds, mostly SSRIs.
00:00:31.860 And APA doesn't even recognize SSRI withdrawal.
00:00:34.580 They call it discontinuation syndrome.
00:00:37.420 I don't even know how to explain that.
00:00:39.780 In order to mandate age to prevent children from being able to access harmful content online,
00:00:46.640 it means that you have to have age checks for all users, including adults.
00:00:50.640 That introduces unconstitutional privacy risks.
00:00:55.580 Dr. Adam Amari, welcome back to my podcast.
00:01:04.280 Glad to be back.
00:01:05.300 You're a doctor now.
00:01:06.780 I am.
00:01:07.600 I managed to survive Harvard.
00:01:09.780 That's amazing.
00:01:10.860 You're alive.
00:01:11.740 You look good.
00:01:12.920 Okay, so we want...
00:01:14.220 Well, first of all, if anyone hasn't seen the old episode, can you give a brief background
00:01:18.580 about who you are and what it is you do?
00:01:21.000 I'm a psychologist and neuroscientist, and I was at Harvard studying
00:01:25.140 gender dysphoria. But in the last episode, we didn't talk so much about that. We talked about
00:01:31.020 hormones and brain development, sex differences in brain development, particularly during puberty
00:01:36.340 and intersex conditions. So I did a lot of research before I got to studying the transgender 0.57
00:01:42.580 phenomenon, research on very rare intersex conditions, genetic anomalies, most of them
00:01:49.180 endocrine disorders that result in hormone imbalances that result in personality differences,
00:01:55.640 including in extreme cases, gender dysphoria, and in even more extreme rare cases, intersex,
00:02:02.460 ambiguous phenotypes and genitalia, which definitely connects to the transgender debate.
00:02:07.540 And that's how I became dragged into this research. And what I tried to talk about in our last podcast
00:02:13.720 is on both of these extremes of the transgender abate on the transgender activist side you often
00:02:20.360 hear these radical claims of sex is a social construct sex is a spectrum it's not binary
00:02:26.880 and often if you inquire what they mean they'll say well look at all these intersex conditions
00:02:32.180 and it's true they exist but we're talking about one in a hundred thousand people for any particular
00:02:37.340 condition or fewer so those exist but it's not just that it's not like intersex is a third sex
00:02:44.800 it's they are genetically male or female and they have these specific anomalies that lead to these
00:02:50.000 specific intersex phenotypes and they can be much more likely to experience gender dysphoria
00:02:54.860 so i made the case that historically transgender people very likely had some rare genetic condition
00:03:04.060 that resulted in them feeling like they're in the wrong body. And I have a lot of sympathy for 0.96
00:03:10.360 those cases. But as we've seen in the last decade or two, there's been an explosion in gender
00:03:16.580 dysphoria cases, especially in teenage girls. And the gender affirming care protocol, the hormonal
00:03:24.820 and surgical intervention has been a disaster. I warned about that when we did this podcast two 1.00
00:03:29.800 years ago. And I managed to do my dissertation on what is driving this surge in gender dysphoria
00:03:37.400 cases, particularly among teenage girls. Wow. How was that dissertation received?
00:03:44.920 In different ways, better and worse than you would expect. So the better than you would expect is
00:03:50.780 that as an institution, Harvard protected me and my advisor, Steven Pinker made it possible. So on
00:03:57.920 one hand, if there was not an advisor who was willing to support me doing the research, I
00:04:02.540 wouldn't have been able to period. And at Harvard, Pinker was the only person. So I'm very grateful
00:04:09.200 that I had his support. It is concerning that everyone else was not willing to do it. And I
00:04:15.580 ended up switching advisors to be able to pursue this topic. Oh, I didn't realize that. Yeah,
00:04:21.400 because I was in the neuroscience lab studying hormones and sex differences. And in that lab,
00:04:26.800 that's where i learned about mostly from animal research it was animal research where puberty 0.58
00:04:31.680 blockers were first administered and you see the tragic part is that that the things that sex
00:04:39.440 hormones do to the brain during puberty people talk about adolescence as a sensitive window for
00:04:44.960 higher order cortical development the types of prefrontal cortex regions that help mature
00:04:52.880 emotion regulation capability so the theory for gender dysphoria is if you're prescribing
00:04:59.040 puberty blockers because the secondary sex characteristics of puberty are distressing
00:05:03.840 because you have this felt mismatch between your biological sex and your desired gender identity
00:05:09.920 and that's going to exacerbate depression anxiety and in extreme cases suicidality
00:05:15.840 the strong argument was always would you rather have a trans kid or a dead kid 1.00
00:05:20.640 And they point towards the high suicide rate among transgender people, which is true. 1.00
00:05:25.000 They do have among the highest suicide rate.
00:05:26.900 But that's very different from a causal argument of if you don't give them puberty blockers or hormones or surgery, then they're going to be more likely to commit suicide.
00:05:37.020 And the part that really disturbed me is that we know just from typical variation in hormone levels, especially across the menstrual cycle or on birth control, that hormones can massively impact your mood.
00:05:49.940 And that's within normal, small scale fluctuation.
00:05:53.500 So if you're talking about far outside the range of normal development, cross sex hormone
00:05:58.060 and hormone administration, that is much more likely to destabilize your mood in a way that
00:06:03.420 can paradoxically make the very suicide outcomes that were tried to prevent much worse.
00:06:10.720 Yeah.
00:06:11.020 And we didn't have the data at the time that we last spoke two years ago.
00:06:14.180 Now we have more robust longitudinal evidence on this first cohort of kids
00:06:19.040 that were on puberty blockers and cross sex hormones and it's exactly what you'd expect to
00:06:26.220 find unfortunately the majority of them which who already had very high rates of depression anxiety
00:06:31.500 and suicidality they get even worse and again the tragic part is it's a sensitive period for
00:06:40.600 brain development so we don't understand the long-term side effects of it it's not just
00:06:44.620 that they're worse, they come off of the hormones, and then they're better. Hopefully, that's the
00:06:50.080 case for many of them. But because you're messing with brain development during this sensitive
00:06:54.560 window, we don't understand the long-term side effects. Also on fertility, many detransitioners, 1.00
00:06:59.940 like I know you've interviewed Chloe Cole, they're going to have lifelong side effects from 1.00
00:07:03.900 these protocols. So I'm really concerned about that. I'm glad that the pendulum has shifted back.
00:07:09.160 I joked that instead of gender-affirming care, we should have called it dysphoria-enabling 0.99
00:07:13.560 interventions or dei oh yeah that's that's not bad is it dark but but good oh man okay so 0.95
00:07:23.280 how do we want to start this so i like from my political position i suppose and what i'm exposed
00:07:30.080 to what i see is this huge pushback against the transgender movement um listing things like
00:07:36.660 there's actually increased suicidality when you give gender dysphoric people these treatments
00:07:41.300 what are you seeing do you think that's representative of america are we moving
00:07:46.700 away from it our hospitals starting to shut down uh these like transition clinics is that like are
00:07:53.420 we actually going in the right direction now there are many lawsuits being filed by
00:07:57.620 detransitioners for medical malpractice and as we talked about last time the whole thing was
00:08:03.200 an experimental protocol to start now i've met many of these psychiatrists and i i believe most
00:08:09.140 of them are acting in good faith. And it's a reasonable-ish hypothesis that, okay, if the
00:08:16.340 gender dysphoria is caused by these bodily features that are causing such strong distress,
00:08:23.400 then maybe if we intervene, then we can help them. It's about as reasonable sounding a theory to me 1.00
00:08:30.820 as looking at someone who has anorexia and thinking, okay, maybe we'll help them if we
00:08:35.660 give them weight loss pills or surgery like maybe and academia at its best should be entertaining
00:08:43.220 at times radical hypotheses and letting the data speak for itself now it's very different when
00:08:49.880 you're talking about vulnerable kids that yeah can't consent to experimental treatments when it
00:08:56.580 comes to transgender adults I'm a strong libertarian I think they should be free to do
00:09:01.020 what they want with their bodies even elective harmful procedures I think we should have more
00:09:07.240 openness about the potential side effects but I am completely supportive of them and in fact
00:09:13.080 though I'm optimistic about the direction that we're moving towards from a medical perspective
00:09:18.760 that as you mentioned many of these gender clinics are being shut down it turned out that in most
00:09:24.980 cases the interventions either weren't working or even making the underlying symptoms worse but at
00:09:32.260 the same time we shouldn't be defunding this type of research if the government is going to fund
00:09:39.340 research at all it shouldn't be tied to any specific political agenda what i found ironic
00:09:45.760 and i've written about this is that the very conservatives that were most welcome to the idea
00:09:50.280 that gender dysphoria is being driven by social contagion and that a lot of these treatments have
00:09:58.340 harmful side effects, they were the same ones to pull the research funding into what the side
00:10:05.220 effects would be. So I think that Europe is doing this better. Even though I don't think these
00:10:11.120 treatments ever should have been allowed to start with, they're doing longitudinal follow-up on this
00:10:16.160 first cohort of kids because, again, we have to understand the long-term side effects.
00:10:20.820 Imagine your favorite lecture. Dial that on one max, put that on steroids, and then add some
00:10:27.300 cinematic elements to it. That's the best way I could describe a Peterson Academy lecture.
00:10:32.480 There's always that one professor who's like, oh man, you know, you got to take this one
00:10:36.500 professor. They're the best. But at Peterson Academy, it's all of those that one professor.
00:10:41.380 I'm still paying off college from 10 years ago, and I'm also still questioning the value
00:10:48.060 that I got out of college.
00:10:49.060 It's very common nowadays for students to be in thousands and thousands of dollars
00:10:54.160 of debt.
00:10:55.160 It breaks my heart.
00:10:56.160 The interest rates that are just going to keep on piling up on them for an education
00:10:59.420 that doesn't entirely serve them.
00:11:01.500 You are stuck in the room.
00:11:03.280 You have to do a particular set of courses, and I have to convince myself to stay focused.
00:11:07.060 It's just pretty dry.
00:11:08.660 Peterson Academy it's a fraction of the cost and you get access to all these
00:11:13.400 different topics. It goes anything from sciences, nutrition, why we get sick, all
00:11:18.140 the way up to history. Tons of courses, tons of really good lectures. I'm always
00:11:22.700 looking for high quality educational content. Peterson Academy provides it all.
00:11:26.360 The instructors are amazing. They're so well-known in their field that you just
00:11:30.020 want to pay attention. The more I access, the more I listen, the more I learn, the
00:11:34.340 more I want to learn. I just keep expanding and I just want more.
00:11:37.580 Traditional university can sometimes ground you down.
00:11:40.240 Peterson Academy will be able to scratch that itch
00:11:43.260 of you wanting to learn and continuing to grow as a person.
00:11:46.680 I can't wait to see where Peterson Academy goes.
00:11:50.000 There's just so much potential, and it's just the beginning.
00:11:53.520 I went to college because I had to.
00:11:55.120 I go to Peterson Academy because I want to.
00:11:56.960 You just kind of have to focus on what's going to actually change your life.
00:12:00.640 Stop paying attention to what things are supposed to look like
00:12:03.680 and actually aim for something,
00:12:05.440 and you might just stumble across something like Peterson Academy.
00:12:12.900 Seems like a disaster.
00:12:15.000 I'm also, especially with dad being sick this year
00:12:18.420 and like the impact of medication, long-term medications,
00:12:21.800 the impact that had on me, I'm so,
00:12:25.500 and because I'm so pregnant, I think,
00:12:28.240 I'm so irritated at this idea of,
00:12:31.800 oh, you have this really complicated issue.
00:12:34.060 here's the solution that we can provide you when it's much more nuanced than that even in terms of
00:12:39.900 mental health which is like yeah you're very depressed but here's a pill that just fixes
00:12:43.300 the imbalance and it's like clearly that hasn't been working because our mental health issues
00:12:49.880 are skyrocketing and you've done a bunch of research actually you know what let's start
00:12:54.280 with cato let's start with cato and then get into that you're at the cato institute now right
00:13:00.100 can you describe what that is what that does cato institute is a libertarian think tank
00:13:06.240 policy research organization and i'm on the human progress team there's a great website
00:13:11.620 humanprogress.org you can see all these great statistics about increase in lifespan decrease
00:13:18.280 in disease rates increase in literacy worldwide increase in economic productivity basically human
00:13:24.560 progress more of everything good less of everything bad and we use global data publicly available
00:13:30.000 everything you can check for yourself everything is replicable and open source so i'm doing mental
00:13:36.040 health research because despite this robust evidence that by so many metrics we're living
00:13:41.340 in the best time in human history you also look at psychiatric diagnoses and they're at all-time
00:13:46.960 highs and worse than that it's in the wealthiest freest countries that have the highest depression
00:13:54.300 and anxiety rates. So a lot of people look at that, and they think there's some fundamental
00:14:00.120 problem of progress of modernity, there's evolutionary mismatch, we're experiencing a
00:14:05.560 crisis of meaning, it's hard to get data and things like that. And I try to be a data driven
00:14:09.980 skeptic. So when I hear crisis of meaning, driving an all time mental health crisis,
00:14:15.080 I think, okay, that's one good hypothesis. On the other hand, maybe it's a sign of progress
00:14:22.180 that we're seeing psychiatric diagnoses rise because there's less stigma. There's more mental
00:14:27.900 health awareness. We have the resources to attend to mental health problems. I think all of that is
00:14:32.580 part of progress and part of what's driving this. But I've also been writing a lot about Cato.
00:14:37.420 Now, being a libertarian think tank, we're also extremely suspect about government overreach
00:14:45.580 and the financial incentives that come into, in this case, a health care expansion.
00:14:52.280 So when the very providers that diagnose the conditions are the ones that stand to benefit
00:14:58.800 financially from seeing more psychiatric disorders, it's not surprising that there's an incentive
00:15:04.660 to overdiagnose. And if you look at the DSM, the American Psychiatric Association's textbook
00:15:11.220 manual that lists all of the mental health conditions and the criteria for diagnosing them
00:15:16.160 it's gotten bigger with every successive revision the original one more than 60 years ago
00:15:21.280 was about 130 pages and the new one is 1130 pages wow so it's expanded a lot and people will say
00:15:30.960 well it's expanded because we have again greater mental health awareness better screening there's
00:15:35.360 more nuance in how we define the disorders. That's all true. But also across every successive
00:15:41.720 revision, the criteria for diagnosis have gotten broader. So what I've been writing a lot about
00:15:48.120 recently is psychiatric overdiagnosis. And across virtually every condition, I think we're
00:15:54.160 overdiagnosing. And as you mentioned, forget about relatively rare interventions like puberty
00:16:02.040 blockers, as harmful as they've been, 30% of American college students of Gen Z are on psych
00:16:10.060 meds, mostly SSRIs. And I know you've been doing a lot of research into it and personal experience.
00:16:15.680 Yeah, like the stats I pulled, because they're kind of hard to pull, right, was 20%
00:16:21.540 across the board. But I hadn't heard the 30% of Gen Z in universities.
00:16:26.800 Yeah, my understanding is it's about 20% across the board, including for Gen Z. But there's also a large sex difference because it's mostly women who are diagnosed with depression and anxiety. So it's closer to 30% for females, closer to 10% for males, and also across the board, for whatever reason, 30% among college students. So the college student rate is much higher. That could be in part because college students are now majority female.
00:16:53.120 yeah oh my gosh that's wild and we don't understand the long-term side effects 1.00
00:16:59.660 as you've been writing about that's for sure and it's looking it's seriously not looking good
00:17:06.220 i read a study recently and it was people who'd taken i think they were specifically looking at
00:17:11.800 ssris and it was people who'd been taking them for more than two years and 78 of them had some
00:17:17.720 type of withdrawal and it was i think it was 30 out of the 100 of people couldn't get off them so
00:17:24.940 the withdrawal you could say was bad enough that they couldn't stop taking them and apa doesn't
00:17:29.680 even recognize ssri withdrawal they call it discontinuation syndrome yeah i don't even know
00:17:37.620 how to explain that it's so frustrating i've been so frustrated by that do you know what have you
00:17:43.340 seen any studies about what percentage of women who are on an ssri started with birth control
00:17:49.720 because i'm wondering if that's a huge trigger for depression and anxiety in the first place
00:17:55.540 but i haven't seen any research about it i have no idea but to your point our underlying biology
00:18:00.600 is so complex and hormones and drugs interact in complex ways also all your experience with diet
00:18:07.720 like again we have we have very little understanding although we're seeing emerging research
00:18:12.340 that even like your gut microbiome can seriously impact your mood, let alone intervening with
00:18:19.040 much more extreme pharmaceutical intervention. So I'm concerned about the long-term side effects
00:18:24.960 of all of these, but I'm glad we're talking more openly about it. Yeah, I think we're headed in the
00:18:29.580 right direction. And at least I think if people know, I know that the guidelines are being changed,
00:18:34.120 which is the tapering guidelines, which is really important. And once the tapering guidelines change
00:18:39.540 people understand oh if you're on a psych med you need hyperbolic tapering they'll understand that
00:18:44.800 this isn't such a casual medication if you can't just suddenly stop taking it and revert back to
00:18:49.940 normal if you need this lengthy taper to have your brain adjust back to being normal then you can
00:18:55.880 infer oh this medication is actually quite quite intense it's not just like a serotonin vitamin
00:19:01.300 that you pop. Yeah, I think, I think in RFK's recent initiative to create billing codes for
00:19:08.680 not just prescribing, but de-prescribing medication, that was a step in the right
00:19:12.660 direction. And on the subject of Medicaid and financial incentives, one of the strong arguments
00:19:19.340 that you'll hear for this mental health crisis that supposedly young people in particular are
00:19:24.420 living through is you see this hockey stick like phenomenon. So like slow increases in depression
00:19:29.960 and anxiety. And then right around 2010, like sharp increase, especially in young people. So
00:19:35.240 a lot of people, Jonathan Haidt, a social psychologist, being one of the most prominent
00:19:39.920 examples, attribute that right around 2010, this sharp increase to the advent of smartphones and
00:19:46.300 social media. I've also been writing a lot about critiquing that underlying research. So it's true
00:19:51.580 that there are correlations between social media use and depression, anxiety and loneliness. Kids
00:19:58.000 who are most depressed and anxious and lonely are the most likely to use social media. You might
00:20:02.800 also remember from our podcast, we talked about me being homeschooled and addicted to video games
00:20:07.920 and spending like well over 10 hours a day on screens. So maybe there's a little bit of what
00:20:14.360 Freud would call reaction formation, like a little bit of defensiveness and fighting against the
00:20:19.080 thing that calls out your blind spots. But if you look at the actual data, there are lots of
00:20:24.800 individual studies that show associations between social media use and these negative mental health
00:20:29.880 outcomes, but they're mostly correlational. It's mostly self-selection that you have kids like me
00:20:36.380 who are already overweight, lonely, depressed, homeschooled that are seeking out connection
00:20:42.500 online. And as poor as my childhood was, I think that it would have been even worse if I didn't
00:20:49.640 have video games and if I didn't have online social connection. And if you look at meta
00:20:54.760 analyses, especially the ones that control for other personality traits that independently
00:21:00.560 predict both negative mental health outcomes and increased screen usage, like introversion,
00:21:07.420 then you see that the effects disappear. So the largest meta analyses show that these social
00:21:13.740 media effects are mostly correlational and mostly null when you control for other confounds.
00:21:20.860 And the alternative explanation to this hockey stick phenomenon, also in 2010, is when the
00:21:27.980 Affordable Care Act introduced this mental health parity provision. So before 2010, it was
00:21:36.300 not legally required for insurances to cover mental health services. They weren't considered
00:21:42.460 an essential service. The Mental Health Parity Act introduced mental health care as an essential
00:21:48.780 health service. So again, speaking in Cato language in terms of financial incentives,
00:21:53.740 this opened the floodgates to what economists would call supplier-induced demand. Here's a
00:21:59.240 thing that previously wasn't eligible for insurance coverage, and you need a diagnosis
00:22:05.260 for insurance coverage. So after you open, you legislate a requirement to open the floodgates
00:22:12.020 to insurance money, you create a strong incentive for diagnosis. And immediately after that in 2013
00:22:18.600 is when we have the most recent and also the largest and most expansive and loosest diagnostic
00:22:25.780 criteria edition of the DSM. So I look at that and I think it's a striking coincidence and it seems
00:22:32.080 more causally likely to me than these social media correlations. I completely agree.
00:22:38.700 that like that makes perfect sense i didn't realize that was exactly at the same time
00:22:44.460 and that does make sense to me that if you're introverted you are going to spend more time
00:22:48.540 online and i can tell from like so my eight-year-old you can just tell that giving kids
00:22:54.280 screens all the time especially if this is a healthy kid isn't good for the kid but i would
00:23:00.680 i would agree that it's likely um it's not causal it's likely correlation right the most robust
00:23:07.660 effects aren't on mental health. The most robust effects of screen use are on attention span. And
00:23:13.760 even when you look at attention span and education outcomes, the best studies on this are quasi
00:23:19.340 randomized control trials looking at different schools within the same district. So they have
00:23:24.240 similar demographics and you're more or less naturally controlling for those socioeconomic
00:23:30.340 confounds. And you're looking at, okay, this school bans smartphones, this neighboring school
00:23:35.240 doesn't. You don't see any significant differences on mental health outcomes or bullying. What you do
00:23:42.140 see big effects is on standardized test scores. So kids do better with smartphone bans. Now,
00:23:50.440 even there, I don't look at it and say social media or smartphones are so harmful to attention 0.99
00:23:58.160 span that kids are literally getting dumber. I look at it as a neuroscientist and thinking about
00:24:04.320 the first principles of brain development, like it's the same brain matter, it's the same level
00:24:11.120 of computational power, we can just specialize and redirect to different areas. So we talked about
00:24:17.440 this last time, actually, in the context of sensitive windows for brain development, you have
00:24:22.460 these heightened windows of plasticity. And the extreme examples are both in animal studies where
00:24:29.280 you experimentally manipulate, say, blinding certain animals, what you'll see is that the
00:24:34.440 visual cortex will atrophy, but then the other sensory cortices like the auditory cortex will
00:24:40.180 grow in and start to fill that brain region. And you see the animal develop more acute sense of
00:24:48.220 hearing or of smell. And we see the same thing in congenitally blind or deaf humans. So that's
00:24:55.000 neuroplasticity at work. So starting from those same principles, let's say you have a developing
00:25:00.580 brain that has a finite amount of smarts or computational power, and you can either specialize
00:25:06.980 in slow traditional learning, like the types of critical thinking and reading long text passages
00:25:14.380 that you do in standardized testing and traditional education, or you specialize in fast-paced
00:25:20.980 multitasking the types that the types of intelligence that's optimized for with video
00:25:26.140 games and social media and indeed that's what the research shows it's not that you're getting
00:25:31.340 dumber it's that you're getting worse at a very specific type of long-term critical thinking task
00:25:37.680 but you also get better at multitasking i'm not to say that objectively one is better or worse but 0.98
00:25:43.620 again thinking like an evolutionary psychologist and neuroscientist there are different trade-offs
00:25:48.340 but you have the same level of brain power. That's cool. I don't know what to say to that.
00:25:55.420 That's cool. I think that makes that makes sense to me. It's also hard to tell with the advent of
00:25:59.980 AI and how the future is going to be exactly how humans need to adapt. Right? I've been writing
00:26:07.380 about AI and mental health to actually the fun thing about this role is because psychology
00:26:11.640 connects to basically everything policy related and technology related. So I get to opine on all
00:26:18.060 these different areas. So like in the context of AI, people are talking about chatbots and AI
00:26:23.700 therapy, or in these extreme cases, AI psychosis, AI driven suicide. So oftentimes people point
00:26:30.320 towards some potential for harm. And that's kind of what we're talking about in all these examples
00:26:36.220 here. There are real potential harms, say, of AI, of social media, of diet, of elective procedures.
00:26:45.340 Then the question is, what do we do about it? And often people rush in for government solutions saying we need to regulate, we need to prevent this harm. But regulation creates harm to diagnosis creates harm, too. So also when people look at overdiagnosis, and when they say, well, the DSM has been getting broader, yes, but worst case, that just means we're generating some false positives, but we're expanding access to care. Wouldn't you rather do that than underdiagnose?
00:27:11.320 But people forget that when you label someone, especially a child with a diagnosis, who's okay, get this. According to the CDC, there was a 70% increase in autism in the three years post COVID. Now, autism is a rare genetic neurological disorder that is characterized by social difficulties.
00:27:34.960 gee i wonder why there is a 70 increase in social difficulties following a pandemic where we shut
00:27:42.600 down the world and left kids outside of the normal social environment
00:27:48.020 yep i was also going to say for jonathan height's work on social media
00:27:55.960 what i do think is realistic is people are talking more about it so you get social contagion
00:28:02.960 really easy on social media so perhaps around 2010 which isn't even i think when social media
00:28:08.480 really took hold i think it was a bit later than that at least for me i was probably more involved
00:28:14.100 in it in 2012 like quite a bit more than 2010 but you get support groups you get people saying
00:28:20.780 these are my symptoms are these your symptoms and then you can find all your people so easily
00:28:24.920 because of the algorithm and that i think would have more of a potential negative effect depending
00:28:31.080 on what the contagion is than amount spent, than just social media as a whole. Like the ideas that
00:28:38.480 are in social media. Does Jonathan Haidt talk about that? Is he talking about that causing
00:28:42.800 mental health problems? Like what people are talking about on social media or literally just
00:28:46.700 screen time? Yeah, it's homophily. And we certainly see that with the gender dysphoria epidemic and
00:28:52.720 also with eating disorders like anorexia, with self-harm like cutting. In all those cases,
00:29:00.220 I agree with you social media if it has any causal effect
00:29:04.280 It's not directly on mental health, but it's on who you're talking to and what you're hearing
00:29:09.640 So that's where that's where most of heights critique is and you know, he also pays a lot of attention to cyber bullying
00:29:16.020 Again, there's there's a completely separate policy question that we need to be having because a lot of people
00:29:21.720 I mean first the question is is this thing harmful and what I've been calling attention to is often the harms are on
00:29:29.640 a less robust evidence foundation than people would have you believe.
00:29:36.680 But even where the harms are real, okay, what do we do about it?
00:29:39.680 Do we ban social media for kids under 16 like Australia has just done?
00:29:44.960 It's not working.
00:29:46.500 Teenagers are smart.
00:29:47.280 They know how to install a VPN and reroute their traffic
00:29:50.300 through another country that doesn't have the ban.
00:29:53.320 They know how to access the dark web.
00:29:55.620 So in many cases, the bans, if anything,
00:29:58.180 It just gets them off the big platforms like Instagram that have the most robust safety checks, and they're exploring darker corners of the Internet that don't have the same regulations. 0.98
00:30:09.660 So that's, again, it's like the hormones for gender dysphoric youth. 0.79
00:30:14.800 It's well-intentioned, and yet it might make the underlying problem worse, not to mention that in order to mandate age to prevent children from being able to access harmful content online, it means that you have to have age checks for all users, including adults, and that introduces unconstitutional privacy risks. 0.60
00:30:39.200 That makes sense.
00:30:40.440 So what do we do about it? Do we regulate or do we leave it like most forms of potential harm that children should be protected from and recognize it as a responsibility of the parents?
00:30:54.520 So in a lot of these big lawsuits that we're seeing against social media companies right now, they're claiming that there's an underlying harmful association, which, again, I'm more skeptical about, but open to the possibility that it's there.
00:31:05.940 Certainly in some minority cases, there are direct causal harmful effects. What we can't say is that at the level of systematic reviews and meta-analyses across the board, we can say something is harmful. But there are definitely individualized cases of harm.
00:31:23.360 even in those cases is it the company that has been negligent or is it the parent that has been
00:31:28.540 negligent because in any other case a kid gets access to a firearm or drugs then the parent will
00:31:36.040 be charged with negligence you don't go after the company that's produced it yeah might be an
00:31:41.740 unpopular opinion but i'm probably inclined to think it's the parent's fault now i don't have
00:31:46.660 a teenager yet so maybe my view will change once i have a teenager but if you end up in a in a cycle
00:31:54.100 of negative reddit threads probably not great for your for your mental health but then maybe there
00:32:00.580 needs to be some oversight by parents being like are you in a chat room like where are you on the
00:32:05.500 internet as opposed to just saying social media as a whole is bad because i also don't see how
00:32:11.380 you're going to avoid, especially in five or 10 years, how we're going to avoid the internet with
00:32:18.280 the advent of AI. It's going to be so ingrained in society, especially when there are robots
00:32:25.040 walking around. Right, right. What I've written a lot for Human Progress about recently is the fact
00:32:31.740 that we have this innate negativity bias. There is an evolutionary mismatch. Diet is the classic
00:32:39.860 example in an ancestral environment where fat and sugar and high calorie foods were rare
00:32:45.840 it's adaptive to develop a strong taste for it but in a modern environment of industrial food
00:32:51.780 production over consumption is the greater risk so there's all sorts of evolutionary mismatch
00:32:57.620 negativity bias being a great example you would rather mistake a stick for a snake than a snake
00:33:06.420 for a stick evolution has selected for people to be a little bit neurotic a little bit overly
00:33:12.160 threat sensitive and media hijacks that negativity bias not even because there's any perverse
00:33:18.760 incentives it's just a natural incentive like you want to get human attention then anything negative
00:33:25.760 is going to orient human attention again because in an ancestral environment and even in a modern
00:33:31.960 day environment it's adaptive but it's also even more adaptive to be mindful of the fact that we
00:33:37.300 have this negativity bias and be selective about what information you allow into your life so i
00:33:45.300 think that this is a form of progress and the interesting thing if you've explored stoicism
00:33:49.980 at all marcus aurelius former roman emperor he writes about in his meditations in his diary
00:33:56.060 he basically has a whole bunch of first world problems he's an emperor
00:34:00.120 2 000 years ago and he writes about i don't want to get out of bed i have all these servants that
00:34:06.140 can do my job for me um i'm worried about gluttony because i have like literally all the
00:34:11.280 best food in the world brought to me on a platter i don't want to go outside and exercise but i know 1.00
00:34:15.960 it's good for my body i don't really want to read because i can just have all these concubines 0.99
00:34:19.920 brought into my bed chambers and i don't have to do anything if i don't want to then like have sex 1.00
00:34:24.080 and have grapes fed to me by these beautiful women. And other people, power hungry people 1.00
00:34:28.700 would be glad to do my emperor job for me. I can outsource all of that. So he has extreme
00:34:33.200 first world problems. And what we're seeing now, this crisis of meaning that we're talking about
00:34:38.460 is basically emperor world problems at scale because we're wealthier than any other time
00:34:44.680 in human history. We are having to contend with the same problems that the founder of stoicism
00:34:49.440 contended with. The fact that we would rather have to avoid gluttony or avoid sleeping in and
00:34:56.520 being lazy because we're wealthy enough and safe enough that we can afford to. So that's difficult.
00:35:04.180 Responsibility and agency is difficult. I think this is why your dad was such an influence on
00:35:08.800 especially on young men like myself growing up in this environment of extreme abundance but also
00:35:15.780 extreme ease and being able to take the easy way out and be lazy but being able to instead you know
00:35:26.560 rally for responsibility and create the own the meaning in your life as opposed to just having it
00:35:32.240 handed to you in the daily struggle for survival it's difficult but it's worthwhile and it's
00:35:37.800 amazing to me from a human progress angle that now those are the problems that we have to face
00:35:42.860 instead of the default problems of starvation
00:35:46.420 and seeking out a safe shelter.
00:35:51.420 Do you think a percentage of people aren't going to make it?
00:35:56.800 Not to be too dark about this,
00:35:58.640 but in order to say you have everything
00:36:01.780 and you're in this abundant society
00:36:03.240 and you don't have any motivation,
00:36:05.560 isn't that highly reliant on how conscientious you are?
00:36:08.920 Isn't that a lot of that personality driven?
00:36:11.020 and if so then what are those people going to do it is and i like that you're thinking like a
00:36:16.180 personality psychologist i worry about the bell curve all the time and i don't just mean about
00:36:20.360 intelligence but conscientiousness like you said neuroticism as well so there's always going to be
00:36:26.220 some tale of a distribution of people that are going to have it easier and have it harder but
00:36:31.280 they still fundamentally have to deal with the same challenges but i don't mean that in a pessimistic
00:36:36.280 way like they have to deal with it i mean it like the solutions are going to be the same even if
00:36:41.000 if they're harder yeah to implement as hard as it's going to be to adopt more responsibility if
00:36:46.840 you're for biological reasons lower in conscientiousness and higher in neuroticism if
00:36:51.560 anything all the more urgent it is for you to adopt that mindset yeah so do you think that can
00:36:59.020 be taught do you have recommendations for people and i'm optimistic as an evolutionary psychologist
00:37:03.820 that you know you said for people that don't have any motivation i don't believe such people exist
00:37:10.060 because at the very least we have these inherited biological motives you know we want to avoid pain
00:37:17.460 avoid starvation yeah avoid boredom even that's why that's why we talk about addiction and doom
00:37:23.400 scrolling because people don't want to be bored i mean boredom is healthy for creativity to some
00:37:27.760 degree but even you say like someone who supposedly has no motivation well they're doom scrolling
00:37:33.040 because they're bored and that implies an intrinsic motivation to try to avoid boredom
00:37:38.400 or they're overeating because again eating is just naturally pleasurable we evolved that way
00:37:43.720 so what i'm trying to do in this broader mission as a psychologist of human progress is to better
00:37:51.520 understand our evolutionary psychology and try to gamify it so we can optimize psychology it's like
00:37:57.540 maslow's hierarchy of needs yeah i had this conversation with dad about five years ago
00:38:02.520 because we were talking about what what do people do when they can't figure out what to do with
00:38:06.160 their lives i was like well figure out where the problems are and then fix the problems like
00:38:10.760 everybody has some issue that they could probably work at and and that's a place that's how i started
00:38:18.220 where i was like okay this autoimmune disorder is a huge problem is ruining my entire life i guess
00:38:24.520 that's what i'll do with my life is figure out how to not have an autoimmune disorder and i think
00:38:28.900 that applies to every human it's like what part of your life is suffering and what can you do to
00:38:34.720 fix it and there you have something to do right so it's like a fundamental is the glass half full
00:38:39.940 or half empty I mean for every problem that's pointed out and like I mentioned one of the
00:38:44.200 major critiques of the human progress narrative is well how can you say we're living in the best
00:38:48.500 time in history when and then you know name all of these new problems that are unique to this time
00:38:53.860 in history but for every problem I mean if we didn't have any problems your dad talks about
00:38:58.580 this too. In Dostoevsky's Notes from Underground, like you had nothing to do, but lay in bed and
00:39:05.480 eat cake, you'd be bored, you'd be depressed, you'd be nihilistic. So and a lot of people are
00:39:10.160 again, it's the it's the stoicism emperor world problems. That's cool. Okay, you talked about the
00:39:17.060 meaning crisis. And before we started talking, you mentioned a book. Can you describe this
00:39:22.140 upcoming book? This is the long term vision for psychology of human progress. So in the same way
00:39:28.400 that there are many different disciplines within psychology, social, developmental, cognitive,
00:39:34.160 evolutionary, clinical. We want progress psychology to be its own subfield. So if you've heard of this
00:39:40.520 somewhat still niche world of progress studies, it's a lot of Silicon Valley, tech bro, libertarian
00:39:46.980 types, not just, you know, startups, but this broader world of, you know, how do we optimize
00:39:53.800 human existence you hear a lot of it with ai too so people are coming at it from different angles
00:39:59.020 there's progress studies in terms of optimizing health so maybe i'd place you in there there's
00:40:04.160 progress studies in terms of ai alignment there's progress studies in terms of our institutions
00:40:09.480 how can we remove a lot of the corruption and perverse incentives including the incentives
00:40:16.900 the perverse incentives in our health care system like for over diagnosis like we were just talking
00:40:21.640 about. And more importantly, underlying all of this, all of these different problems and potential
00:40:30.680 solutions are psychological problems and solutions. So that's not just what are the psychological
00:40:38.060 traits that we should try to optimize for in terms of mental health and fulfillment and creativity
00:40:44.420 and purpose but also what are the psychological traits that hinder progress tribalism zero-sum
00:40:52.300 thinking negativity bias and how can we be more mindful of that and navigate around them
00:40:59.220 that makes sense and you mentioned you're working with marian tupi sarah hill about a bit who's in
00:41:08.620 the cato institute that people might know marion tupi runs human progress.org yeah my dad has been
00:41:14.840 such a fan of his for like 10 years i remember before all all the like youtube infamy and
00:41:20.440 everything uh he was kind of obsessed with the x account human progress because i was always
00:41:27.640 tweeting out it was like well technically actually things are going in the right direction here are
00:41:31.720 all the studies yeah and it's funny people don't like to hear it they get weirdly defensive like
00:41:37.180 they're clinging on to the to the narrative that the world is so bad i don't know why but yeah you
00:41:42.920 look at the data look at human progress.org and all of the data is open source from publicly
00:41:49.200 available like oecd our world and data international data sets so we're not creating the
00:41:55.740 data we're not spinning the narrative that things are better we're just illuminating where it is and
00:42:01.700 again we're willing to contend with where the data says that things are worse and the main
00:42:06.740 place that the data is worse is mental health outcomes. So I'm looking at that still with a
00:42:12.920 healthy view of skepticism of, is it actually worse? Or could the data say it's worse because
00:42:19.740 the diagnostic standards have shifted? And it's a combination of both. I think that there are
00:42:26.180 real problems that are making people more nihilistic if they lack agency, but agency also
00:42:33.120 seems to be the solution to this. And there are other real pressing problems grounded in this type
00:42:39.340 of international data, like the fertility crisis. And I think that's fundamentally tied to this
00:42:44.680 crisis of meaning. Having a child is the most long-term optimistic bet on the world that you
00:42:50.140 can take. And a lot of young people aren't taking that bet. This is true. Interesting. I'm probably
00:42:58.100 more inclined to think that there's something that something has made people sick recently
00:43:02.700 you know that it's not just but I mean I come I come at this from more of a health perspective
00:43:08.220 but I can't imagine for instance one of the arguments when I was diagnosed with juvenile
00:43:13.520 rheumatoid arthritis it was unseen I think that was 1999 when I was diagnosed and it took five
00:43:18.840 years to diagnose because doctors hadn't seen it and now it's skyrocket I don't I don't want to
00:43:24.980 give the stat, but it went from something like 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 100 or something. Those numbers
00:43:31.920 aren't right. They'd have to be double-checked, but it's way more prevalent. And one of the
00:43:35.740 arguments is, well, that's because we can catch it faster. But I didn't know anybody in my school
00:43:41.020 that had joint pain. You know, it wasn't there. And so I'm more inclined to think that something
00:43:47.800 recently has made people more sensitive physiologically to something that's causing
00:43:56.140 depression rather than just a meaning crisis. But I think we're going to need a lot more data
00:44:02.580 to figure out exactly what there is. There's theories, there's a vaccine theory, there's
00:44:07.660 diet, the diet theory, of course, like more processed foods causing chronic illness.
00:44:12.280 But I think that plays a huge role. I think you're right. That's certainly in terms of
00:44:17.580 physical health and even mental obesity to even just a rising obesity rate right diet plays a
00:44:24.380 whole a huge role lifestyle plays a huge role because people are just less active the fact that
00:44:29.320 you don't really have to be physically active to survive or to put food on the table anymore in
00:44:35.680 most industries of work in wealthy western democracies so again i look at that still as a
00:44:42.800 sign of progress, like genuine problems we need to contend with. But let's say it's the case that
00:44:47.940 because of food industrialization, there are all sorts of additives that turn out to have
00:44:53.360 tiny, harmful, cumulative effects on physical and mental health that are impairing us from
00:45:00.380 an optimal health standpoint. On the other hand, life expectancy is just about higher than ever.
00:45:06.900 And if we think about the evolutionary and historical perspective, for most of human history, the median age was 40.
00:45:17.220 Most of human history, deaths in infancy and in childbirth were crazy high, and now they're at all-time lows.
00:45:26.240 So the human progress angle is, yes, we have real challenges to face. But on the other hand, we're able to acknowledge those because we have, you know, billions of people putting their minds together because we have these advancements in food production and technology and energy and so forth.
00:45:49.000 So also on this point, you mentioned Marion Toopey. So he's he's leading this whole human progress initiative. You also mentioned Sarah Hill, who you had on your podcast on Peterson Academy, birth control expert. So she's writing a chapter for us in this book on the psychology of progress on the tradeoffs of birth control. Like it's great in terms of expanding agency and gender rights, women's rights.
00:46:14.700 On the other hand, yeah, there are real meaningful challenges, whether that's the literal psychological side effects of disrupting hormones, or even institutional side effects. Like when we see such a change as now a majority of people earning degrees are women, we see changes in institutional culture that probably contribute to the rise in cancel culture that we saw in the last decade.
00:46:39.540 Adam puts gently. Yeah. So that's not to say that we should regress, but it's to say that 0.70
00:46:46.660 everything is trade-offs, even, you know, smartphones and brain health. Everything
00:46:51.540 is trade-offs. We're not atrophying our brains, but we're trading off a type of long-term delayed
00:46:58.560 thinking into a type of multitasking and fast-paced information processing. Everything is trade-offs.
00:47:04.920 So that's the central thesis of the book. I mentioned those two, and we're going to have
00:47:08.720 chapters from various experts in different fields, including hopefully on diet, on physical health,
00:47:14.800 again, not just thinking psychologically in terms of individuals and their personalities and mental
00:47:20.260 health, but also psychologically in terms of tribalism and what types of people feed into
00:47:26.400 what types of institutions and what type of institutional norms enable progress versus
00:47:32.420 hinder progress now on one hand there is a strong bias the free market bias but the bias is not
00:47:40.040 because we're libertarian we're libertarian because we see that this is what the data shows
00:47:46.500 enables progress free markets genuinely enable innovation and material prosperity and anti
00:47:55.280 free market societies especially communist regimes are the exact opposite hundreds of millions of
00:48:01.200 deaths and unfortunately people especially on the left still have not gotten the picture but that's
00:48:07.720 why we're continually fighting for freedom and trying to do it not so much in a polarized way
00:48:14.000 but in a in a data-driven nuance just take a step back don't listen to us listen to the data
00:48:21.060 i like that and i i can see that with abundance in food even though there were some
00:48:29.100 malevolent I would say players creating the food pyramid and putting chemicals into our food you
00:48:35.840 could see that if a society was to suddenly become abundant in food there's going to be this kind of
00:48:40.420 blip where people figure out what to eat when they're exposed to everything and so maybe in
00:48:45.280 the long-term games like well at least we have an abundant amount of food compared to before
00:48:50.440 but we're in this intermediary period where we're not entirely sure what to eat because
00:48:56.320 everything's been manufactured to taste so good. But in the long run, maybe a good thing.
00:49:02.260 Yeah, I think more freedom is always good. And it gets trickier, especially from a philosophical
00:49:06.740 perspective. What is the right amount of voluntary suffering? Not even the types of
00:49:13.540 healthy sacrifice to develop yourself. But some people really like smoking. Some people really
00:49:21.680 like junk food and they say you know i know this is going to shave years off my lifespan but i would
00:49:26.840 rather live 60 years as a smoking mcdonald's eater oh yeah 80 years uh on a strict carnivore diet
00:49:33.840 yeah go for it i i i have exactly that perspective is people should be able to do adults should be
00:49:41.760 able to do basically whatever they want but they shouldn't be lied to in order to come to the
00:49:46.440 conclusions they're at so like take psychiatric medications if you want to but know what happens
00:49:52.080 if you're on them long term you should be told that and eat whatever you want but know what the
00:49:58.460 like potentially chronic disease is the outcome like and it does get tricky from a philosophical
00:50:04.800 perspective when you involve the government which i'm usually not interested in doing because i think
00:50:10.580 usually that goes in the wrong direction but
00:50:13.580 but then it's hard to say what to do with this society that's already addicted to all these
00:50:20.100 things because they've been lied to for so long so we're not starting at zero for like medication
00:50:26.380 foods we're not starting at zero and saying eat whatever you want here are all the ramifications
00:50:33.400 if you decide to eat unhealthily here are all the ramifications if you decide to take medication
00:50:37.640 long term. We're starting with a society that's already in the midst of it. So then do you need
00:50:43.440 government input? Probably. I still don't know if it's useful or not, but it becomes a much harder
00:50:48.220 question. One of the questions that keeps coming up in this progress psychology project is what do
00:50:55.100 we do about institutional trust, which is at all time lows and really deservingly so given how
00:51:03.180 much people have been lied to especially like covid really blew the roof off a lot of this
00:51:08.780 not just because it was a strong example of government overreach and manipulating public
00:51:17.160 information but also again the cumulative effects of years of lockdown and the psychological stress
00:51:24.000 and handicapping an entire generation of young kids socially i think a lot of the political
00:51:31.000 polarization and craziness we're seeing are downstream ripple effects of that. And we're
00:51:35.260 going to probably see it for generations to come because, again, psychologists overuse the term
00:51:42.440 intergenerational trauma. But in subtle ways, you're going to not just see that young kids
00:51:49.480 who grew up during the pandemic are going to change and they're going to influence our
00:51:54.840 institutions, but they're going to parent in different ways. And those children are going
00:51:59.560 to grow up differently because that's sort of parenting. So I'm not trying to sound determinist
00:52:04.180 or doomer. If anything, it's literally my job on human progress to be an optimist. And I am
00:52:09.580 a data-driven optimist. But yeah, we need more transparency, more openness, more research,
00:52:17.300 more data. And conversations like these are a step in that direction.
00:52:23.400 Agreed. Does the Cato Institute run studies as well?
00:52:26.880 We're running some studies on the human progress team.
00:52:29.460 There's a whole polling center.
00:52:31.180 I can't speak much to what other policy departments are doing.
00:52:34.600 Think tanks are kind of like research universities.
00:52:37.160 So it's quite big.
00:52:38.380 Basically, every policy area that you can think of, health, economics, foreign policy,
00:52:45.300 defense, all sorts of things that I'm sorry for my colleagues for leaving out.
00:52:49.440 We have experts on everything.
00:52:51.860 And the people at Cato are brilliant.
00:52:54.080 And what I love about it is there's true diversity of thought like you're supposed to have in academia. I mean, there is a self-selection bias to the extent that we're all libertarian or libertarian leaning, at least, and free market thinkers. But there's so much diversity.
00:53:11.000 But you're right. So it's fine. And we're right. Yeah, I think we're right. And again, look at the data. Look at if you treat history as a set of quasi experiments. Well, it's not an accident that we're having this conversation in America. And you immigrated here because of the greater freedom, right? So you get these brain drain effects and your father as well. And it's like a rich get richer phenomenon.
00:53:38.760 It's like this Matthew principle that seems to be a natural law. And that's why a lot of people critique free markets. But it's not the free market that's the problem. It's the underlying diversity of capability and value production. Like this is a far deeper evolutionary problem.
00:53:57.720 agreed do you guys do any studies on like tribalism particularly i guess on social media
00:54:06.120 i feel like just from what i've seen it's skyrocketed since covid uh
00:54:12.120 and there's got to be some i was talking to dad about this the other day actually was there's
00:54:18.840 got to be some personality traits that are associated with people who end up leading
00:54:23.160 kind of these fringe conspiratorial tribes and he was assuming it has something to do with the dark
00:54:31.960 triad and i'm just wondering if there have been any studies on that at all showing sociopaths i
00:54:40.880 guess or psychopaths or whatever you want to call them people high and high in the dark triad
00:54:44.840 on social media amassing large followings have you do you guys look into that at all
00:54:49.780 At Cato, we're not looking into dark triad traits specifically. So the existing research literature certainly shows that, that the types of social media trolls are disproportionately high in dark triad traits. And especially when it's anonymous online interaction, you see the worst behavior brought out.
00:55:12.740 And we are commissioning studies for this broader psychology of progress project on social media, polarization, misinformation. What do we do about it? Because again, we're not trying to say literally everything is getting better all the time. We're trying to say on average, if you could choose to be born in any time in human history, probably this is the time to be.
00:55:36.520 And there are real challenges to face there. And the solution to those challenges or the first step to solutions is understanding what the problems really are. So yes, we're commissioning studies on that. And I'm relatively new here. I'm the only psychologist at Cato, which allows me to be much of a generalist.
00:55:54.720 But as I mentioned, we're relying on outside expertise from others, topic experts, and I have a biostatistics background as well.
00:56:02.340 So I feel that I'm particularly strong at evaluating study methods, which across any discipline, like the statistics are the statistics. 0.76
00:56:11.920 So I have a pretty good bullshit detector.
00:56:15.620 That's so cool.
00:56:17.060 So what's the goal of the Cato Institute?
00:56:19.180 Is it kind of awareness and to try to help society stay positive?
00:56:24.100 Is that the underlying goal or is there something else?
00:56:27.520 The four main taglines are advancing limited government, individual liberty, free markets,
00:56:36.000 and peace.
00:56:36.720 And we could talk about how each of those lead to a more prosperous society.
00:56:40.660 But also, I think it's useful to think about what think tanks do in the broader political
00:56:45.900 ecosystem.
00:56:46.700 And this is pretty new to me because before deciding to cancel my academic career by pursuing
00:56:52.760 literally the most controversial topic, although it worked out for me. And I'm really glad that I
00:56:57.320 did. You know, your dad talks about when you commit to seeking the truth, your life becomes
00:57:02.000 an adventure. So I couldn't have predicted that I would have ended up in this great job at Human
00:57:06.680 Progress and at Cato, but it's worth it. So most think tanks, as far as I understand it,
00:57:12.340 are more explicitly partisan. Like you have the Heritage Foundation that has contributed to the
00:57:19.360 20 project 2025 agenda on the left you have brookings and centers for american progress
00:57:26.640 very different definition of progress there you have you have aei where my friend carol hooven is
00:57:33.360 so think tanks are very friendly especially on the more conservative libertarian side very friendly
00:57:39.600 to more of the heterodox thinkers rob henderson is at manhattan institute which is also more
00:57:46.320 more conservative than Cato, more conservative than Libertarian.
00:57:50.300 So they're all kind of like research universities, and they employ a lot of either concurrent
00:57:56.220 or former academics to do policy research.
00:57:59.400 What's really different from my perspective is the pace of the work.
00:58:04.160 So, you know, rather than writing one or two peer-reviewed academic journal articles per
00:58:11.000 year, I'm doing like one or two or more op-eds per week or per month, and we're reaching larger
00:58:19.120 audiences. So again, everything is trade-offs, like at the cost of some depth, even though we
00:58:26.140 do great in-depth policy analyses that are basically peer-reviewed academic papers, and
00:58:32.220 many Cato scholars and many think tank scholars generally remain active in publishing academic
00:58:37.320 papers, no one reads them. So then you condense it into like a Washington Post or Wall Street
00:58:43.660 Journal article, and they get larger readership. So I'm basically doing both. I'm keeping up with
00:58:49.240 the research in terms of these psychology studies that I'm commissioning. I'm also writing a lot
00:58:53.560 basically every week about whatever is fashionable in terms of mental health or public policy. So
00:59:01.340 all think tanks do that. I think what's really unique about Cato, aside from being the largest
00:59:06.280 libertarian is that we're nonpartisan most are explicitly partisan and that means again it
00:59:12.960 contributes to this strong diversity of thought it's like you can support trump in his tax cuts
00:59:21.660 one day and critique him on his immigration policy or on starting a war the next day so there's a lot
00:59:29.320 of true diversity and principled rather than partisan cool i don't think i really knew what
00:59:36.220 a think tank was other than knowing what the word think and tank was and then assuming i am now a
00:59:42.200 professional overthinker before i was just a part-time overthinker that's so funny okay so
00:59:48.880 just out of curiosity more about think tanks are these are these non-profits do people donate how
00:59:55.440 do they stay alive because you can't stay alive by by writing articles right yeah cato is non-profit
01:00:01.660 I think all think tanks are non-profit, but I'm not entirely certain of that.
01:00:06.700 Most of them probably are and rely on donations.
01:00:10.640 The more partisan ones probably take direct political money, but I'm not sure of that.
01:00:16.840 Cato definitely doesn't.
01:00:18.160 Cato is individual donors, like people that believe in advancing individual liberty.
01:00:24.780 and again lots of former academics or people that are just notable public figures like rob
01:00:32.080 henderson is a good example ending up at manhattan institute my understanding is that think tanks
01:00:37.740 have kind of two main streams of recruitment so there's like you're recruiting policy analysts
01:00:43.820 and economists and people that are going to do research kind of behind the scenes and then
01:00:49.400 you're recruiting people that are already notable public figures just because they
01:00:53.500 align with your philosophy and it makes a lot of sense and it's advantageous to to have them on
01:00:59.640 board and to put your branding on anything that they do so like anytime rob henderson goes on
01:01:04.940 your podcast now like he's advertising manhattan institute so to some extent i get to do that for
01:01:10.100 cato mine is kind of a unique case because i'm doing both because i'm relatively early on in
01:01:15.020 my career like you know during grad school i was doing a lot of writing and public speaking about
01:01:20.020 in this case the controversial gender dysphoria debate i think that if anything cato well cato
01:01:28.300 definitely doesn't take a particular stance on it and this is a good example of the diversity of
01:01:33.280 thoughts so i think everyone at cato and really like americans broadly are more supportive of
01:01:40.580 what transgender adults want to do most of the concern is about children so on one hand you can
01:01:45.960 make a strong libertarian argument that children can't consent therefore it's unethical on the 0.99
01:01:54.620 other hand you could make a strong libertarian argument saying that well when children can't
01:01:59.880 consent it falls onto the parents and it's within the realm of the parents liberty to decide what
01:02:06.040 they want for their child so most hopefully all libertarians would recognize that there's some
01:02:13.600 level of extreme harm or neglect. And there's some level of inherent rights and value to a child
01:02:22.040 that if a parent is severely abusing them, then they need to be protected. And it makes sense to
01:02:29.180 look towards the government for that. But where do you draw the line? And particularly for
01:02:33.740 experimental, potentially harmful medical procedures, where do you draw the line?
01:02:38.280 So there are some people, some libertarians even, who look at that and say, well, even children, especially, you know, where's the cutoff for child, like a 16, 17 year old has more agency, and maybe they should have more say in what they do with their body, even with harmful elective procedures.
01:02:57.940 At the very least, I think what we agree about is we need to have more openness about what the harms are and what the interventions are actually doing. And we certainly have not had that from the people promoting gender affirming care.
01:03:12.540 Yeah, that's for sure.
01:03:13.360 So there's a lot of healthy diversity of thought there. And my case is unique, again, because I was speaking publicly about this issue. I think what they liked is that I was doing it in a hopefully unbiased, data-driven way. I was certainly trying to do that.
01:03:31.200 And that it meant that I wasn't shy of talking about whatever the spotlight issues are. Like I didn't want to just remain in a narrow academic specialization where only me and my five colleagues would ever read each other's papers. Like I wanted to have more of an influence in public discourse.
01:03:50.120 So I get to have this somewhat unique role being both the early career researcher, policy
01:03:58.460 analyst type, but also getting to have more of this public intellectual role doing podcasts
01:04:04.380 like this.
01:04:05.220 That's so fun.
01:04:06.260 It is really fun.
01:04:07.720 That's amazing.
01:04:09.140 I didn't even know that was a job, really.
01:04:11.480 But it sounds perfect.
01:04:13.840 Perfect. Yeah, it's a great example, again, of, you know, just committing to trying to tell the truth and do good in the world and not be concerned about the long term consequences, not holding your tongue.
01:04:28.920 I debated when you first invited me on your podcast two years ago whether to do it because I knew that I would get a lot of pushback, particularly from my peers at Harvard who were already saying mean things about me, but it was worth it.
01:04:42.920 And one indirect path that I couldn't have predicted, and Marion Tupi, who's been on your show and who's taught for Peterson Academy, he saw it.
01:04:52.180 He liked it.
01:04:53.020 He liked me.
01:04:54.040 This opening came up.
01:04:56.400 And it's a small world.
01:04:57.880 So a lot of the people that are in Cato circles are also in ARC circles, the Alliance for Responsible Citizenship conference that your dad puts on.
01:05:07.360 Yeah.
01:05:08.640 Weird.
01:05:10.040 That's very, very cool, though.
01:05:11.900 okay let me see i i have a few more questions to ask you okay we didn't talk about so you've
01:05:20.940 been writing these articles i saw an article pop up and i don't think i even saw it because
01:05:25.420 you shared it i think i saw it from somewhere else but it was on the wall street journal and
01:05:28.800 i think it was adhd so there's two separate ones you could be referring to there's the wall street
01:05:35.540 journal one which is talking about rfk's recent psych meds press conference and the financial
01:05:41.580 incentives that go into that which i think we already covered both of those yeah and then
01:05:45.940 separately there's adhd i wrote an article for the dispatch on adhd over diagnosis and again this is
01:05:52.560 continuing the broad theme of adhd is yet another example that's being massively over diagnosed in
01:05:58.740 my opinion and if you look at the diagnostic criteria within successive revisions of the dsm
01:06:05.120 they've gotten broader with time there are more financial incentives and just if you look at the
01:06:10.860 structure of the school system especially if you're thinking like an evolutionary psychologist
01:06:14.440 it's not surprising that young kids especially young boys don't sit still for eight hours a day
01:06:20.780 yeah in a classroom and i don't think we should be medicating them if they can't do that that's
01:06:25.580 normal and healthy what's abnormal but also remarkable that many kids can adapt to it that's
01:06:31.500 also neuroplasticity at work i'm concerned about pathologizing ordinary human behavior and i think
01:06:40.160 we ought to be conservative in the scientific sense and in the medical sense of where we draw
01:06:46.060 the line. According to the NIH, according to the National Institute of Mental Health,
01:06:52.100 50% of American adolescents have met criteria for mental illness at least once in their lives.
01:06:58.880 Yeah, of course. At any given time, it's closer to 30%, like we discussed. That's still insane.
01:07:05.700 Again, if you're thinking about this like a personality psychologist and like a clinical
01:07:09.140 psychologists like from this bell curve acknowledgement well 30 to 50 percent of the
01:07:15.420 population is ordinary human behavior by definition if we're talking about clinical psychopathology
01:07:22.140 you can debate about where to draw the line but you're always talking about an extreme tale
01:07:27.600 of a distribution the distinction between ordinary and pathological it's in the definition it's in
01:07:36.480 the word psychopathology it has to be pathological to be diagnosable if it's 30 to 50 percent of the
01:07:42.160 population it's ordinary levels of distress and we've forgotten that yes yes i know i've been
01:07:50.480 thinking about that quite a bit in terms of mental health because so over the last couple of years
01:07:55.580 i've had multiple pregnancies which are extremely destabilizing like psychologically because your
01:08:00.560 hormones during pregnancy are insane and then postpartum are insane and then the stress of dad
01:08:06.040 especially this year being so unbelievably sick that i've been like i don't feel good
01:08:12.200 like if i was anyone realistically if i was anyone other than me i'd be like i need some
01:08:18.400 sort of antidepressant or something because i'm depressed but i i've also seen people
01:08:23.060 go through stressful situations a relative gets cancer or like your close loved ones gets cancer
01:08:29.780 you're going to be depressed you're not going to be the same person you were there are periods
01:08:34.940 throughout your life where you don't feel good and things are hard and you could be like this
01:08:39.240 is not tolerable i don't feel good and that's normal human stress and it's not supposed to
01:08:45.540 feel good and it shouldn't be it shouldn't be medicated for sure because then you don't even
01:08:51.080 process the emotions you're going through like we haven't even talked about that what about the fact
01:08:55.740 that people are going through trauma say and get medicated and then they don't process the emotions
01:09:01.000 That's got to be an issue long term.
01:09:03.260 Right. I'm concerned about that as well.
01:09:04.940 So this is another good example of the perverse financial incentives that come in in the way our health care system currently operates.
01:09:13.080 So most therapists and psychiatrists aren't deluded enough to believe that 30 to 50 percent of young people are mentally ill.
01:09:22.600 They're navigating an insurance system and they're trying to provide care.
01:09:28.880 And they're thinking, all right, if you've just gone through a breakup or the death of a loved one, you probably don't have major depressive disorder. You probably are in need of short term support. And yet you still have to if the patient is going to receive any sort of insurance reimbursement and they probably won't go to therapy if they can't.
01:09:54.580 So there are adjustment disorders, which is often the shorthand that's used, which are temporary by definition. But again, depending on coverage and eligibility, a lot of times you'll see over diagnosis so that, you know, let's say adjustment disorder is the diagnostic tag.
01:10:14.580 And it's an adjustment disorder. Is that something that's something in your environment like cancer or divorce or something like that? Is that what's an adjustment? It's basically the catch all term for this person is going through a hard time. And the unspoken awareness is this isn't really a clinical disorder, but we have to treat it like a medical disorder. Otherwise, there won't be coverage.
01:10:37.560 So it's like the open secret within the therapeutic industry.
01:10:42.200 Talk to any therapist about it.
01:10:44.100 They'll be open about, yeah, adjustment disorder is what you do when you have to diagnose something.
01:10:50.000 Otherwise, you won't receive coverage.
01:10:53.660 Wow.
01:10:54.500 But nothing's really wrong with them.
01:10:56.600 That's not good.
01:10:58.940 Even though term adjustment disorder is kind of pathological, what?
01:11:03.080 Well, adjusting to this difficult life circumstance.
01:11:06.480 But disorder?
01:11:07.560 sticking disorder in there that's manipulative again so we need to have a conversation about
01:11:13.160 what types of mental health services and support can you receive if you don't have a medical
01:11:19.960 disorder because the therapeutic industry has expanded to fill the void i think that historically
01:11:26.520 you'd find in community yeah and from family all of that has fragmented so again everything is
01:11:32.440 trade-offs i don't look at that and say it's an inherently bad thing i look at it and think it's
01:11:37.260 predictable result that there's going to be a strong incentive to create or expand the closest
01:11:44.300 existing support service and there's a there's a fine line between what is a medical problem
01:11:53.000 and what is a mental health problem and what is an adjustment problem that you really just need
01:11:58.380 some advice and some support and someone to listen to and you could get it from a friend but if you
01:12:02.800 can't, then it makes sense to pay for a therapist. I think that's a good thing. The bad thing is that
01:12:09.900 people internalize these diagnoses as though they have something wrong with them when really life
01:12:17.220 is challenging and we need social support. Yeah. Dad said when he had clients, and I learned this
01:12:22.440 from a young age, is before he said there seems to be a major depressive disorder or something
01:12:29.700 going on here he'd be like do you have friends how's your work how's your love life like is
01:12:36.040 anyone around you dying or hurt and go through all these elements of human life to make sure
01:12:41.560 there wasn't something that was contributing to your stress levels that that was making you
01:12:47.360 depressed and i don't know how many specifically psychiatrists do i don't know how many psychologists
01:12:51.920 do that but i don't know how many psychiatrists actually do that rather than getting somebody to
01:12:56.120 fill out a Beck questionnaire on depression and then just looking at that and saying well this
01:13:01.100 looks like depression without delving into trauma or life situation like life circumstances so
01:13:08.220 hopefully I guess hopefully with RFK kind of bringing awareness to psych meds that
01:13:13.900 we'll get more clinicians doing that but I don't even know what psychiatrists are taught how they're
01:13:18.360 taught to figure out how people are sick is it mostly based on questionnaires because that's how
01:13:25.440 my experience went when i was a kid it was like yeah you have arthritis which is already reason
01:13:30.880 enough to be depressed as a kid but i was just diagnosed from a back back questionnaire do you
01:13:37.280 have any idea what the norm is like an adhd test i know that that's mostly questionnaires
01:13:41.960 so i can speak as a psychology researcher and i rely on public health data at population scales
01:13:52.340 And certainly for these prevalence estimates for all disorders that you hear from CDC and NIH, most of those use surveys because they're not able to do the types of in-depth psychiatric interviews that you would need for proper clinical assessment.
01:14:09.520 So they use surveys that are typically correlated with depression, anxiety, autism, whatever it is, but they have major blind spots, especially the autism one, like we talked about, which is surveys, oftentimes parent reported surveys that ask items like my child struggles with eye contact, struggles making friends, prefers to be alone, things that are associated with autism, but are also associated with social anxiety or even ordinary shyness.
01:14:35.620 So it's easy to get false positives on surveys, but these are just the prevalence data. So when you hear a suspect claim from NIH, 30 to 50 percent of young people have experienced mental illness. Part of it is survey bias. Now, if we're talking about actual diagnoses and over diagnosis, then that's driven by the clinician themselves.
01:14:59.820 I'm not a clinician. I don't see patients. I'm not a psychiatrist. I can't prescribe medicine.
01:15:05.240 So I can only look at the population level numbers and guess what they're doing. But again,
01:15:12.560 when you look at the incentive structure, that they're paid more when they diagnose more,
01:15:17.200 particularly psychiatrists, because you can do an hour-long therapy session, or you can do four
01:15:22.560 15 minute prescription write-ups so psychiatrists have strong incentives to see more patients now
01:15:30.160 this isn't to say they're greedy and they're prescribing when they should be doing therapy
01:15:34.800 there's also a strong short supply of psychiatrists so most of the time you're seeing a master's level
01:15:42.440 counselor for therapy and then if you need meds and if they're doing their job right like you and
01:15:47.740 your dad mentioned if you've thoroughly evaluated all areas of your life that you can't find any
01:15:56.740 obvious cause to your depression maybe it makes sense to start exploring medication but certainly
01:16:03.160 if it's if it's viewed just as a crutch or viewed as the first solution that's very likely to best
01:16:10.240 case serve as a crutch that avoids you getting to the root of your problems worst case leads to
01:16:16.920 long-term side effects and dependency and things you were talking about earlier yeah and that's a
01:16:23.100 huge problem okay adam my pregnancy brain is burning out that was a lot of information one
01:16:28.920 last thing relating to your pregnancy so you were talking about basically the psychological concept
01:16:35.240 would be how much agency you ascribe to yourself and how you navigate problems so you could take
01:16:41.520 this victim mindset of how difficult things are going for you and how you pathologize it like
01:16:47.320 something must be wrong with you or with the world or it sounds like you're recognizing you know my
01:16:53.420 hormones are out of whack this is impacting my mood I'm gonna sort of take a step back kind of
01:16:58.900 like the Alan Watts mindfulness perspective and recognize you know there's me at my optimal
01:17:04.520 decision-making capacity and there's me in pregnancy brain so we've been talking about
01:17:10.080 political libertarianism, but there's another interesting definition of libertarianism. So
01:17:15.520 in the free will debate in philosophy, there's determinism. We hear a lot about that.
01:17:20.960 The anti-determinist stance, the technical position is libertarianism. So this is related
01:17:28.360 to philosophically the libertarian political movement that's all about individual freedom
01:17:33.540 and agency but entirely separate philosophy literature on libertarianism so i would say
01:17:40.500 determinism okay versus determinism so determinism would be this stripping you of your agency your
01:17:48.060 deterministic system you're a byproduct whether it's genetic determinism like everything ultimately
01:17:54.060 traces back to biochemistry you have no free will robert sapolsky is a great example of this
01:18:00.460 neuroscientists who doesn't believe in free will, or even on the social constructivist
01:18:05.360 determinism. So the interesting thing and the sad thing, a lot of developmental psychologists
01:18:10.460 are implicitly or explicitly determinist. So the nature or nurture debate, and I host the nature
01:18:17.480 and nurture podcast, so I'm quite familiar with the debate territory, but it overlooks the
01:18:25.220 libertarianism free will debate it's if if you have free will and agency it doesn't much matter
01:18:33.240 whether you're a byproduct of genes or environment genes or environment is inherently reductionist
01:18:41.240 and determinist so what i like about the libertarian philosophy not the political philosophy
01:18:46.920 but the free will philosophy is that it grants people agency or it acknowledges agency where it
01:18:54.260 exists because your dad talks a lot about if you act like you don't have free will, then all that
01:19:01.080 happens is you get bitter and resentful and you use your free will in unproductive ways. So what
01:19:06.400 I really liked about you describing the challenges of pregnancy, you did it in a very libertarian way
01:19:12.080 of acknowledging that this is a voluntary choice, presumably voluntary if you're mindful about win
01:19:18.920 and win not to use protection and it's it's worthwhile and there are downsides but it's
01:19:25.380 obviously i mean you can speak to this i don't have children yet but probably the world's greatest
01:19:30.100 blessing so everything everything is trade-offs and i like this libertarian philosophy of rather
01:19:35.340 than you know you're a victim of your hormones and it needs to be diagnosed as something's wrong with
01:19:41.320 you like you're recognizing ahead of time this is a predictable result and i'm entering into this
01:19:47.760 And I'm just going to try to navigate around it with my free will and with my agency.
01:19:51.560 Well, thank you.
01:19:53.120 This is me on a podcast, though.
01:19:54.760 This isn't the me that my husband sees.
01:19:57.360 There's more victimhood there.
01:19:58.780 But yeah, I think from being one of the benefits from being miserably depressed for so long
01:20:05.620 and then going through antidepressant withdrawal and being completely batshit for two years
01:20:10.620 was I figured out and this is one of the ways I survived.
01:20:14.840 honestly I figured out when my thoughts didn't make sense didn't quite make sense and I was like
01:20:21.160 okay there's me something in me is me and then there are these thoughts I have that don't make
01:20:26.060 sense but that's not me and so I can go through these periods of pregnancy because I hate being
01:20:31.280 pregnant it like it makes me dumber I say like more uh I can't I have short-term memory issues
01:20:37.920 you get tired you get nauseous I have meat aversions I'm physically uncomfortable it's just an
01:20:44.840 You can have unpleasant experiences for a period of time if they pay off, especially
01:20:49.800 if the payoff is obviously worth it, like having kids.
01:20:53.120 But I think a really good thing to do for people is while they're going through unpleasant
01:21:01.180 experiences to stay hopeful for a window at the end and for things to get better at the
01:21:07.000 end and then learn that they can be resilient through these things.
01:21:11.040 And then it's not as anxiety provoking.
01:21:13.080 you can be like this is a bad year this is a period of suffering i'm going to do as well as
01:21:17.860 i can i'm not going to be as productive as i normally am but i've done this before and i can
01:21:23.160 do it again and then it's not some existential horror on top of whatever you're experiencing
01:21:29.020 so resiliency is important for people to learn for sure otherwise how are you supposed to stay
01:21:35.840 mentally healthy and be a human that's human progress at the individual level yeah cool
01:21:42.940 Okay, Adam, where should people go if they want to learn more?
01:21:45.780 Psychology.humanprogress.org.
01:21:49.460 Cool.
01:21:50.400 Okay.
01:21:51.360 And I think we should get you on PA if you want to teach a course.
01:21:54.140 I would love to.
01:21:55.000 Okay.
01:21:55.460 That's amazing.
01:21:56.220 Psychology of Human Progress.
01:21:57.120 Yes, let's do it.
01:21:58.240 That sounds great.
01:21:59.200 Well, thank you so much for coming on again.
01:22:00.640 That was amazing.
01:22:01.360 Thank you, Michaela.
01:22:12.140 You