00:52:55.040So that is a real PR statement out of Salesforce.
00:52:58.340One of the largest tech companies in the world.
00:53:00.320We will be hiring no new engineers in 2025.
00:53:03.480Now, part of that is because you can do so much more with AI.
00:53:08.280So if enough people do that and another stat, just to bring this home, uh, there's been an increase in the amount of time it's taking people to find their next job.
00:53:17.420So unemployment used to take about six months and you could count on finding another job, which is why unemployment cycles are six months.
00:53:23.580You can apply for an extension, but people usually didn't, uh, now more and more people are extending.
00:53:29.880And some of that is going to be just, I don't want to go back to work.
00:53:32.720There's certainly that malaise in society right now.
00:53:35.460And then some of it's going to be Salesforce and other gigantic companies are laying people off, not hiring new people.
00:53:41.780And we're going to feel that more and more.
00:53:43.600So 25 is a year that I think people really go, wait a second, this is actually going to be a problem.
00:53:48.36026 is when you start seeing like, ooh, factories are getting these humanoid robots.
00:54:02.940That's putting a lot of people out of work.
00:54:04.680you get a lot of anger about all the low-wage workers we supposedly let come in across the
00:54:09.060border. And now they're not even able to get those jobs. And so now they're just, you know,
00:54:14.160taking social resources. And so people are really going to get mad about that. Again,
00:54:18.180my hope is that they keep this pointed at the robots and not people. That would be better.
00:54:23.980So that's where I think you're at in 27. Starting in 28, these start becoming more and more
00:54:28.060ubiquitous. And my hope is that you start turning the tide at that point. But meaning that an
00:54:33.940average person now in the next, call it four to five years is going to start to see benefit in
00:54:38.500their own life. Goods getting cheaper, more manufacturing being done in the U S. And so,
00:54:43.800yes, we're not doing some of the more, um, easily repeatable tasks, but new jobs are coming online
00:54:50.220and things that I can't predict right now. Right. So, um, so far in human history, technology has
00:54:55.820always disrupted a generation, but ultimately brought on way more jobs. And so if you look
00:55:00.820backwards, your prediction should be that it will create disruption for a generation. Now,
00:55:06.440is that 10 years, 20 years? It's probably in that neighborhood, but then it will ultimately create
00:55:13.180just a mass amount of new jobs, just looking backwards. Now, AI is the first thing where I'm
00:55:18.500like, people aren't crazy. If they say, no, no, no, this time's different. It really may be
00:55:22.240different this time, just because you're talking about intelligence and embodied intelligence.
00:55:27.420uh so yeah i would say you've got three years probably pretty safe we can see reasonably well
00:55:34.920three years into the future beyond that all bets are off do you think in terms of education people
00:55:41.140should be focused on sectors that aren't that we don't know are going to be wiped out by ai
00:55:46.280like i'd be concerned if my kid wanted to go into accounting i'd be like i don't think there are
00:55:52.060going to be accountants law now there's still going to be court cases and things but for a lot
00:55:56.480of the legal positions. Like, I don't know if that's a good idea either. Car washes, probably
00:56:01.100still a thing. Laundry, probably still a thing, but like literally, I don't know that you can name
00:56:08.460a thing where I would say, yeah, humans are going to be safe. Uh, here's what I think is going to
00:56:13.660happen. This also depends on timeline because your daughter's seven. I'm going to say, you got
00:56:17.040to give me 10 years before we have to worry about what, so now we're talking 10 years of this. Yeah.
00:56:21.600Who knows? Who knows? Oh my goodness. But let's look at that. So here's what I would say.
00:56:26.480There is going to be a massive market for human only. And so the right question is, what do you love enough? And are you willing to go down the path of human only things doing that? Or do you want to go down the path of, I want to do this thing, but I'm going to be augmented by AI and robotics. And how far can I push that?
00:56:46.960and there'll be plenty of time to figure out what are the economic ramifications of all of this
00:56:52.360stuff. But right now, the thing I would encourage people to do is stay maximally flexible in your
00:56:58.860direction. So give yourself the most conceivable choice ever. So that means, uh, and this gets
00:57:03.600into my whole viral post about why the American dream is dead. Um, you want to make sure that
00:57:09.020you're not taking on a bunch of debt to go to college. That's going to be a problem. It's just
00:57:12.440way too easy to learn online right now. So, uh, you can learn basically anything online for free.
00:57:18.060If you need like the organization of something, then you've got things like what you're doing at
00:57:22.420Peterson Academy, what we're doing at impact theory university. You're going to be able to
00:57:25.860find your vertical anywhere. It doesn't need to be either of us. There are plenty of these things
00:57:29.160out there. So figure out which one of those, and it's going to be taught by somebody who's really
00:57:33.560done it. Like the days of it's only educators are over because these teachers are going to go in,
00:57:39.400teach the course one time and then they can keep doing their thing but now you're getting the
00:57:43.320greatest lecture on that thing ever and so you'll be able to amass an education very rapidly very
00:57:51.360cheap but you're going to have to be self-directed and so that becomes one of the major bifurcations
00:57:56.780we're going to see people that are self-directed and don't do stupid things like get in debt
00:58:01.180they're they're going to be able to move in any direction and they will have gotten so good at
00:58:05.540self-directed learning by that point, which would be an absolute superpower. They will have finally
00:58:09.680broken free of the traditional education system, which teaches you to be a good cog in the machine.
00:58:14.620And now look at scary because you've got to think for yourself, which if you decide to follow my
00:58:20.600lead and be a pugilist in your own YouTube and, uh, X comments, you will very rapidly see that
00:58:26.780what people get really angry about right now is, uh, Hey Tom, if you say a thing, I, they don't
00:58:34.400say these words, but when you look at them through this lens, they suddenly make sense. Tom, when you
00:58:39.000say something, I'm going to live by that entirely. And if I can't fuck you and I'm like, bro, that's
00:58:43.620not how this is going to work. You're going to need to amass a bunch of people that you think
00:58:47.260have sincere, strong takes on a topic that matters. And they're going to tell you that sincere,
00:58:52.640strong take with the understanding that you're going to go aggregate a bunch of those. And you're
00:58:57.240going to use them all. I tell people, think of me like an AI, point me at a problem. Look at how I
00:59:02.560look at it point seven or eight other people that you think have sincere strong takes on that look
00:59:07.780at it from all of those think for yourself come up with a synthesized aggregated vision that's far
00:59:12.540more educated than any one of us right because you've now aggregated all of us and that as long
00:59:17.780as each person is willing to update their thinking rather than be a tribal asshole that just doubles
00:59:22.580down because they said something in the past uh which is just absurd in my opinion if they do that
00:59:43.680So it's just going to be more of that.
00:59:46.520And they're going to get lost because their ideas don't have utility.
00:59:50.160They have acceptability, but they don't have utility.
00:59:53.400Over here, the self-learners are going to realize the only thing that you can benchmark off of, I have a goal.
00:59:58.140trying to get to that goal and i'm going to try a bunch of different things and simply assess which
01:00:03.200one of these things actually move that goal faster uh and then they'll they will finally
01:00:07.820come to the only realization that matters which is that you just need to run the scientific method
01:00:12.620recontextualize for whatever you're doing over and over and over with a very clear sense of where
01:00:17.020you're trying to end up and an ability to assess the data and never blame anybody but yourself
01:00:21.240when you don't make progress that that was great that's spot on too we'll see if people can do it
01:00:27.560Well, I think some people can, you also, you can't be stuck to what you think is right. Now. I, like I did say earlier in this podcast that if I, you know, think I'm onto something. So like diet, for instance, that I'm not going to, my mind isn't going to be changed. But if I had done something that would have changed my mind's changed number in a number of ways for the carnivore diet. But I think it's really important not to be emotionally attached to your ideas.
01:00:52.620and if your main, if what you're really after is the truth or a goal, but the truth, then if you're
01:00:59.780wrong and it adjusts your aim so that you're actually going towards the truth, you should
01:01:03.520just be happy to drop that. Right. You, as if you're not emotionally connected to these ideas,
01:01:08.820life gets a lot easier too. You can be like, Oh wow, I was wrong. Thank goodness. I know now,
01:01:13.560which is just, it's such a better way to live. I think when I was unhealthy, I was a lot more,
01:01:17.720I was young too. And when you're young, you think, you know, everything like teenagers,
01:01:20.860you think you know everything and i was like more attached to especially things i'd learned from
01:01:25.780figures of authority like i trust this person they said this all the science points in that
01:01:31.340direction that was a big one for me and so anyone who differs from that uh is stupid that's kind of
01:01:37.500how i felt i got shown an entirely different world after i used to think like that but i think
01:01:42.700dropping dropping beliefs as long as you're in the pursuit of the truth is really important and
01:01:48.320that is going to be so necessary when people are trying to juggle ai and all these new tech things
01:01:53.140coming out and changing job industry robots in their house chinese robot dogs are those do those
01:02:00.160listen to you how that seems already listening okay okay i know that and tiktok's a problem
01:02:06.220i'm a little worried about i don't like that they're like you're calling them chinese robot
01:02:11.980dogs that makes it sound scarier to me than just little like fuzzy robot dogs oh there'll be those
01:02:16.900as well i'm sure you'll eventually be able to get a japanese robot cat uh but it will be doing all
01:02:22.340the same things yeah they will come in literally every shape and size you can imagine your favorite
01:02:27.300ip will have its own ai driven robot i guarantee it dressed up as a furby or whatever uh it all of
01:02:34.700it will exist but right now the vast majority of them have a real dystopian veneer on them but
01:02:41.440that'll change for sure oh i'm gonna google that right after this better at least now they're sort
01:02:45.740nakedly, like, you know, hold on a second. But yeah, I will invite them into my house as fast
01:02:51.060as I can. That's the terrifying thing. I'm one of those psychopaths. You know what? I won't be
01:02:54.860allergic to them. Yes. Which is huge. That's huge for me. No allergies. You can come on in
01:03:01.440synthetic dog fiber. That's good. Yeah. Yeah. Oh, that's funny. Okay. So I guess you kind of gave
01:03:07.580me an outline of where you're planning on heading. So you're mostly wrapped up. Like you have this,
01:03:12.340this video game, but it's mostly focused on AI. Cause you think that's very misleading for anybody
01:03:18.340that played the game right now. So the real AI to me is a tool. And I think that that is going to
01:03:24.540make the game so much more expansive, so much better and allow indie studios like us to build
01:03:30.280a lot faster, but it could also just put us out of business overnight. And so again, highest AI risk
01:03:35.480there. What I'm trying to build is a game where there's a feedback loop that allows you to do
01:03:43.660the two things that I think people are ultimately doing in their lives. They are growing so that
01:03:49.900they can compete to gain resources that allow them to be creative and have fun. And so that to me is
01:03:56.540what I got out of reading Ready Player One was this idea of these intimate experiences that you
01:04:00.840could do the bombastic fighting and combat and all that stuff, but that wasn't the, that's not the
01:04:04.700only thing we want to do in life, right? So business for me is my pro-athletic sport. And
01:04:10.720I happen to choose a sport where you don't physically age out. Whether I blow my knee or
01:04:15.500not, it doesn't matter. I can keep building this business. So love that. Much longer careers in
01:04:20.500business, but I treat it like a game, right? And so money, sales, all that stuff, it's the score.
01:04:28.180And so, okay, cool. I'm trying to do that thing over here, but I also want to make sure that I'm
01:04:33.680creatively engaged and so i want to compete sometimes and other times i want to take the
01:04:38.200fruits of what i've created to make something beautiful that other people can enjoy and
01:04:43.560that's what we're trying to build into the game is an ability to both compete but by winning here
01:04:49.540you get things that matter in the other parts of the game and so we're starting with something
01:04:54.620that's called um an extraction royale so you're going and competing against npcs so what's known
01:05:01.600as pve and other people known as pvp so real people and computer generated characters uh computer
01:05:09.340generated characters have scarce resources you're trying to get them before the other humans get
01:05:14.100them if the other human has got it first and you can always kill the other human and take their
01:05:17.120stuff uh and so that creates a game loop that's just fun in and of itself but the stuff that you
01:05:23.240collect also allows you to go do cool things in this other more creative part of the game cool
01:05:29.180And we'll see. I'm not entirely sure that people want that game loop. So this is very experimental. And we'll see. We'll adjust as we go. But building it has been one of the most fun things I've ever done.
01:05:40.540That's great. So then were you into video games before? What made you decide? I mean, you obviously had massive success with Quest. And then you have your podcast. You have your education platform. What made you decide to get into video games? Were you just a video game buff?
01:05:56.380I, yes, but everything that I've ever done in business has all been a ruse to build the next
01:06:03.060Disney. So when I was, I remember you talking about this. Yeah, this is, it's a, I've been
01:06:09.040remarkably consistent. So when I was 12, I decided I'm going to be a filmmaker. I go to film school.
01:06:14.800Uh, I'm teaching film at one point, write a screenplay gets turned into a feature film,
01:06:19.320very horrible experience. I'm completely distraught. And, uh, I met these two very
01:06:24.440successful entrepreneurs. And they said, look, you're coming to the world with your handout.
01:06:28.100If you want to control the art, you've got to control the resources. So you should get into
01:06:32.300business and get rich. And then you can tell stories your way. I thought it would take 18
01:06:37.360months. It took 15 years, but it worked. But in the intervening 15 years, everything changed.
01:06:43.700And so movies stopped being relevant. Video games ate the entire world. And so I realized, okay,
01:06:49.840the thing I really care about is storytelling. And I now have a why for my storytelling in the
01:06:54.660beginning. I just wanted to tell stories because I thought they were cool. Now it's like, I really
01:06:58.520want to impart empowering ideas to people at scale through entertainment in the 11 to 15 year age
01:07:04.940range. Uh, and so when you look at that, you realize very quickly that games is, is so dominant
01:07:12.420a way to interact with people in that age group. It's just, you're wasting your time with anything
01:07:17.560else and so uh about three years ago now we dove into game development just under three years
01:07:24.720uh dove into game development really started building this out realized i wasted probably
01:07:29.260a year and a half just being a total idiot not having any idea what i was doing uh but got my
01:07:34.500feet under us and we now develop it probably three or four times the rate that we used to for
01:07:38.960call it a fifth the money so uh it's been wonderful but it is we have a long way to go
01:07:46.400it would take us another, I'm going to guess three years to have a game. That's like actually
01:07:52.380the game I'm describing right now. We just have pieces of it. Um, so if AI doesn't make it all,
01:07:59.180you know, just the thing that happens by a few clicks of the keyboard, uh, we'll keep going.
01:08:03.580And I, I think we've got probably five years before you've got games being created like that.
01:08:08.140Cause there's so much of the progression logic that it will have to nail. I have a feeling that's
01:08:13.000going to be harder for AI, AI will get there, but it will be harder in the beginning. How did you
01:08:18.440find people to come on board? Like where you already kind of in tech, did you like steal
01:08:23.440people from tech or are these just random people that are not random, obviously engineers and
01:08:27.680developers, et cetera. But how did you locate those people? So this is where having a YouTube
01:08:32.380channel that was designed to empower people really came in handy. And so I said, Hey, I'm starting a
01:08:38.620video game company. We have a very strong thesis about how we can positively impact the lives of
01:08:42.800people 11 to 15. I'd been putting out content for years that was all about empowering people.
01:08:47.480And so people that had encountered my content and been like, yo, you really changed my life.
01:08:51.740They came on board. So we had people from Disney, from Blizzard, Riot Games,
01:08:56.520and they helped us build the world and create all the assets and nail down what kind of game
01:09:01.480this is going to be. It was really, really extraordinary. That was also the incredibly
01:09:05.680expensive period of my life. We have since trimmed the team down dramatically. Now that we have
01:09:11.720internal knowledge on how to do this but yeah that's how we got people in the beginning okay
01:09:16.440that makes sense that's how we've got a lot of the employees for pa like everyone's been on board
01:09:21.080mostly from following my dad which is very helpful because people especially when you're trying to
01:09:26.860bring something that doesn't exist into existence it's like hey are you guys behind this idea it's
01:09:32.340just an idea maybe it's a fantastic idea but if you're not behind it you can get one person in
01:09:37.120there that's like this isn't gonna work we can't do this it's too big and they just poison everyone
01:09:41.700around them. It's crazy how, well, how ideas and businesses work when they're in their infancy.
01:09:48.220They're so fragile. You just need, you need to get people going. It's a huge part of it that
01:09:53.980people don't understand. And this is why usually the person that starts the company is not the
01:09:58.820person that scales the company because they are radically different skillsets. That maverick that
01:10:03.560can believe when nobody else can see it and they can galvanize a vision. They can get everybody
01:10:07.940around them and believe we're going to do this. And that's how you get that mass of just incredible
01:10:12.760talent. But then as you start scaling and it's like, now we're just going to do this same thing
01:10:17.520over and over rinse and repeat forever. And now it's, you know, quarterly reports and how do we
01:10:22.400make this bigger? And, uh, our growth rate ticked down by 2%. What are we going to do? And you've
01:10:27.220got bureaucracy building into the company. It's crazy. We could literally do an entire series of
01:10:32.500episodes on scaling a business it is insane okay let's let's take quest for an example so
01:10:41.160you started that but you also scaled it yeah so you were the same person to do both but then you
01:10:47.620sold it yes so it wasn't like long term you're running this and making it how but you said it
01:10:52.360was 15 years right was that from its inception to selling so that was we had started so there
01:10:57.100were three of us that started quest we had a business before that in security software so i'd
01:11:02.720start that clock back at the security software company so what's your background well my background
01:11:07.420is filming filming yeah but then you were in security because i was like i just need to get
01:11:11.780rich i thought it was only going to take 18 months get get into tech maybe that's where you make your
01:11:16.060millions come on meow uh this was like this was right after the dot-com bubble burst so this is
01:11:23.280like 2003 yeah 2003 so in 2003 i start my journey in security software and think 18 months from now
01:11:32.060we're going to sell this for millions of dollars and i'm going to go off and make my movies it's
01:11:35.200going to be amazing i used to sit before any movie i would sit there with the calculator okay if i get
01:11:38.660seven million dollars out of the sale uh what's the interest on that and like do all that and okay
01:11:42.860we could live off that we could do a movie for a million dollars and like so that was going to be
01:11:46.800the plan yeah and then 18 months comes i need another 18 months that 18 months comes and goes
01:11:51.920I need another 18 months and then realize, okay, this is going nowhere fast, or at least I'm so
01:11:56.880unhappy. I don't want to keep doing this. Uh, I was worth about $2 million on paper. I go into
01:12:01.540my partners. I'm like, look, I can't keep doing this. I am so profoundly unhappy. My wife pulled
01:12:05.580me aside and said, I'm now damaging the marriage. I'm like, uh, I just can't keep going. And they
01:12:10.280were like, hold on, hold on. We feel the same. Like we're not having fun either. What would it
01:12:14.280have to look like for the three of us to keep working together to make a very long story short?
01:12:18.120the answer ends up being quest nutrition by then i had learned that no one could guarantee success
01:12:24.240but i could guarantee the struggle so i was like okay if i know i'm going to struggle i want to
01:12:29.340stop asking the question that the internet is going to tell you to ask which is what would
01:12:33.760you do if you knew you couldn't fail that is a terrible question because the most likely outcome
01:12:39.080of anything even marginally big is that you're going to fail so i changed it to what would i do
01:12:45.200and love every day, even if I were failing. And so for three very different reasons, we decide
01:12:50.900that we're going to found quest. And I grew up in a morbidly obese family. So I was like, all right,
01:12:55.680I want to tell stories inside this company. So I don't want to give that up. And Hey, there's this
01:13:01.020new thing. We now call it social media. It was not called that back then, but this new thing is
01:13:05.160coming up. I can tell stories that we now say community we didn't back then. So I was like,
01:13:09.960I want to build this community of people that I can tell stories to their stories back to them,
01:13:15.960what we used to call mirror marketing. So I want to reflect them back to them. I don't want to,
01:13:20.740uh, the first rule of quest marketing is never talk about quest. So it was like, we always
01:13:24.820wanted to talk about them and their journey, but we, we had a whole, uh, content division inside
01:13:30.480of a protein bar company. Now this is back in like 2010. So this was like, huh? Everybody was
01:13:36.560like, what are you guys doing? This is the most absurd thing ever. And so I was like, no, no,
01:13:40.540I need to do this to fill my soul. So to get the three of us to stay together, there were just all
01:13:45.460these weird stipulations. I'm only going to build something for a thousand true fans. An idea I got
01:13:49.500from Kevin Kelly. Uh, I'm only going to do this if I can do storytelling inside the company. And so
01:13:54.040it just ended up being the right timing, understood social media was able to scale it, grow it, all
01:13:59.740that stuff. But anyway, the clock starts at awareness ultimately becomes quest. We launched
01:14:04.620Quest in 2010, but we had been working on it since like 2008.
01:14:09.180And so launch in 2010 and then I exit in 2016.
01:14:15.140Uh, so, um, yeah, it was a absolutely crazy rocket ship of a ride.
01:14:21.420In our first three years alone, we grew by 57,000%.