00:00:00.000Hands down, Nahid Nenshi, the leader of the Alberta NDP, is the most incompetent NDP leader in the
00:00:07.780entire country. And I include the maritime NDP leaders when I say that, who mainly run parties
00:00:14.260with absolutely zero seats. At least they probably somewhat understand the provinces that they're
00:00:20.600running a party in. They just aren't part of the political zeitgeist and so don't really have the
00:00:25.280opportunity to win a seat. Nahid Nenshi doesn't understand Alberta at all. He thinks he can become
00:00:31.700premier basically by just getting the votes of hyper-progressive people in downtown areas
00:00:37.500and public sector union workers, which maybe puts his party at 30% of the vote. 30% isn't even that
00:00:45.160unrealistic at this point for the NDP to get in the next election. This was the last pullout from
00:00:51.440Leger which mind you has a very left lean to it they tend to over pull people in urban areas and
00:00:58.180it's no different in this poll and even then they have the Danielle Smith UCP leading by nine points
00:01:04.54049 to 40 with another 11 percent of people undecided and that 11 percent is going to become
00:01:11.660relevant very quickly here because the NDP are going to be even more challenged in the next
00:01:16.860provincial election on their left flank. And it's actually because, or actually somewhat to their
00:01:22.580right flank, because the NDP is way too far left for this province, and Nahid Nenshi doesn't seem
00:01:28.240to understand. This is something that he thought was a good idea to do. So he was in Vancouver the
00:01:34.400other day because the Ajikan was in town. He's an Ismaili Muslim, so he wanted to go see him.
00:01:39.780Whatever, he can go fill his boots. That doesn't bother me. It's like Catholics going to see the
00:01:43.760Pope. As a Baptist, I don't understand it, but whatever. Do what you want. He posted this.
00:01:49.500It was great to catch up with Premier Eby in Vancouver over the weekend. We both attended
00:01:54.400an event with HH the Ajakon. Why in the world, why in the name of Chekhov would you post that?0.89
00:02:04.800He has an approval rating, David Eby, of only 28% in his own province. And by the way,
00:02:12.680he is extremely anti-Alberta oil and gas. That was ostensibly the reason why Nahid Nenshi had
00:02:20.900distanced himself from the new federal NDP leader Avi Lewis, because Avi Lewis is just a full-on
00:02:26.400anti-oil and gas activist. What do you think David Hebe is, man? Yeah, he's the premier and he acts a
00:02:32.700little more professional than Avi Lewis does, but Avi is running a party of five seats at the moment
00:02:37.920or so, five or six seats. So, of course, he can kind of be a little bit of a hair-on-fire activist.
00:02:44.000David Eby is the same guy. He used to be a hair-on-fire activist, and now he just has
00:02:49.080professionalized his opposition to energy resources. He absolutely opposes them, too,
00:02:54.860but Nahid Nenshi, I guess, is trying to, like, associate him with success by taking a photo with
00:02:59.860an NDP Premier. Dude, I don't like the guy, but go to Manitoba and take a photo of the Wab Canoe.
00:03:05.680At least the grassroots NDP types kind of like him, you know, not in the way that they seem to despise Nahid Nenshi.
00:03:13.640But here is the problem that they are going to have.
00:03:16.620Because there are a lot of NDP voters from the 2023 election who maybe they'll never vote conservative.
00:03:24.100But they also understand this province kind of does run on oil and gas and you can't just run against that.
00:03:30.400And they're probably going to be going over to more moderate left parties that at least understand that we shouldn't burn down our own industries.
00:03:40.200So, you know, Bonnie Critchley, the woman who came in second place in Battle River Crowfoot when Pierre Polyev was running for that seat in Alberta in the by-election?
00:03:50.660She only got like 17% of the vote or whatever, mostly because left-wingers all voted for her, even though she was an independent.
00:03:56.880but she is now going to be running for the progressive Tory party. It used to be the
00:04:02.180Alberta party. They changed their name to whatever they could get as close to the progressive
00:04:06.820conservative brand as possible with. But the thing is, although I know a lot of conservatives in UCP
00:04:12.200politics are very scared of the appeal of the progressive Tories splitting their vote,
00:04:17.300it's not going to happen. One, vote splitting doesn't matter. There's no such thing as vote
00:04:22.040splitting unless you're doing a crappy job and the NDP are doing a really crappy job. That's why the
00:04:27.680progressive Tory party is not going to take a single vote away from the UCP relative to the NDP.
00:04:34.120On net, yes, the UCP might lose a few votes here and there. The vast majority of votes being lost
00:04:40.240from the NDP are going to be coming, or the vast majority of votes being gained by the Tories are
00:04:45.400going to be getting taken from the NDP. And the Alberta Liberals are probably also going to be
00:04:50.520taking votes from the NDP because Mark Carney's brand is quite good right now. And even though
00:04:55.400it's the incompetent provincial liberals, they will start siphoning off votes. So I'm having a
00:05:01.120fantastic time because as you may know, I'm actually going to be running for a UCP nomination
00:05:06.100in the riding of Calgary Curry. If you want to vote for me in that riding and you happen to live
00:05:10.140there, sign up at my website, pinned at the top of the comments, WyattClayfool.com. But let's get
00:05:15.800back to this polling result, because check this out. When you ask people who they voted for last
00:05:21.160time and who's considering another party or an independent candidate, which is mostly probably
00:05:26.520made up of liberal voters and progressive Tory voters in terms of what they're choosing, maybe
00:05:32.160some Alberta Republicans, but that's pretty small. When it comes to the federal vote, federal liberals
00:05:38.740are going to be voting 15% for another party, which probably means they're going to be voting
00:05:44.240for the Alberta Liberals or the Progressive Tories. Right now, the Conservatives, yes,
00:05:51.120they're only capturing 7% or they're capturing 13% of federal Liberals, but that's a lot
00:05:57.300considering they're holding on to 87% of federal Conservatives who are by far the most popular
00:06:04.040party in Alberta. The NDP is only capturing 72% of federal Liberal voters. And remember,
00:06:11.460although they're getting 96% of federal NDP voters, there are no such thing as federal NDP
00:06:16.600voters in Alberta. There was a single seat that the federal NDP holds in Alberta, and it's Heather
00:06:23.940McPherson's crazy Hamas riding of Edmonton Strathcona. So what is the actual benefit of0.99
00:06:32.440Nahid Nenshi leaning so left going into the next Alberta provincial election? His strategy seems to
00:06:38.820be that if he can smear danielle smith as secretly being a separatist that somehow he will win but
00:06:44.920the problem is at sometime in october if you support independence i absolutely get it i understand a
00:06:50.840lot of the arguments the support is just not there and and frankly too many people in the movement
00:06:55.540are kind of disorganized and they're not really good at connecting with people who don't already
00:06:59.860agree with them it's probably going to get in the ballpark of 25 at the low end up to the high end
00:07:05.220maybe 32 33 percent but it's going to be a dead issue when the next provincial election rolls
00:07:10.740around in fall of 2027 and but at the same time as that the ndp have actually been embracing a
00:07:19.460referendum question that will stick with them into the next election because they have been backing
00:07:26.820this ridiculous petition for a referendum question by corb lund a washed up old country singer
00:07:33.700trying to ban coal so courtney thoreau here from i believe it's a global news or ctv or something
00:07:40.740like that he says coreblund officially files a judicial review challenging the chief electoral
00:07:46.500officer's decision to deem the water not coal citizens initiative unsuccessful the reason he
00:07:52.740argues the decision was unreasonable procedurally unfair and inconsistent with the purpose of alberta
00:07:58.980Citizens Initiative Act. Now, do you know why this is so funny? It's because the Alberta NDP
00:08:05.520have basically been arguing that the judge's decision blocking this petition should be
00:08:10.480overturned, even though he was late with his signatures, he had a high number of people who
00:08:16.020whose signatures were not valid, and it was thrown out. But the thing is, the Alberta NDP at the same
00:08:22.040time was trying to invalidate the pro-independence uh forever stay free alberta petition they were
00:08:29.480saying that one was wrong and the the original judge was right for shutting it down because it
00:08:33.720could violate indigenous rights somehow so nahit nenshi was backing shutting down a citizen's
00:08:40.120petition based on a ridiculous ruling by a judge that was later overturned but he has been backing
00:08:46.440Corb Lund openly trying to violate the already fairly easy standards to getting a referendum
00:08:52.340question put on the ballot because he's an ideological radical who hates coal.
00:08:57.240Do the NDP think they're going to win more seats running against coal?
00:09:02.380It turns out there's a lot of constituencies in Alberta who rely on coal as a form of power
00:09:11.240These people don't understand what coal actually does.
00:09:14.200they simply live in cities and they don't understand it, so they want to shut it down.
00:09:19.120We have the NDP literally running in favor of safe supply drugs. You know the thing that ruined
00:09:23.920places like Vancouver? Yes, let's run on safe supply drugs and banning coal and reopening
00:09:29.740the Schumer Injection Center. Yeah, that's a good idea, guys. How about we run against parental
00:09:35.180rights? Oh, and also, let's make sure to also imply that we're going to defund charter schools
00:09:42.200Because apparently the public schools are underfunded, even though the charter schools only get a small portion of what public schools get per student.
00:09:51.240No doubt, I can see a winning coalition coming here, guys.
00:09:54.720No, don't worry. The progressive Tory party and the Alberta Liberal Party is not going to dull Nenshi's momentum to winning the premiership of Alberta.
00:10:05.320I have no clue why he was able to stay in as leader after the water main break story started coming out.
00:10:13.760So he was mayor for 12 years, and then his protege, Gondek, was mayor for another four years in the city of Calgary.
00:10:20.520And over that time, he put in basically no money to fixing water infrastructure in the city and keeping it maintained.
00:10:28.140Gondek got in, and she actually somewhat started fixing it because some of the issues started coming out when she was mayor, but not nearly enough did she do.
00:10:35.320And now we have almost every other month a major water main break, basically preventing people from using their showers or having water in their homes at all.
00:10:46.860And this guy is going to decide to move seats from his current Edmonton Strathcona provincial seat that he took over from Rachel Notley.
00:10:54.960and now he's going to run in the city of Calgary reminding everyone that he is the water main
00:11:01.620bandit who made you have to go without showering for a week or you had to go and borrow a shower
00:11:06.940from a friend's house like good I am so happy he's doing these things it's like he's trying to lose
00:11:15.860but now I want to move on to some other things the NDP are saying right now because again their
00:11:21.000their ability to not understand this province is quite something. And then I need to move on to a
00:11:26.600pro-independence complaint of Alberta Premier Danielle Smith that's kind of popped up in the
00:11:31.100last day or two. And I'm not trying to do apologetics for her. Even though I'm running
00:11:34.540for a UCP nomination, I'm critical of a lot of elements of the MOU with Liberal Prime Minister
00:11:41.380Mark Carney. There are aspects of it where Carney's getting way too much of what he wants
00:11:46.040in exchange for kind of a vague promise that he's going to follow through with a pipeline.
00:11:51.000which he doesn't really even need to do anything for until his next term just way too many ways
00:11:56.680where he can kind of drive a truck through gaps in this agreement so that he doesn't actually have
00:12:01.080to give alberta anything so that's to preface it's not like i'm just going to make excuses for her
00:12:05.940but there were some alberta independence guys attacking her in ways that i just did not think
00:12:12.200were fair because social context really determines what a premier will sometimes say on an issue at a
00:12:17.980time. And it's not because they're lying. It's because you aren't always in attack mode when it
00:12:22.260comes to your political opponents when you're doing a press conference with them. But here's
00:12:26.620something the Alberta NDP are trying to attack Danielle Smith with. And from my own insights
00:12:33.340into the riding I'm running in, Calgary-Curry, again, if you live in southwest Calgary in that
00:12:38.520area, sign up at my website, whiteclaypool.com, pinned at the top of the comments. But Sharif
00:12:44.280Haji here says, who's from the Alberta NDP. Yeah, he's an MLA. I was wondering if he's a
00:12:50.240communications director or an MLA up in Edmonton, no doubt. He said, today's announcement of private
00:12:56.400pay preventative services won't solve wait times. It will make them worse. Daniel Smith and her UCP
00:13:02.780government have given up on fixing public health care. They have thrown in the towel and are asking
00:13:07.660us to pay instead no they are not i watched i was i was doing something really boring and decided to
00:13:14.700watch an announcement on cpac the announcement is is that if you go in for a breast cancer screening
00:13:22.140or colon cancer screening or some other cancer screening or other you know screenings for
00:13:27.980diseases and whatnot if it is positive if you find out you do have something because you suspected it
00:13:34.940they will pay for the costs of the screening that you got it is to encourage people to go to private
00:13:40.460clinics and get some of the initial consultations of the doctor done on their own time rather than
00:13:47.340burdening the public health care system with it this will reduce wait times and by the way she's
00:13:53.420already been reducing wait times the alberta government has actually been doing a fairly
00:13:58.620decent job from reducing wait times since she became premier in 2023 the wait times for things
00:14:04.300like knee surgeries and other sort of like hip replacements the things that are typically used
00:14:09.180as bellwethers for how the system is operating they've been getting better over time and i know
00:14:14.460a lot of people from surveying people in the riding i'm planning on running in and elsewhere
00:14:19.740privatized health care options are actually startlingly popular with people that you would
00:14:25.340assume would be like an elbows up liberal type even mark carney is somewhat embracing it now
00:14:31.020Now, health care is a responsibility of the provinces, but there was an announcement from the federal government that they're going to let provinces experiment far more when it comes to how they plan on delivering health care rather than trying to strictly enforce the idea that you can't offer pretty much anything but the most basic clinic services outside of the public health care system.
00:14:53.500Like, guys, I don't know what to tell you. Find a winning issue. Because right now, the Alberta NDP's issues are like $15 off, you know, we're going to raise our $15 minimum wage to $17. Okay, like, I don't really get it. But that's really it.
00:15:11.720And they're also running on stuff like this. Here's another post from Courtney Thoreau here saying, Treaty 8 First Nations of Alberta changes name to Treaty 8 Sovereign Nations in response to what they call unprecedented political climate, the climate being fostered by the current Alberta government.
00:15:29.260oh my goodness all of the just reconciliation industry aligned bands in Alberta are just
00:15:37.160coming after Danielle Smith for having let the referendum go forward but it's not because they
00:15:42.640actually think the referendum is going to succeed it's not and if anyone's claiming that it's going
00:15:47.860to succeed guys they're lying to you it's just not popular it's not that it will never be popular
00:15:53.740again I don't support independence but I'm not here to just poo-poo people and say that it's
00:15:58.320not going to work i'm saying that the movement itself hasn't won any battles yet and going for
00:16:03.880full independence vote right away is kind of a bad move you haven't won the pension fight yet
00:16:09.520you haven't won any other sovereignty fights yet so why try and stretch people by getting them to
00:16:15.580vote for independence which is obviously going to be a non-starter and is too big of a concept for
00:16:21.300people to understand when you haven't even taken other moves towards it alberta doesn't even collect
00:16:25.580its own taxes yet. So you can't just jump from the top of the stairs to the bottom and hope you're
00:16:30.660going to win. But all of this stuff is like the only thing the Alberta NDP is truly running on
00:16:35.460right now. The fight against Danielle Smith and the separatist referendum implying that somehow
00:16:41.000she's some secret separatist. Oh, Danielle Smith's trying to secretly take us out of Canada. No,
00:16:47.100none of these people actually believe that. The reason why they're attacking her so much is they're
00:16:51.460mad the referendum is going forward because it will kill off the issue for 2027. And then they
00:16:57.240will actually have to find a real issue to run on. And no, you can't run on just spending more
00:17:02.740money on services in a province like Alberta. This is not Ontario. This is not British Columbia.
00:17:09.400The NDP cannot hope to get close to the seat count they need to win by simply saying we're
00:17:13.860going to raise minimum wage and give you more benefits and, you know, hire more teachers and
00:17:18.260build more schools. Plus, the Alberta government's already doing those things. So what? Open drug
00:17:24.520sites in people's communities? I'm going to tell you that that's not very popular. That is actually
00:17:29.440why I probably have a decent advantage of going into Calgary Curry, because the east side of the
00:17:34.060riding is where Janet Aramanco, the incumbent NDP MLA, won like by 25% points. Like on the east
00:17:41.640side of the riding, she was really running the score up. And then on the west side of the riding,
00:17:44.960she only won by like a couple points in those polling areas and actually the UCP candidate
00:17:49.540even won a couple of the polls but the problem is the east side of the riding she was able to
00:17:55.260make a solid pitch because the drug crisis was really bad there and she could like show up and
00:17:59.440act like well you know you can trust me because I'm a drug site advocate and I know how to reduce
00:18:04.040the amount of I can I can deal with the addictions issue in this province but now that UCP has a deal
00:18:09.600dealt with the addictions problem and it's way better in that part of town and so the there's
00:18:14.660no pitch left for the NDP anymore. I actually don't know what they can even run on at this
00:18:20.160point other than they don't like Danielle Smith. But there's a lot of people now criticizing
00:18:24.320Danielle Smith for this moment at a recent press conference with Prime Minister Mark Carney
00:18:29.720claiming that she has now given up the fight against equalization. I'm going to let the clip
00:18:34.940play first, then I'm going to get into the content of it in a second. We move towards the referendum
00:18:39.580in October, some of the separation angst, if you will, is driven by concerns over equalization
00:18:45.220payments and the feeling and the belief that Albertans are being taken advantage of. Certainly
00:18:49.320there's some disinformation when it comes to equalization, but do you think that the
00:18:53.420program should be reviewed before its renewal in just a few years? Well, thanks for giving me the
00:18:59.080opportunity to lobby the Prime Minister on this. I've lobbied my fellow premiers. If the economy's
00:19:03.720growing and everybody's doing better, they should be less reliant on the equalization program. I
00:19:08.080pitch to my fellow premiers and not my pitch to the prime minister is let's just uh get rid of
00:19:13.000that escalator let's equalize to the point of need and then let's take the excess that's in
00:19:19.420that fund and distribute it back to the provinces on an equal per capita basis that'll help us with
00:19:23.680our funding pressures and i think it will be a demonstration that just because there's extra
00:19:28.200money you don't just cut a check to ontario who clearly doesn't need it they're a powerful
00:19:32.580economy they shouldn't be getting equalization from smaller provinces so that's been my
00:19:37.620consistent position we think ultimately we should change the equalization program so that we look
00:19:43.780at per capita spending as well we shouldn't be over equalizing provinces so they can pay for
00:19:48.980more generous social programs that we're able to afford here ourselves i haven't made much headway
00:19:53.620yet with my fellow premiers on who are the recipient provinces but i can tell you that the
00:19:58.340the ones who are kind of the net contributors i feel as well that we've got to get a bit more
00:20:03.060fairness into the program so apparently this answer is driving a bunch of anti-daniel smith
00:20:09.540hysteria because apparently within this clip there is some line that people are misconstruing
00:20:16.260as her being in favor of equalization her point yes she basically says that equalization should
00:20:23.700effectively be bringing up provinces to a minimum standard of public financing for their programs
00:20:31.220and for their health care system and education systems and public transit fair enough because
00:20:35.620the whole original idea of equalization is that there are some provinces that just because
00:20:41.700the industry isn't very robust there and the economy is sluggish that maybe the canadian
00:20:46.420government when it redistributes the taxes that people pay to the provincial and federal governments
00:20:51.140that they can give a little bit more to pi or they can give a little bit more to nova scotia
00:20:56.900or to manitoba when it's not doing very well and what danielle smith there said is that we have to
00:21:02.420stop this from being an escalator where you just keep getting more money because you simply have0.66
00:21:07.700less than what alberta has because we have this stupid formula now where it's like what what is0.81
00:21:12.580the average province have for social spending well that's how much equalization that we're
00:21:17.220going to bring the other provinces up to after that so basically they take what the current
00:21:22.180provincial public funding is or per capita funding is for public services, what the average before
00:21:30.420redistribution is. And then it redistributes all the other provinces who are below the average
00:21:34.980up to the average. But that's stupid because obviously Alberta is a very rich province and0.98
00:21:39.780it artificially makes the average far higher. And so now we're like paying PEI and New Brunswick0.99
00:21:46.000and we're paying Manitoba and Quebec massive amounts of money that they really don't need.
00:21:51.780we should be covering basic services and that's it and that's what daniel smith's point there is
00:21:56.680by the way equalization exists in every single country now the way canada does equalization
00:22:02.700is terrible and that needs to end if more more economically destitute parts of the country
00:22:09.820are given some money to get on their feet to try and bring back industry maybe even giving them
00:22:15.640ability to lower their taxes to try and bring business back that's a good idea this happens
00:22:20.860everywhere, even within your own province. Do you think that Calgary pays more in taxes than
00:22:27.160Edmonton does? I can guarantee you Edmonton gets a higher share of the money of this province. It
00:22:34.120gets a disproportionate amount of money compared to how much their taxpayers pay compared to what
00:22:38.500the average Calgarian is paying. At the same time, I'm sorry, but we're not going to run an
00:22:44.600anti-equalization within Alberta petition demanding that somewhere like Pincher Creek
00:22:49.680doesn't get so much money handed to it because they're not paying enough taxes to justify it.
00:22:53.660That's what the system should be. But the problem is it's become like some equalization platinum
00:23:00.000plus program where it doesn't matter how much Quebec's economy grows or it doesn't really
00:23:05.140matter what's going on in the economy. They are always going to get another like $950 per person
00:23:10.440per year from Alberta simply because we have better services than they do. It's like, well,
00:23:16.020in part, we have better services, not just because of our oil and gas industry, but we have better
00:23:20.460services because we actually have lower taxes and regulations. And we bring businesses, we bring
00:23:27.480business and investment into the province. That's why. But there were content creators and other
00:23:32.980sort of media figures who I even like. I really like Alberta Proud debt, really great guy. I like0.96
00:23:37.860Marty up north. I like Derek Fildebrandt, who runs the Western Standard. But Fildebrandt made a video
00:23:42.720about saying, well, where'd the real Danielle Smith go?
00:23:45.400And other people are saying that Danielle Smith's betraying her base0.67
00:28:37.160Some of the maritime provinces go down slightly, go up slightly.
00:28:39.900and then Alberta's crime rate goes down 8% in a single year
00:28:43.900after having previously gone down the year before that and the year before that.
00:28:48.400The federal government lives vicariously through Alberta.
00:28:52.480And to make one pitch to people who are pro-independence on why I'm not pro-independence,
00:28:57.960I'm not pro-independence because I don't do what Quebec wants me to do.
00:29:01.700And you have to realize Quebec would kind of like nothing better than for Alberta to leave.
00:29:06.680They want to bully you out because they're better than you.
00:29:09.900Yes, would Quebec suffer if Alberta left? Sure. The polling really isn't there anyways. But the thing is that Quebec has a crappy economy overall. They don't really care if the economy gets worse. Their province is being run by communists who simply hate the West.
00:29:24.660They simply hate Western conservatives, and they would rather have Alberta leave so that they get to be even more important.