The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - February 19, 2025


The Liberal party has a BIG money problems! (Bad leadership fundraising numbers)

Topics
money in Liberal leadership race liberal fundraising problems
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Mark Carney Ruby Dalla Laurie Goldstein Pascal Saint-Ange Scott Aitchison Frank Bayless Erin O'Toole Angus Reid Trudeau Gould Chris Dude
Mark Carney's radical statements are coming back to HAUNT him! Liberals will fall hard after their FAKE polling surge!

Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

162.83

Word count

1,605

Sentence count

106

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Toxicity

4

sentences flagged

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, I talk about how weak a politician Mark Carney is, and how much money he needs to raise to win the leadership race. I also talk about the fact that the Liberals need a lot more than $1.9 million to defeat Trudeau.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 While I've been covering the Liberal Party leadership race, one of the things I keep
00:00:04.980 emphasizing is how weak of a politician Mark Carney is, despite the fact that he is the
00:00:10.940 frontrunner. I don't dispute he's the frontrunner, and he is still very likely to win the leadership
00:00:16.680 race after at least one, two, or three ballots. The problem is that if you want it to be a
00:00:23.340 coronation and have a lot of momentum behind the Liberal Party, if Carney wins, you want
00:00:28.100 it to be a big first ballot win. And when there's polling out there like this of only Liberal
00:00:33.700 members and he's only 9% ahead of Chrystia Freeland, that's a really big problem. What's also a really
00:00:41.220 big problem is just the lack of money in the Liberal Party leadership race. While Carney
00:00:47.040 definitely has brought in a lot of money, all the other campaigns are basically only throwing
00:00:52.640 around half dollars, in such a way that was not true about the 2022 and 2020 Conservative Party
00:01:00.880 leadership races. Here's a chart of the interim fundraising returns. Carney brought in $1.913
00:01:09.680 million from 11,260 donors. I believe that makes it $169 on average for each donation.
00:01:18.880 Gould, in fact, actually beat Chrystia Freeland in her fundraising. She brought in $236,000 from
00:01:26.000 1,375 donors. Freeland brought in $227,000 from 332 donors. I ran the numbers. That's like $668
00:01:34.480 average donation. Frank Bayless, $227,000. So he tied Freeland and Ruby Dalla, $145,000 from 107 donors.
00:01:43.920 And so I believe that means Ruby Dalla is basically only in this race because some big donors want her 0.89
00:01:49.280 to be in the race, probably to mess with other people. But the thing is here, when you actually
00:01:54.880 compare this to other leadership races, Scott Aitchison, who was not even a factor in 2022,
00:02:03.520 raised more money than all these people except Mark Carney. I guess you could say it's kind of
00:02:08.600 impressive. Mark Carney's brought in this much money on short notice. But how long a leadership
00:02:14.280 race goes on for doesn't really bring in more dollars. There's a fixed amount of people who
00:02:18.760 will even consider donating, and they will donate during the period of that race. And most of the
00:02:23.960 money comes in near the start. And when you actually compare it to like Aaron O'Toole, he was bringing
00:02:31.080 like three, $4 million. I think like Pure Polly have literally brought in $10 million into his 22
00:02:39.880 leadership campaign. And we have a combined total, not even of half of what Pure Polly have brought 0.75
00:02:47.000 in 22. Did it go on for longer? Sure. But again, towards the end of your campaign, you're not going
00:02:53.880 to get in a lot of extra dollars because people know that you can't really go to anything else by the
00:02:59.240 end. And this is what I mean by the liberals have a big money problem is that if I am to believe the
00:03:06.120 polls, maybe we'll pull some of those up right now. If I'm to believe the polls that the liberals are
00:03:11.080 currently skyrocketing and that they're going to catch the conservatives. And this isn't just
00:03:16.200 a support fluke in the moment because of how, you know, the fact that people were depressed about
00:03:21.560 having Trudeau as leader. Now that they're not, they're answering polls disproportionately. If I'm to
00:03:25.960 believe this chart is true, where the liberals back in December are only at 16% by, according to Angus
00:03:33.560 Reid and the NDP are at 21%. And as of two months later, the NDP is at 10 and the, and the liberals are
00:03:41.000 at 37. I'd need to see the money work out to that. I don't think that you're going to see the liberals
00:03:48.920 actually catch up to the conservatives in fundraising. And that is going to be a really big problem for
00:03:55.960 them when it comes to a general election, because the liberal party and the NDP are broke. They do
00:04:02.520 not have a lot of money. If you look at their fundraising numbers in previous years, I've covered
00:04:07.720 it whenever different quarterly numbers come out. The liberals are bringing in like per year, 3 million,
00:04:14.200 maybe 4 million, 5 million. The conservatives will bring in $24 million. And then the NDP,
00:04:22.280 I believe only brings in like two and a half or 3 million. It's utterly pathetic. And so these guys 1.00
00:04:28.360 are not just, are not just going to have problems fielding candidates in every riding because so many
00:04:34.440 people are going to know that the NDP and the liberals have no chance in more than half the country,
00:04:39.480 but they're not even going to have the proper resources to fight that election. Because, you
00:04:45.160 know, understand this, the liberals need to show that they're a big brand. The conservatives and
00:04:51.240 liberals typically run ads almost all year long, not all the time, but they will trunch out ads on
00:04:57.880 YouTube and television every once in a while, attacking their opponents. They have big staffs to
00:05:02.760 pay for, so that already cost them millions of dollars a year. I doubt if the Liberal Party of
00:05:09.080 Canada has more than a couple million dollars on hand right now, and this Liberal Party leadership
00:05:14.200 race is not bringing in all that much stuff. It's not indicating that Canadians are going to really
00:05:20.280 open their wallets up for these people. And I think that this was a good point made by my friend
00:05:26.680 Chris, the great Canadian bagel. Here's just what he says. He says, there are really three options here.
00:05:34.920 The Liberal Party internals are still terrible. Two, the old guard is being purged. Three, coincidentally,
00:05:41.400 a lot of high profile members have gotten good non-government offers at the same time. And he is
00:05:47.880 commenting on Laurie Goldstein here saying that Heritage Minister Pascal Saint-Oge will not seek
00:05:53.640 re-election source. So again, why are all these Liberals fleeing the ship right now if the polling
00:06:03.640 is so good? You could say that, well, they want to do something else or whatever. Maybe this all
00:06:08.920 disinterests them. I really doubt it. It happens to be their career. And most people are going to stick
00:06:14.680 around even if they're in opposition because they can do very lazy work. They just have to say whatever
00:06:19.800 the government's doing is bad. And then they can go home and make almost like $200,000 a year to do
00:06:25.720 that. Very easy job, but all these people are suddenly leaving. And some of them are even leaving
00:06:31.000 in Montreal, which indicates to me their internal numbers in Montreal probably show the Bloc Québécois
00:06:36.600 and the NDP doing decently well. I actually don't believe the NDP is only at 10% because that's
00:06:42.920 just not like the NDP to do. And again, I'm going to emphasize that Mark Carney is not a good politician.
00:06:51.560 He is not a good leader. Here's a clip from Judo News of him talking to a crowd of supporters.
00:06:58.840 And his crowds have gotten more impressive over time. But when you minus out all the media, it's a,
00:07:03.400 you know, what a local UCP MLA could get out on it or like on a short notice afternoon. But here's him
00:07:11.080 trying to bad mouth the Americans, because that's, I guess, what Canadians want. 0.91
00:07:18.120 We are all Canadians, but all different identities, well, we're all Canadians. And we celebrate that.
00:07:27.640 Dude, 95% of that room is like older white people voting for you. 0.66
00:07:33.080 America is a melting pot. In America, diversity is now an insult. And it soon will be a crime.
00:07:41.320 To promote it. That's not a lie. That's a reality. That's what's happening.
00:07:47.080 No, that is most definitely a lie. You're not going to get criminalized for supporting diversity
00:07:51.560 in the United States. You would be criminalized if you were stealing government taxpayer dollars
00:07:57.480 to push DEI in a department that is not allowed to do it, basically every department, because it's
00:08:03.960 detrimental to the actual mission of the US government. And in fact, racist when it's brought to
00:08:09.560 its logical conclusion that DEI people tend to bring it to.
00:08:14.680 It's a shame. Maybe they'll snap out of it eventually, but that's what they are doing.
00:08:20.600 And this is why he's not going to do well. The man cannot drop progressive left-wing mantras that
00:08:27.400 diversity is our strength, that we need to... It doesn't really matter, but everything is just
00:08:35.640 about the climate. The environment is our best asset. The children are our future and whatnot,
00:08:42.600 and that's why we need to let them live and let live or whatever. It's like, guys, at some point,
00:08:48.600 people just want their taxes lowered. And Mark Carney ain't lowering anyone's taxes. He's not...
00:08:53.960 Everyone hates the woke crap. And what he's going to do, and I think it's great for the conservatives, 0.99
00:08:59.640 he's going to give the conservatives a great line of basically being able to say, let's stop
00:09:04.920 all of the woke garbage in government, because Mark Carney has made it his brand that he is going 0.90
00:09:10.600 to keep this government focused on progressive nonsense rather than the actual safety and 0.98
00:09:17.480 economic health of Canadians. Anyways, that should be it for me today, guys. A bit of a later video
00:09:25.000 today. I was like... I slept in, and then I did some stuff today, and then I slept in again. I felt like
00:09:29.960 I got poisoned. So hopefully we're over that. But if you guys want to support the channel, make sure to
00:09:35.480 like it, subscribe, leave a comment, do all that great stuff, and I'll be back tomorrow.