TRIGGERnometry - October 05, 2026


Andy Burnham Will Save Britain โ€” He Just Has to Destroy It First - Konstantin Kisin

Hosted by
Francis Foster Konstantin Kisin
Guests
Konstantin Kisin
Mentioned
Andy Burnham Victoria Sovereigns Robert Pattinson R. Andy Westminster
๏ผ‚Andy Burnham Is Away With The Fairies๏ผ‚ โ€“ Andrew Neil

Episode Stats


Length

8 minutes

Words per minute

170.4

Word count

1,447

Sentence count

114

Harmful content

Hate speech

10

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 I want to talk about something that men collectively pretend isn't an issue and collectively know
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00:00:57.540 comparison. That's 20% discount code again is trigonometry at sheath.com. Andy Burnham will
00:01:05.180 save Britain. He just has to destroy it first. Last Tuesday, Andy Burnham stood up at the Labour
00:01:14.800 conference in Liverpool and talked for an hour without the usual Westminster anesthetic. He
00:01:19.960 talked about his dad dying. He talked about being the seventh prime minister in 10 years
00:01:24.620 and what that says about a country
00:01:26.760 that can no longer hold a government together
00:01:29.120 for longer than a mortgage fix.
00:01:30.680 He announced a national care service.
00:01:32.940 He told everyone watching that VAT would vanish
00:01:35.500 from their bills by last Thursday, and it did.
00:01:38.580 If you've spent the last decade
00:01:40.060 listening to British politicians
00:01:41.720 deliver focus group slurry,
00:01:44.220 you could be forgiven for being swept away
00:01:46.320 with the enthusiasm.
00:01:47.780 The man can communicate.
00:01:49.360 It would be easy and satisfying
00:01:50.940 to dismiss the excitement his speech has generated
00:01:53.680 by reducing it to R. Andy being good at PR.
00:01:57.860 But let's be honest, Burnham is not succeeding
00:02:00.000 because the public has been hoodwinked.
00:02:02.180 He's succeeding because he's giving the people
00:02:04.480 what they want.
00:02:05.640 Many on the right like to pretend that Britain
00:02:08.200 is a nation of frustrated Thatcherites
00:02:11.000 straining against a socialist establishment.
00:02:14.120 And sure, if you poll the British people in the abstract,
00:02:17.780 support for higher taxes and spending has actually fallen
00:02:20.980 and is at its lowest since 2013.
00:02:23.680 But ask about anything specific and the picture inverts.
00:02:27.900 72% want higher taxes on the top 5%.
00:02:30.900 61% will pay more themselves for the NHS.
00:02:34.500 82% want water nationalized, 76% the railways,
00:02:38.620 including 78% and 66% of reformed voters respectively.
00:02:43.200 The same is true for wealth taxes, mansion taxes, etc.
00:02:46.080 The British public is against tax and spend in general
00:02:48.940 and in favor of it in every particular,
00:02:52.180 which is the single most useful fact in British politics
00:02:54.900 if you happen to be Andy Burnham.
00:02:56.900 He's simply the first politician with the emotional range
00:02:59.660 to leverage this without sounding
00:03:01.480 like he's reading a spreadsheet.
00:03:02.960 So he will get his way and it will not work. 0.99
00:03:05.640 It will not work because Britain
00:03:07.260 does not have a distribution problem.
00:03:09.800 It has a production problem.
00:03:11.360 We already have the highest tax burden
00:03:13.560 in post-war history at 36% of GDP,
00:03:16.820 which is set to rise to 38% by 2030,
00:03:20.080 according to the OBR.
00:03:21.040 We are not a low-tax country that has been starving the state.
00:03:24.900 The top 1% of income taxpayers earn around 13% of all income and pay 29% of all income tax.
00:03:32.740 The top 10% pay roughly 60% of it.
00:03:35.780 Those figures have risen sharply.
00:03:37.640 In 1999-2000, the top 1% paid 21% and the top 10 paid 50%.
00:03:42.660 The British tax system has become steadily more progressive over 25 years, not less.
00:03:47.640 Whatever has gone wrong, the rich not paying the fair share, is not it.
00:03:52.380 Our GDP per capita is lower today than it was in 2007.
00:03:56.840 We're poorer than Germany, Australia, America, Singapore, and Switzerland, 1.00
00:04:01.080 and we're being caught by Poland. 1.00
00:04:03.180 You cannot redistribute your way out of this 0.94
00:04:05.540 any more than you can drink your way out of a hangover.
00:04:08.000 Meanwhile, the arithmetic is getting worse on its own.
00:04:10.960 We have an aging population and a birth rate of around 1.4 children per woman,
00:04:15.960 well below replacement.
00:04:17.080 Every year, more people draw on the state and fewer people fund it.
00:04:21.700 To his credit, Burnham has grasped at least half of this.
00:04:24.900 Ending the triple lock from 2030 is the first honest thing
00:04:27.920 a prime minister has said about pensions in 15 years.
00:04:31.300 And he deserves credit for saying it to a Labour conference rather than a think tank.
00:04:36.160 But Burnham plans to use that money to fund consumption, not production.
00:04:40.360 He is reshuffling the deck, not printing more cards.
00:04:43.420 There is precisely one way out of the demographic trap.
00:04:46.580 and that is productivity. Fewer workers producing dramatically more value per hour. That requires
00:04:52.560 cheap energy, aggressive adoption of technology and an economy in which work pays and the people
00:04:58.840 who could be working actually are. Now look at what we're doing instead. We have the most expensive
00:05:04.320 industrial electricity in the developed world because of net zero targets nobody can afford
00:05:10.000 and nobody voted for. Instead of looking to the US which is streaming ahead to win the AI race
00:05:15.720 We follow the European model, whereby we regulate AR before we have any AI worth regulating.
00:05:22.060 And most damning of all, there are a million young people in this country aged 16 to 24
00:05:27.740 who are not in education, employment or training.
00:05:30.880 58% of them have never had a paid job.
00:05:34.240 And how have we responded to this? 0.96
00:05:36.300 By importing millions of people to do the work and paying our own young people to stay 0.94
00:05:40.960 at home and rot. 1.00
00:05:41.720 We have built a system in which a young British man is the problem and a young foreign man is 1.00
00:05:46.440 the solution. The decisions that led to this were rational. The employer who needed a shift covered 1.00
00:05:51.760 this month, not a trainee next year. The treasury official who scored an immediate taxpayer against
00:05:57.800 a deferred return. The minister who had a shortage to fix before the figures came out. Add up 30
00:06:03.600 years of reasonable short-term thinking and you arrive at a country that imports its workforce 1.00
00:06:09.580 and warehouses its young.
00:06:11.440 So Burnham will spend, taxes will rise,
00:06:14.900 growth will continue to stagnate,
00:06:16.980 the debt will spiral out of control,
00:06:19.060 and the whole thing will end in the kind of humiliation
00:06:21.520 that lingers in the national memory for a generation.
00:06:24.440 I don't want this to happen.
00:06:26.740 It will be terrible,
00:06:27.920 but I've resigned myself to the conclusion
00:06:29.760 that it is the only way to save this country
00:06:32.700 in the long run,
00:06:33.620 because there's no argument that will break Britain
00:06:35.660 and Europe out of the ideology we're trapped in.
00:06:38.080 I've made the arguments,
00:06:39.260 many better people have made them better. It changes nothing because the belief that
00:06:43.880 prosperity is something you allocate rather than something you create is not a proposition.
00:06:49.180 It's an article of faith and faiths are not refuted by evidence. They're refuted by failure.
00:06:54.600 Someone has to run the experiment to its conclusion. Andy Burnham has volunteered.
00:06:58.980 He may well be the most useful prime minister of my lifetime, just not in the way that he intends.
00:07:04.180 If you enjoy these videos, remember that they're available as articles at ConstantinKishin.com,
00:07:10.920 days, weeks, sometimes months ahead of time.
00:07:13.640 So head on over to www.ConstantinKishin.com right now and subscribe.
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