Valuetainment - June 19, 2026


“Called June 14th” - Inside SCOOP of Iran Deal That Trump Brokered

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Episode Stats


Length

14 minutes

Words per minute

187.88

Word count

2,803

Sentence count

212

People

Also mentioned:
Trump Adam John Morgan Vinny Michael Jordan Justin Gagey James Blair Caul Shi Scorebet Humberto Patrick Castros Hormuz David

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Toxicity

12

sentences flagged

Hate speech

26

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

On the heels of President Trump's announcement of a deal with Iran, Tom and Geoff join me to talk about the deal, the reaction to it, and our thoughts on what it means for the future of the Middle East.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Bet mode activated.
00:00:01.820 The Scorebet app here with trusted stats and real-time sports news.
00:00:05.220 Yeah, hey, who should I take in the Boston game?
00:00:07.280 Well, statistically speaking.
00:00:08.840 Nah, no more statistically speaking. I want hot takes. I want knee-jerk reactions. 0.99
00:00:13.280 That's not really what I do.
00:00:15.440 Is that because you don't have any knees? Or...
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00:00:30.000 Your first reaction, we're in D.C., we're at the White House event,
00:00:35.160 we're having an incredible time, jets are flying over, right? 0.99
00:00:38.740 All this crazy shit's going down with the jets flying over. 0.98
00:00:42.000 The fight to Poria, nobody thought to Poria was going to lose to Justin Gagey. 0.99
00:00:45.700 You have all this other stuff with Ghania takes out the giant, right?
00:00:51.120 What's his name?
00:00:52.700 What's the guy that he beat?
00:00:54.220 Pereira, right?
00:00:54.900 All this stuff that has taken place.
00:00:57.420 But then on that day, on his birthday, he does the Iran deal.
00:01:01.380 Initial reaction to it, Tom, what are your thoughts?
00:01:03.520 Well, the initial reaction was, wow, what are the points?
00:01:06.460 What are the points there?
00:01:07.620 Are they going to give up the uranium? 0.72
00:01:09.420 That was one of the reasons we were there, you know, bombing and trying to bring them to their knees. 0.62
00:01:14.380 When is the oil going to be released?
00:01:16.440 But what was really amazing was that they got to a milestone, and I'm thinking, okay, are we going to go back?
00:01:23.220 Are we just going to find out tomorrow?
00:01:24.640 Oh, they didn't do it, and now we're bombing again. 0.93
00:01:26.060 But then we see things from, what was it, Pat, the Pakistani Istanbul? 0.95
00:01:31.660 The Pakistanis are saying, no, this is real.
00:01:34.060 We helped with some of the intermediation. 0.99
00:01:35.960 No, this is real.
00:01:37.080 And started hearing it was real.
00:01:38.560 So the first reaction was, wow, thank goodness this is coming to an end.
00:01:44.560 Now, where is the fine print?
00:01:45.800 Do we get what we want?
00:01:46.980 Do we get there?
00:01:48.520 But the reaction that I was having at that time to the initial headlines was, hey, this looks real.
00:01:54.000 This looks like it's happening.
00:01:55.020 So felt good about that. The 14 points come out and there is a lot of diplomatic stuff in them.
00:02:00.560 And it's like 60 days. It's just a memo of understanding. We're like, oh, is this like a ceasefire that could go sideways?
00:02:06.860 But they got it done on the 14th. And the key things that were in there was the straits going to be open.
00:02:14.080 Oil is going to get through within 30 days.
00:02:16.780 One of the points in the 14 points that was released by Reuters today was that within 30 days, the number of tankers and the millions of barrels of oil per day needs to be at the level it was back on February 20th before the war started.
00:02:33.800 We want to get back there.
00:02:34.880 So 30 days, we want to get back to the February 20th, open, lots of ships going back and forth.
00:02:39.740 There was that, and then it was this weird point that said we want the status quo on the uranium, and then we'll negotiate over the next 60 days.
00:02:51.000 So that one was I wanted to see something more definitive, but the point today simply says there will be status quo on where uranium is.
00:02:58.780 So I'm optimistic at this time.
00:03:01.200 The markets are reacting well.
00:03:02.660 I'm glad we're here.
00:03:03.740 I'm crossing my fingers this isn't a ceasefire
00:03:06.220 that at the end of these 60 days we have a
00:03:08.280 heart agreement and we have things moving
00:03:10.320 forward and I was very glad to
00:03:12.320 see Lebanon's part of it
00:03:14.100 Adam look a good friend of mine
00:03:16.380 called it June 14th
00:03:18.200 I don't know if we want to play that or anything like that
00:03:20.300 but I have a good friend of mine who I
00:03:22.200 doubted maybe 2%
00:03:23.660 I was like I don't know Pat
00:03:25.480 2% it was
00:03:27.940 that 2% buddy you were like
00:03:30.160 it's going to take you know 1.00
00:03:31.340 I'm not really in a hurry how long it's going to take
00:03:33.820 the deal's going to take until the end of the year
00:03:35.420 we have the great John Morgan here
00:03:36.280 don't say 2%
00:03:37.940 I believed in it but I doubted it
00:03:40.340 I'm with you
00:03:41.760 here's the dirty little secret
00:03:43.100 here's the deal
00:03:45.700 Trump is the greatest showman and marketer
00:03:47.980 we've ever seen maybe in America
00:03:50.120 certainly as the president
00:03:51.880 he's working on this big deal
00:03:54.800 he's not letting anything
00:03:56.860 friends, allies, enemies
00:03:59.140 get in the way
00:04:00.620 of on his birthday UFC 250 we got a deal here's the dirty little secret they don't really have a
00:04:10.280 deal they have a memorandum of understanding and what are the chances there's going to be a little
00:04:16.500 misunderstanding in the next 60 days I think there will be this isn't really a peace deal
00:04:21.420 so you know we always say short-term pain for the long for the long-term game this deal
00:04:26.580 is kind of like short-term gain for long-term pain.
00:04:31.040 Because in my prediction,
00:04:32.780 Trump is basically saying,
00:04:34.340 listen, we got to get stuff done before Labor Day, right?
00:04:38.440 Because that's basically when election season kicks off.
00:04:40.580 So let me just smooth this over for 60 days.
00:04:43.160 And honestly, I could see Trump flipping this,
00:04:46.660 winning the midterms.
00:04:47.440 And you know what might happen after the midterms? 0.98
00:04:48.940 Don't tell Iran. 1.00
00:04:50.380 We might bomb him again. 0.89
00:04:52.320 Because what are the chances you trust Iran and the IRGC? 0.69
00:04:55.640 And I'll just end with this. 0.51
00:04:56.600 There's some winners and losers of this potential deal.
00:04:59.080 Number one, it's Trump, big winner here, right?
00:05:01.760 The IRGC, big winner here.
00:05:04.580 If they can stay in power, are you kidding me? 1.00
00:05:07.440 Big loser here, unfortunately, will be the Iranian people. 1.00
00:05:11.080 Whatever way you cut it, they will not be free. 1.00
00:05:13.780 We'll see what ends up happening in the deal.
00:05:15.280 There's a lot of people complaining.
00:05:16.880 I'm grateful, no matter what, that Trump is the president and nobody else.
00:05:21.140 Let me come to you, Vinny, but before I do,
00:05:22.980 Let me kind of give you an idea what these 14 points they're talking about.
00:05:26.440 Immediate ceasefire of hostilities.
00:05:29.560 Number two, end of fighting in Lebanon involving Iran-backed groups.
00:05:33.460 Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
00:05:35.040 Free commercial shipping through Hormuz.
00:05:36.620 U.S. Navy blockade on Iranian ports lifted.
00:05:39.680 No new U.S. sanctions during negotiations.
00:05:42.120 Waivers allowing Iranian oil exports.
00:05:45.200 Release of frozen Iranian assets, roughly $24 to $25 billion.
00:05:49.260 Roadmap to lift U.S. and possibly U.N. sanctions.
00:05:52.520 Iran pledges not to build nuclear weapons.
00:05:55.520 Iran freezes expansion of enrichment of nuclear facilities.
00:05:58.340 60-day negotiation period for a final nuclear agreement.
00:06:01.480 U.S.-backed reconstruction development fund for Iran.
00:06:05.440 Reports range $300 billion.
00:06:07.180 Discussion of broader regional security arrangements and troop reductions withdrawal if a final agreement is reached.
00:06:14.060 Vinny.
00:06:14.980 Well, Adam, Adam's less, I don't want to say less optimistic.
00:06:19.460 I'm a little bit more optimistic.
00:06:20.720 I mean, like you said, Adam, 80 years old, 80 years old birthday, UFC fight on the freaking
00:06:28.020 on the people's lawn.
00:06:29.440 Is that in my right time?
00:06:30.260 He called it the people's lawn.
00:06:31.380 He didn't call it at some point.
00:06:32.640 He reminded everybody that the White House is the people's.
00:06:35.440 Yeah.
00:06:35.600 And our good friend, Patrick, but David said it was going to be done by his birthday.
00:06:39.360 I'm more optimistic because bro.
00:06:40.900 And I said this yesterday that America is back.
00:06:43.360 He's right now.
00:06:43.860 And by the way, when it was all over, he got on a plane at three o'clock in the morning
00:06:47.540 and flew to Canada for a G7 summit.
00:06:50.000 France.
00:06:50.440 France. Oh, France. And then he walked. Canada would have been an hour flight.
00:06:53.440 They got drive to McDonald's and Canada on the way there. And then he walks in.
00:06:57.880 And what does he say when he gets to that round table? He goes, I'm the boss because he is.
00:07:03.260 OK, it's been a couple of days. There is no bombing. Everybody's everybody's calmed down.
00:07:07.360 But I mean, just just just give him. I'm more optimistic, Adam, because this guy and a lot of people like he's not calling the shots.
00:07:14.540 He's controlled. Let me explain something to you. He has people in his ear.
00:07:17.820 I think people are trying to persuade him.
00:07:19.840 At the end of the day, nobody tells President Trump what to do.
00:07:24.820 He calls the shots at the end of the day, and I don't care which way you try to sway.
00:07:28.020 By the way, Pat makes all the decisions.
00:07:29.980 You don't think I give Pat some advice?
00:07:32.180 I go, Pat, maybe this.
00:07:33.180 You give him, Adam, different advice.
00:07:34.820 Tom gives him different advice.
00:07:36.100 Right now, if he asks him about a topic, Mr. Morgan's going to give him different advice.
00:07:39.580 At the end of the day, he's making all the decisions, and he's calling the shots,
00:07:42.820 and I think that's what Trump is doing.
00:07:44.100 Period.
00:07:44.660 Adam said something.
00:07:45.460 He said, hey, you know, they don't have a deal.
00:07:46.960 And the only thing I like to say is the U.S. says that they've got a deal.
00:07:51.040 Iran even said they have a deal.
00:07:52.400 How many times did we have the ceasefire and Iran said, I didn't really agree to anything.
00:07:56.300 I really haven't agreed to anything.
00:07:57.620 That's not happening now.
00:07:58.640 Both sides are saying, yep, this is our MOU.
00:08:01.660 We're going to sign it this week.
00:08:03.360 Pakistanis are saying, yep, I'm in the middle of this too.
00:08:05.740 That's the first time everybody's been around the table all saying, you know, I think we have something of an agreement here. 1.00
00:08:11.220 Great.
00:08:11.820 John, your thoughts on this.
00:08:13.460 Are you optimistic?
00:08:14.560 You think something good is happening?
00:08:15.720 in? Here's what I think, and it's going to be a different take than everybody else's when you
00:08:21.120 said he's 80 years old. Look, he became president talking about no more wars. He blasted no more
00:08:30.480 wars, but he got here and he's 80 years old, and he's looking at the future. The future to him is,
00:08:38.120 like mine, shorter than your future and your future just by age, but yet he's made a decision 0.80
00:08:44.040 to do this he's this whole thing is driven by nuclear holocaust from iran he could have kicked 0.67
00:08:52.000 the can but he didn't he decided to do this and when he did it he knew what was going to happen 0.53
00:09:02.800 he knew that gas prices would go up he knew affordability was the issue he got elected on
00:09:07.940 he knew that was the issue that would drive his poll numbers down and guess what his poll numbers
00:09:13.020 have been driven down as a result of this.
00:09:17.020 But here's where I think that Trump's going to be rewarded.
00:09:21.180 When he said he doesn't care about the midterms, he does very much.
00:09:25.240 That's why they're trying to change districts all over the country.
00:09:28.380 When he says he doesn't care about inflation, he does.
00:09:31.760 But it turns out that this guy would rather leave us, the world,
00:09:39.180 not us the world in a safer position because nuclear weapons in the hands of those maniacs
00:09:47.940 is the most dangerous thing facing us and our children and israel's not happy about it because
00:09:55.160 i don't know if the uranium's ever going to be taken the dust or whatever they call it
00:09:58.760 but i think the secret message and if i was the trump if i was suzy wiles and james blair what
00:10:04.140 I'd be talking about is he's putting his own personal popularity over his present popularity
00:10:13.560 for the rest of us. 0.99
00:10:15.620 And a nuclear Iran is a danger to the world, the most dangerous in the whole world, because 0.99
00:10:21.520 they think that when they die, they go to seven black-eyed virgins. 0.99
00:10:26.800 So they're okay with nuclear holocausts, you know. 0.70
00:10:30.740 Seven black-eyed virgins? 0.99
00:10:32.560 Black-eyed. 0.99
00:10:33.560 Oh, black eye.
00:10:34.760 72 black eyes.
00:10:35.960 72 black eyes. 0.99
00:10:37.300 You were going to say seven black guy virgins. 0.97
00:10:39.760 That's like a very rare surprise. 0.98
00:10:42.960 That's an oxymoron.
00:10:46.000 Where the hell would you find that?
00:10:47.920 That's an oxymoron.
00:10:49.360 But, yeah, so I think, and look, and by the way, while he's at it, 0.94
00:10:55.160 he's jerking Hugo or he's jerking the Venezuelan guy out of his bed. 0.96
00:11:00.240 He's got the Castros under the couch. 0.82
00:11:02.780 he is doing some serious serious house cleaning for the world on his 80th birthday and and i think
00:11:12.220 that's going to be a secret story that'll be told later to his to his benefit can i add one thing
00:11:18.540 not even about iran about what he's doing for the world i found it a little ironic because he flew
00:11:23.400 out to the g7 and to see the leaders of the world macron italy keir starmer george maloney all these
00:11:31.480 people line up like school children to take pictures with the guy that's in charge of the
00:11:38.220 world and here's what I know Trump's the leader of the free world he knows it and more importantly
00:11:43.580 they know it so the message for all the Democrats out there for the people who hate Trump
00:11:48.640 world leaders are lining up in line like it's seeing Michael Jordan to take a selfie so if
00:11:54.560 the world leaders are getting behind Trump saying this guy's in charge of the free world
00:11:57.820 maybe you should consider what they're doing.
00:12:00.220 I just want to add that because he's in charge.
00:12:02.260 Yeah, and by the way, while this is happening,
00:12:04.140 Humberto, is this the clip you guys got here?
00:12:06.500 Let's play the clip.
00:12:07.660 Everybody kept saying, why are you June 14th?
00:12:10.200 June 14th, June 14th.
00:12:12.020 Go ahead and play this clip here.
00:12:13.000 Go for it. 0.99
00:12:13.460 Great suit.
00:12:15.220 By what date does it need to turn around
00:12:18.500 before it's over for the midterms?
00:12:20.580 Give me a date, Tom.
00:12:22.060 Pre-World Cup.
00:12:22.700 Pre-World Cup.
00:12:23.440 My date for him is June 14th.
00:12:24.940 Bingo.
00:12:25.240 My date is June 14th.
00:12:26.700 I've said a June 14 is a June 13, June 14 is a day to get it wrapped up.
00:12:30.800 And you know what they said yesterday?
00:12:32.560 It's as if they're watching a podcast.
00:12:34.460 You know what they said?
00:12:35.420 They said Trump's day to get this thing done is June 14th.
00:12:39.440 A lot of people, if you go to Cal Shea,
00:12:41.000 oh, this thing's not going to get done until next year.
00:12:43.500 It's not going to get done until September.
00:12:45.000 It's not going to get done until July.
00:12:46.880 I said it's going to get done before June 14th.
00:12:49.020 What do you think our deadline is?
00:12:50.220 June 14th is our deadline.
00:12:51.500 Why is that specific number?
00:12:52.480 World Cup starts.
00:12:53.420 It's Trump's birthday.
00:12:54.240 Everybody will forget about Iran come August.
00:12:56.700 september and we'll be moving on with interest rates going lower gas prices going lower economy
00:13:00.760 coming back up we're going to be looking at world cup fourth of july celebration 250 years
00:13:05.000 but u.s has a deadline u.s's deadline is june 14th can you imagine this guy gets it done on
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